Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Indians Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 6/23/2019

Sunday, June 23, 2019

Progressive Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Daniel Norris vs. Zach Plesac

Carlos Santana and the Cleveland Indians (40-35, 2nd in AL Central) play the Detroit Tigers (26-45, 4th in AL Central) at Progressive Field on Sunday, June 23, 2019. The Tigers open this contest at +184 while the Indians are coming in at -198. The O/U opens at 9.

The Tigers have been a terrible play for MLB wagerers, having gone 26-45-0 SU. The Indians are covering 53.3% of the time, going 40-35-0 straight up. The Indians have been a decent bet for MLB bettors as favorites, going 29-28-0 SU. Detroit has gone 19-38-0 straight up as an underdog, so they are covering 33.3% of the time.

Valuable Detroit Tigers Betting Trends

The Tigers have been a decent Under option for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 31-35-5.

The Tigers are covering 42.9% of the time as a visitor, having gone 15-20-0 straight up.

Important Cleveland Indians Betting Trends

The Indians are covering 55.3% of the time at Progressive Field, going 21-17-0 SU.

The Indians have been a strong Under option for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 31-41-3.

Related: MLB Baseball First Five Innings Betting Strategy

Key Detroit Tigers Injuries

6/19/2019 Jordy Mercer SS Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/14/2019 Tyson Ross SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/14/2019 Grayson Greiner C Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
6/9/2019 Josh Harrison 2B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
4/30/2019 Matt Moore SP Knee Out for the season
3/23/2019 Michael Fulmer SP Elbow Out for the season
10/25/2019 Artie Lewicki RP Elbow Out for the season

Key Cleveland Indians Injuries

6/21/2019 Mike Clevinger SP Ankle Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/19/2019 Corey Kluber SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/18/2019 Dan Otero RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
6/14/2019 Bradley Zimmer CF Side Expected to be out until at least Jul 1
6/5/2019 Jefry Rodriguez SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 1
6/5/2019 Carlos Carrasco SP Illness Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
5/28/2019 Danny Salazar SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jun 28

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Tigers have a 26-45 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Daniel Norris has a 2-5 record with an earned run average of 4.40 and a WHIP of 1.41 this season. He has 58 strikeouts over his 73.2 innings pitched and he's given up 85 hits. He's allowed 10.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.7. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.24 and they have given up 279 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .267 against the bullpen and they've struck out 225 hitters and walked 121 batters. As a team, Detroit allows 9.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.1 batters per nine innings. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.93. The Tigers pitchers collectively have given up 670 base hits and 349 earned runs. They have allowed 110 home runs this season, ranking them 9th in the league. Detroit as a pitching staff has walked 241 batters and struck out 572. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.43 and their FIP as a unit is 4.90.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Detroit is hitting .231, good for 28th in the league. The Tigers hold a .381 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .292, which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 27th in MLB with 7.8 hits per game. Miguel Cabrera is hitting .295 with an on-base percentage of .354. He has 71 hits this season in 241 at bats with 30 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .390 and an OPS+ of 98. Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .271 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .327. He has totaled 75 hits and he has driven in 26 men in 277 at bats. His OPS+ is 104 while his slugging percentage is at .455. The Tigers have 561 hits, including 139 doubles and 63 home runs. Detroit has walked 196 times so far this season and they have struck out 707 times as a unit. They have left 479 men on base and have a team OPS of .673. They score 3.57 runs per contest and have scored a total of 257 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Cleveland has a 40-35 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.56, Zach Plesac has a 2-2 record and a 0.98 WHIP. He has 26 strikeouts over the 31.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 21 hits. He's allowing 6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.94. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.33 and they have given up 209 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .235 against the Indians bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 242 batters and walked 75 opposing hitters. As a team, Cleveland allows 8.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.7 batters per nine innings. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.9. The Indians pitchers as a team have surrendered 593 base knocks and 286 earned runs this season. They have given up 101 home runs this year, which ranks 16th in Major League Baseball. Cleveland as a staff has walked 213 hitters and struck out 708 batters. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.22 while their FIP as a staff is 4.12.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .236, good for 25th in the league. The Indians hold a .404 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .317, which is good for 20th in baseball. They rank 28th in MLB with 7.8 hits per contest. Carlos Santana comes into this matchup batting .295 with an OBP of .417. He has 78 hits this year along with 46 RBI in 264 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .538 with an OPS+ of 149. Francisco Lindor is hitting .292 this season and he has an OBP of .358. He has collected 66 hits in 226 at bats while driving in 26 runs. He has an OPS+ of 125 and a slugging percentage of .509. The Indians as a unit have 583 base hits, including 112 doubles and 96 homers. Cleveland has walked 279 times this year and they have struck out on 634 occasions. They have had 502 men left on base and have an OPS of .721. They have scored 4.41 runs per game and totaled 331 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Tigers/Indians MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Tigers +184

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