Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins MLB Tips 6/9/2019

Sunday, June 9, 2019

Marlins Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Max Fried vs. Pablo Lopez

Ozzie Albies and the Atlanta Braves (34-29, 2nd in NL East) head to Marlins Park on Sunday where they'll take on the Miami Marlins (23-38, 5th in NL East). The Braves open this contest at -147 while the Marlins are coming in at +137. The O/U opens at 8.

The Braves have been a decent option for baseball bettors, having gone 34-29-0 SU. Miami covers 37.7% of the time, going 23-38-0 straight up. The Braves have been excellent for MLB wagerers as a favorite, going 25-18-0 SU. Miami covers 37.7% of the time as the underdog, having gone 23-38-0 straight up.

Valuable Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Braves have been a good Over pick for over/under wagerers, having gone 33-27-3.

Atlanta covers 56.2% of the time away from home, having gone 18-14-0 straight up.

Important Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Marlins are covering 36.7% of the time at Marlins Park, going 11-19-0 SU.

The Marlins have been a decent Under pick for over/under wagerers, having gone 27-31-3.

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

6/8/2019 Darren O'Day RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jun 14
6/5/2019 Jacob Lindgren RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 1
5/28/2019 Ender Inciarte CF Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 15

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

6/7/2019 Jon Berti 3B Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jun 8
6/7/2019 Julian Fernandez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 30
6/7/2019 Caleb Smith SP Hip Expected to be out until at least Jun 17
6/4/2019 Peter O'Brien RF Ribs Expected to be out until at least Jun 11
6/1/2019 Chad Wallach C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jun 10
5/31/2019 Neil Walker 1B Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Jun 10
5/28/2019 Riley Ferrell RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Jul 2
5/11/2019 Drew Steckenrider RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 5

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Braves have a 34-29 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Max Fried has a 7-3 record with an earned run average of 3.68 and a WHIP of 1.30 this season. He has 59 strikeouts over his 66 innings pitched and he's given up 68 hits. He's allowed 9.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.89. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.32 and they have given up 215 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .245 against the bullpen and they've struck out 241 hitters and walked 114 batters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.31. The Braves pitchers collectively have given up 530 base hits and 270 earned runs. They have allowed 82 home runs this season, ranking them 18th in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 238 batters and struck out 544. They have walked 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit is 4.55.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Atlanta is hitting .259, good for 7th in the league. The Braves hold a .440 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .331, which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 8.9 hits per game. Ozzie Albies is hitting .268 with an on-base percentage of .330. He has 67 hits this season in 250 at bats with 26 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .408 and an OPS+ of 92. Freddie Freeman is hitting .311 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .401. He has totaled 75 hits and he has driven in 41 men in 241 at bats. His OPS+ is 156 while his slugging percentage is at .598. The Braves have 560 hits, including 101 doubles and 88 home runs. Atlanta has walked 226 times so far this season and they have struck out 533 times as a unit. They have left 444 men on base and have a team OPS of .772. They score 5 runs per contest and have scored a total of 315 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Miami has a 23-38 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.52, Pablo Lopez has a 4-5 record and a 1.15 WHIP. He has 62 strikeouts over the 63.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 57 hits. He's allowing 8.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.82. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.08 and they have given up 193 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the Marlins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 220 batters and walked 103 opposing hitters. As a team, Miami allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.4. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 498 base knocks and 265 earned runs this season. They have given up 78 home runs this year, which ranks 20th in Major League Baseball. Miami as a staff has walked 224 hitters and struck out 524 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.33 while their FIP as a staff is 4.48.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .235, good for 24th in the league. The Marlins hold a .349 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .296, which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 24th in MLB with 7.9 hits per contest. Brian Anderson comes into this matchup batting .246 with an OBP of .328. He has 56 hits this year along with 27 RBI in 228 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .390 with an OPS+ of 99. Miguel Rojas is hitting .269 this season and he has an OBP of .327. He has collected 54 hits in 201 at bats while driving in 17 runs. He has an OPS+ of 81 and a slugging percentage of .318. The Marlins as a unit have 483 base hits, including 91 doubles and 47 homers. Miami has walked 157 times this year and they have struck out on 536 occasions. They have had 402 men left on base and have an OPS of .645. They have scored 3.52 runs per game and totaled 215 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Braves/Marlins MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Marlins +137

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