Houston Astros at Cincinnati Reds MLB Game Picks 6/17/2019

Monday, June 17, 2019

Great American Ball Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Wade Miley vs. Luis Castillo

Alex Bregman and the Houston Astros (48-23, 1st in AL West) are headed to Great American Ball Park on Monday where they'll take on the Cincinnati Reds (30-38, 5th in NL Central). The Reds open this matchup at -115 while the Astros are coming in at +105. The over/under has been set at 8.5.

The Astros have been very good for MLB wagerers, having gone 48-23-0 SU. Cincinnati is covering 44.1% of the time, going 30-38-0 straight up. The Reds have been very good for MLB wagerers as favorites, going 16-12-0 SU. Houston has gone 1-1-0 straight up as the underdog, so they cover 50.0% of the time.

Valuable Houston Astros Betting Trends

The Astros have been an awful Over option for O/U bettors, having gone 30-38-3.

Houston is covering 59.4% of the time as the away team, having gone 19-13-0 straight up.

Important Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

Cincinnati is covering 46.7% of the time at Great American Ball Park, going 14-16-0 SU.

The Reds have been an awful Over option for O/U bettors, having gone 23-43-2.

Related: Launch Angle Stat: Advice for MLB Handicapping and Betting

Key Houston Astros Injuries

6/15/2019 Jake Marisnick CF Knee Probable for Jun 16
6/14/2019 Josh James RP Lat Probable for Jun 15
6/14/2019 Jose Altuve 2B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 19
6/12/2019 Aledmys Diaz 2B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
6/10/2019 Max Stassi C Knee Expected to be out until at least Jun 17
6/10/2019 Carlos Correa SS Ribs Expected to be out until at least Jul 7
6/9/2019 Lance McCullers SP Elbow Out for the season
6/4/2019 Collin McHugh SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
5/25/2019 George Springer RF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 22
5/15/2019 Joe Smith RP Achilles Expected to be out until at least Jul 1

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

6/16/2019 Nick Senzel CF Eye Probable for Jun 16
6/15/2019 Wandy Peralta RP Hip Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
6/9/2019 Robert Stephenson RP Neck Expected to be out until at least Jun 17
5/31/2019 Alex Wood SP Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 7
5/26/2019 Scooter Gennett 2B Groin Expected to be out until at least Jun 28

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Astros have a 48-23 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Wade Miley has a 6-3 record with an earned run average of 3.14 and a WHIP of 1.16 this season. He has 65 strikeouts over his 80.1 innings pitched and he's given up 72 hits. He's allowed 8.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.31. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.36 and they have given up 178 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .208 against the bullpen and they've struck out 252 hitters and walked 83 batters. As a team, Houston allows 6.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.1 batters per nine innings. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.48. The Astros pitchers collectively have given up 495 base hits and 248 earned runs. They have allowed 99 home runs this season, ranking them 10th in the league. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 192 batters and struck out 722. They have walked 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 10.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.07 and their FIP as a unit is 3.92.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Houston is hitting .268, good for 2nd in the league. The Astros hold a .476 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .343, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 6th in MLB with 9.1 hits per game. Alex Bregman is hitting .272 with an on-base percentage of .401. He has 67 hits this season in 246 at bats with 48 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .545 and an OPS+ of 152. Michael Brantley is hitting .309 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .370. He has totaled 81 hits and he has driven in 39 men in 262 at bats. His OPS+ is 133 while his slugging percentage is at .504. The Astros have 645 hits, including 130 doubles and 116 home runs. Houston has walked 269 times so far this season and they have struck out 488 times as a unit. They have left 484 men on base and have a team OPS of .819. They score 5.31 runs per contest and have scored a total of 377 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Cincinnati has a 30-38 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.20, Luis Castillo has a 6-1 record and a 1.09 WHIP. He has 96 strikeouts over the 81.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 51 hits. He's allowing 5.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.51. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.55 and they have given up 202 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .225 against the Reds bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 269 batters and walked 89 opposing hitters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 7.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.8 batters per nine innings. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.59. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 526 base knocks and 241 earned runs this season. They have given up 70 home runs this year, which ranks 29th in Major League Baseball. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 219 hitters and struck out 656 batters. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.23 while their FIP as a staff is 3.71.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .230, good for 27th in the league. The Reds hold a .401 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .301, which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 27th in MLB with 7.7 hits per contest. Eugenio Suarez comes into this matchup batting .259 with an OBP of .342. He has 64 hits this year along with 42 RBI in 247 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .494 with an OPS+ of 112. Jose Iglesias is hitting .289 this season and he has an OBP of .332. He has collected 63 hits in 218 at bats while driving in 24 runs. He has an OPS+ of 91 and a slugging percentage of .413. The Reds as a unit have 524 base hits, including 95 doubles and 93 homers. Cincinnati has walked 209 times this year and they have struck out on 598 occasions. They have had 423 men left on base and have an OPS of .702. They have scored 4.19 runs per game and totaled 285 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Astros/Reds MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Reds -115

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