New York Mets at Pittsburgh Pirates 7/28/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Saturday, July 28, 2018

PNC Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jacob deGrom vs. Trevor Williams

The New York Mets visit PNC Park on Saturday, July 28, 2018 to play the Pittsburgh Pirates. The probable starters are Jacob deGrom for the Mets and Trevor Williams for the Pirates.

The opening line for this matchup has New York at -140 and Pittsburgh at +130. The Mets have a 46-51-3 over/under record and a 46-54-0 run line mark. The Pirates are 51-53-0 against the run line and have a 51-47-6 over/under record.

Valuable New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 46-51-3 against the over/under

The New York Mets are 46-54-0 against the run line

Important Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 51-47-6 against the over/under

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 51-53-0 against the run line

Key New York Mets Injuries

07/24/18 LF Yoenis Cespedes Heel 10-day DL (07/21); is out for season
07/23/18 P Noah Syndergaard Illness 10-day DL (07/23)
07/09/18 3B Todd Frazier Ribs 10-day DL (07/09)
06/24/18 P Jason Vargas Calf 10-day DL (06/20)
06/22/18 P AJ Ramos Shoulder 60-day DL (05/27)
06/19/18 RF Jay Bruce Hip 10-day DL (06/18)
06/11/18 1B Adrian Gonzalez None has been released
06/10/18 CF Juan Lagares Toe is out for season
04/28/18 3B David Wright Shoulder 60-day DL (03/26)
04/14/18 C Travis d'Arnaud Elbow 60-day DL (04/11)
03/26/18 P Rafael Montero Elbow 60-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 SS T.J. Rivera Elbow 60-day DL (02/18)

Key Pittsburgh Pirates Injuries

07/26/18 CF Starling Marte Hand is "?" Friday vs New York Mets
06/29/18 P Chad Kuhl Forearm 10-day DL (06/27)
06/29/18 P Nik Turley Arm 60-day DL (06/29)
03/26/18 P A.J. Schugel Shoulder 60-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Nick Burdi Elbow 60-day DL (02/20)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Mets have a 43-57 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jacob deGrom has a 5-5 record with an earned run average of 1.71 and a WHIP of 0.97 this season. He has 159 strikeouts over his 131.1 innings pitched and he's given up 95 hits. He's allowed 6.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.28. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.73 and they have given up 344 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the bullpen and they've struck out 334 hitters and walked 158 batters. As a team, New York allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.29. The Mets pitchers collectively have given up 868 base hits and 429 earned runs. They have allowed 126 home runs this season, ranking them 8th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 324 batters and struck out 883. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 4.25.

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .229, good for 30th in the league. The Mets hold a .380 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 7.7 hits per game. Brandon Nimmo is hitting .251 with an on-base percentage of .380. He has 70 hits this season in 279 at bats with 31 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .480 and an OPS+ of 138. Asdrubal Cabrera is hitting .277 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .329. He has totaled 104 hits and he has driven in 58 men in 375 at bats. His OPS+ is 124 while his slugging percentage is at .488. The Mets have 765 hits, including 159 doubles and 103 home runs. New York has walked 361 times so far this season and they have struck out 861 times as a unit. They have left 670 men on base and have a team OPS of .689. They score 4.02 runs per contest and have scored a total of 402 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Pittsburgh has a 53-51 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.11, Trevor Williams has a 8-7 record and a 1.24 WHIP. He has 72 strikeouts over the 105 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 93 hits. He's allowing 8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.42. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.34 and they have given up 343 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .249 against the Pirates bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 389 batters and walked 156 opposing hitters. As a team, Pittsburgh allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.28. The Pirates pitchers as a team have surrendered 905 base knocks and 440 earned runs this season. They have given up 114 home runs this year, which ranks 18th in Major League Baseball. Pittsburgh as a staff has walked 331 hitters and struck out 867 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.34 while their FIP as a staff is 4.09.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .255, good for 9th in the league. The Pirates hold a .419 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .320, which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 12th in MLB with 8.6 hits per contest. Corey Dickerson comes into this matchup batting .318 with an OBP of .351. He has 110 hits this year along with 44 RBI in 346 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .517 with an OPS+ of 134. Starling Marte is hitting .292 this season and he has an OBP of .339. He has collected 101 hits in 346 at bats while driving in 54 runs. He has an OPS+ of 126 and a slugging percentage of .503. The Pirates as a unit have 897 base hits, including 181 doubles and 112 homers. Pittsburgh has walked 313 times this year and they have struck out on 786 occasions. They have had 690 men left on base and have an OPS of .739. They have scored 4.56 runs per game and totaled 474 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Mets/Pirates MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Pirates +130

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