New York Mets at Miami Marlins 6/30/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Saturday, June 30, 2018

Marlins Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Seth Lugo vs. Pablo Lopez

The New York Mets head to Marlins Park on Saturday, June 30, 2018 to take on the Miami Marlins. The expected starting pitchers are Seth Lugo for the Mets and Pablo Lopez for the Marlins.

The odds for this matchup have New York at -112 and Miami at +102. The Mets have a 35-41-2 over/under mark and a 33-45-0 run line record. The Marlins are 42-40-0 against the run line and have a 42-39-1 over/under record.

Valuable New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 35-41-2 against the over/under

The New York Mets are 33-45-0 against the run line

Important Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 42-39-1 against the over/under

The Miami Marlins are 42-40-0 against the run line

Key New York Mets Injuries

06/24/18 P Jason Vargas Calf 10-day DL (06/20)
06/22/18 P AJ Ramos Shoulder 60-day DL (05/27)
06/19/18 RF Jay Bruce Hip 10-day DL (06/18)
06/11/18 1B Adrian Gonzalez None has been released
06/10/18 CF Juan Lagares Toe is out for season
05/29/18 P Noah Syndergaard Finger 10-day DL (05/26)
05/17/18 LF Yoenis Cespedes Hip 10-day DL (05/14)
04/28/18 3B David Wright Shoulder 60-day DL (03/26)
04/14/18 C Travis d'Arnaud Elbow 60-day DL (04/11)
03/26/18 P Rafael Montero Elbow 60-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 SS T.J. Rivera Elbow 60-day DL (02/18)

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

06/27/18 P Dan Straily Suspension 5-game suspension (eligible to return 7/2 vs Tampa Bay)
06/25/18 P Caleb Smith Back 10-day DL (06/25)
06/22/18 P Jose Urena Shoulder 10-day DL (06/21)
06/16/18 P Chris O'Grady Shoulder 60-day DL (04/17)
05/26/18 3B Martin Prado Hamstring 10-day DL (05/26)
04/14/18 1B Garrett Cooper Wrist 60-day DL (04/02)
03/30/18 P Brett Graves Oblique 60-day DL (03/29)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Mets have a 32-46 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Seth Lugo has a 2-3 record with an earned run average of 2.76 and a WHIP of 1.07 this year. He has 63 strikeouts over his 58.2 innings pitched and he's given up 48 hits. He allows 7.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.37. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.83 and they have given up 278 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .254 against the bullpen and they've struck out 275 hitters and walked 127 batters. As a team, New York allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.3. The Mets pitchers collectively have given up 687 base hits and 337 earned runs. They have allowed 102 home runs this season, ranking them 8th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 255 batters and struck out 714. They have walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.34 and their FIP as a unit is 4.17.

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .232, good for 28th in the league. The Mets hold a .383 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .310, which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 26th in MLB with 7.8 hits per game. Asdrubal Cabrera is hitting .284 with an on-base percentage of .327. He has 85 hits this season in 299 at bats with 44 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .482 and an OPS+ of 123. Brandon Nimmo is hitting .276 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .395. He has totaled 56 hits and he has driven in 25 men in 203 at bats. His OPS+ is 163 while his slugging percentage is at .557. The Mets have 611 hits, including 125 doubles and 82 home runs. New York has walked 274 times so far this season and they have struck out 675 times as a unit. They have left 533 men on base and have a team OPS of .693. They score 3.97 runs per contest and have scored a total of 310 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Miami has a 32-50 overall mark this year. Pablo Lopez is expected to make his debut for the Marlins. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.84 and they have given up 315 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the Marlins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 295 batters and walked 150 opposing hitters. As a team, Miami allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.9 batters per nine innings. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 4.81. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 709 base knocks and 392 earned runs this season. They have given up 99 home runs this year, which ranks 12th in Major League Baseball. Miami as a staff has walked 309 hitters and struck out 648 batters. They give up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.39 while their FIP as a staff is 4.47.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .239, good for 20th in the league. The Marlins hold a .360 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .306, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 20th in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. Starlin Castro comes into this matchup batting .274 with an OBP of .322. He has 87 hits this year along with 30 RBI in 318 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .387 with an OPS+ of 100. Brian Anderson is hitting .293 this season and he has an OBP of .370. He has collected 92 hits in 314 at bats while driving in 38 runs. He has an OPS+ of 121 and a slugging percentage of .411. The Marlins as a unit have 671 base hits, including 123 doubles and 63 homers. Miami has walked 241 times this year and they have struck out on 725 occasions. They have had 586 men left on base and have an OPS of .666. They have scored 3.61 runs per game and totaled 296 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Mets/Marlins MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Marlins +102

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