Detroit Tigers at New York Mets MLB Game Picks 5/24/2019

Friday, May 24, 2019

Citi Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Gregory Soto vs. Noah Syndergaard

Nicholas Castellanos and the Detroit Tigers (18-28, 4th in AL Central) travel to Citi Field on Friday where they'll take on the New York Mets (23-25, 3rd in NL East). The line on this matchup has the Tigers priced at +126 and the Mets are at -136. The total opens at 8.5.

The Tigers have been a lousy pick for bettors, having gone 18-28-0 SU. New York covers 47.9% of the time, going 23-25-0 straight up. The Mets have been decent for Vegas oddsmakers as a favorite, going 13-13-0 SU. Detroit has went 11-24-0 straight up as an underdog, so they cover 31.4% of the time.

Valuable Detroit Tigers Betting Trends

The Tigers have been a very good Under option for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 20-25-1.

Detroit covers 42.9% of the time as the away team, having gone 9-12-0 straight up.

Important New York Mets Betting Trends

The Mets cover 60.0% of the time at Citi Field, going 12-8-0 SU.

The Mets have been a pretty good Over option for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 24-20-4.

Key Detroit Tigers Injuries

05/13/19 P Tyson Ross Elbow 10-day IL (05/13)
05/09/19 SS Jordy Mercer Quad 10-day IL (05/09)
05/01/19 P Matt Moore Knee 60-day IL (04/30); is out for season
04/26/19 P Jordan Zimmermann Elbow 10-day IL (04/26)
03/28/19 P Michael Fulmer Elbow 60-day IL (03/23)

Key New York Mets Injuries

05/23/19 P Jason Vargas Hamstring 10-day IL (05/06); expected to start Saturday vs Detroit Tigers
05/23/19 2B Jeff McNeil Hamstring 10-day IL (05/23)
05/23/19 2B Robinson Cano Quad 10-day IL (05/23)
05/22/19 LF Brandon Nimmo Neck 10-day IL (05/21)
05/20/19 P Seth Lugo Shoulder 10-day IL (05/20)
05/17/19 LF Michael Conforto Concussion 7-day IL (05/17)
05/11/19 P Justin Wilson Elbow 10-day IL (05/11)
05/05/19 P Luis Avilan Elbow 10-day IL (05/04)
03/25/19 P Drew Smith Elbow 60-day IL (03/25); is out for season
03/25/19 2B Jed Lowrie Knee 60-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 LF Yoenis Cespedes Heel 60-day IL (03/25)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Tigers have a 18-28 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Gregory Soto has a 0-2 record with an earned run average of 10.80 and a WHIP of 2.20 this season. He has 7 strikeouts over his 10 innings pitched and he's given up 16 hits. He's allowed 14.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 6.08. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.68 and they have given up 186 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .275 against the bullpen and they've struck out 149 hitters and walked 83 batters. As a team, Detroit allows 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.1 batters per nine innings. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 5.04. The Tigers pitchers collectively have given up 429 base hits and 234 earned runs. They have allowed 69 home runs this season, ranking them 7th in the league. Detroit as a pitching staff has walked 166 batters and struck out 374. They have walked 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.43 and their FIP as a unit is 4.76.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Detroit is hitting .219, good for 29th in the league. The Tigers hold a .362 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .286, which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 7.2 hits per game. Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .253 with an on-base percentage of .306. He has 45 hits this season in 178 at bats with 13 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .427 and an OPS+ of 93. Miguel Cabrera is hitting .292 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .362. He has totaled 49 hits and he has driven in 18 men in 168 at bats. His OPS+ is 94 while his slugging percentage is at .357. The Tigers have 340 hits, including 88 doubles and 37 home runs. Detroit has walked 135 times so far this season and they have struck out 454 times as a unit. They have left 307 men on base and have a team OPS of .648. They score 3.32 runs per contest and have scored a total of 156 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 23-25 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.50, Noah Syndergaard has a 3-4 record and a 1.19 WHIP. He has 63 strikeouts over the 64 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 62 hits. He's allowing 8.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.53. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.33 and they have given up 150 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .235 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 173 batters and walked 78 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.42. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 403 base knocks and 210 earned runs this season. They have given up 58 home runs this year, which ranks 24th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 165 hitters and struck out 444 batters. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.33 while their FIP as a staff is 4.06.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .243, good for 20th in the league. The Mets hold a .399 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323, which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 16th in MLB with 8.4 hits per contest. Pete Alonso comes into this matchup batting .254 with an OBP of .340. He has 44 hits this year along with 36 RBI in 173 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .590 with an OPS+ of 153. Jeff McNeil is hitting .333 this season and he has an OBP of .418. He has collected 55 hits in 165 at bats while driving in 15 runs. He has an OPS+ of 147 and a slugging percentage of .461. The Mets as a unit have 401 base hits, including 79 doubles and 55 homers. New York has walked 171 times this year and they have struck out on 462 occasions. They have had 346 men left on base and have an OPS of .722. They have scored 4.5 runs per game and totaled 216 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Tigers/Mets MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Mets -136

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Guy Bruhn