New York Mets at Pittsburgh Pirates 7/27/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Friday, July 27, 2018

PNC Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jason Vargas vs. Ivan Nova

The New York Mets visit PNC Park on Friday, July 27, 2018 to play the Pittsburgh Pirates. The probable starters are Jason Vargas for the Mets and Ivan Nova for the Pirates.

The opening line for this matchup has New York at +159 and Pittsburgh at -169. The Mets have a 45-51-3 over/under record and a 45-54-0 run line mark. The Pirates are 51-52-0 against the run line and have a 50-47-6 over/under record.

Valuable New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 45-51-3 against the over/under

The New York Mets are 45-54-0 against the run line

Important Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 50-47-6 against the over/under

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 51-52-0 against the run line

Key New York Mets Injuries

07/24/18 LF Yoenis Cespedes Heel 10-day DL (07/21); is out for season
07/23/18 P Noah Syndergaard Illness 10-day DL (07/23)
07/09/18 3B Todd Frazier Ribs 10-day DL (07/09)
06/24/18 P Jason Vargas Calf 10-day DL (06/20)
06/22/18 P AJ Ramos Shoulder 60-day DL (05/27)
06/19/18 RF Jay Bruce Hip 10-day DL (06/18)
06/11/18 1B Adrian Gonzalez None has been released
06/10/18 CF Juan Lagares Toe is out for season
04/28/18 3B David Wright Shoulder 60-day DL (03/26)
04/14/18 C Travis d'Arnaud Elbow 60-day DL (04/11)
03/26/18 P Rafael Montero Elbow 60-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 SS T.J. Rivera Elbow 60-day DL (02/18)

Key Pittsburgh Pirates Injuries

07/25/18 CF Starling Marte Hand left last game, is "?" Thursday vs New York Mets
07/14/18 C Francisco Cervelli Concussion 7-day DL (07/14)
06/29/18 P Chad Kuhl Forearm 10-day DL (06/27)
06/29/18 P Nik Turley Arm 60-day DL (06/29)
03/26/18 P A.J. Schugel Shoulder 60-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Nick Burdi Elbow 60-day DL (02/20)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Mets have a 42-57 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jason Vargas has a 2-6 record with an earned run average of 8.60 and a WHIP of 1.83 this season. He has 32 strikeouts over his 37.2 innings pitched and he's given up 55 hits. He's allowed 13.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 6.61. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.72 and they have given up 340 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the bullpen and they've struck out 333 hitters and walked 156 batters. As a team, New York allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.27. The Mets pitchers collectively have given up 861 base hits and 423 earned runs. They have allowed 124 home runs this season, ranking them 8th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 320 batters and struck out 873. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 4.23.

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .227, good for 30th in the league. The Mets hold a .377 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .307, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 7.6 hits per game. Brandon Nimmo is hitting .249 with an on-base percentage of .373. He has 69 hits this season in 277 at bats with 31 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .477 and an OPS+ of 135. Asdrubal Cabrera is hitting .273 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .324. He has totaled 101 hits and he has driven in 54 men in 370 at bats. His OPS+ is 119 while his slugging percentage is at .473. The Mets have 751 hits, including 154 doubles and 101 home runs. New York has walked 352 times so far this season and they have struck out 857 times as a unit. They have left 658 men on base and have a team OPS of .684. They score 3.94 runs per contest and have scored a total of 390 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Pittsburgh has a 53-50 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.28, Ivan Nova has a 6-6 record and a 1.26 WHIP. He has 81 strikeouts over the 109.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 119 hits. He's allowing 9.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.57. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.28 and they have given up 336 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .249 against the Pirates bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 386 batters and walked 151 opposing hitters. As a team, Pittsburgh allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.5 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.22. The Pirates pitchers as a team have surrendered 891 base knocks and 429 earned runs this season. They have given up 112 home runs this year, which ranks 19th in Major League Baseball. Pittsburgh as a staff has walked 322 hitters and struck out 863 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.33 while their FIP as a staff is 4.04.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .255, good for 9th in the league. The Pirates hold a .418 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .320, which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 10th in MLB with 8.6 hits per contest. Corey Dickerson comes into this matchup batting .318 with an OBP of .351. He has 110 hits this year along with 44 RBI in 346 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .517 with an OPS+ of 134. Starling Marte is hitting .292 this season and he has an OBP of .339. He has collected 101 hits in 346 at bats while driving in 54 runs. He has an OPS+ of 127 and a slugging percentage of .503. The Pirates as a unit have 890 base hits, including 178 doubles and 110 homers. Pittsburgh has walked 309 times this year and they have struck out on 776 occasions. They have had 686 men left on base and have an OPS of .738. They have scored 4.54 runs per game and totaled 468 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Mets/Pirates MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Pirates -169

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