Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies 4/5/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Thursday, April 5, 2018

Citizens Bank Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Caleb Smith vs. Nick Pivetta

The Miami Marlins head to Citizens Bank Park on Thursday, April 5, 2018 to take on the Philadelphia Phillies. The expected starting pitchers are Caleb Smith for the Marlins and Nick Pivetta for the Phillies.

The odds for this matchup have Miami at +156 and Philadelphia at -166. The Marlins have a 3-3-0 over/under mark and a 2-4-0 run line record. The Phillies are 1-3-0 against the run line and have a 2-1-1 over/under record.

Valuable Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 3-3-0 against the over/under

The Miami Marlins are 2-4-0 against the run line

Important Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies are 2-1-1 against the over/under

The Philadelphia Phillies are 1-3-0 against the run line

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

03/30/18 P Brett Graves Oblique 60-day DL (03/29)
03/26/18 P Dan Straily Forearm 10-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Elieser Hernandez Dental 10-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 C J.T. Realmuto Back 10-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 SS JT Riddle Shoulder 10-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 3B Martin Prado Knee 10-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Wei-Yin Chen Elbow 10-day DL (03/26)

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

03/30/18 P Pat Neshek Shoulder 10-day DL (03/30)
03/29/18 P Mark Leiter Forearm 10-day DL (03/26)
03/29/18 P Tommy Hunter Hamstring 10-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Jerad Eickhoff Back 10-day DL (03/26)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Marlins have a 2-4 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Caleb Smith has a 0-0 record with an earned run average of 1.69 and a WHIP of 1.31 this year. He has 8 strikeouts over his 5.1 innings pitched and he's given up 4 hits. He allows 6.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.12. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.06 and they have given up 28 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .212 against the bullpen and they've struck out 32 hitters and walked 12 batters. As a team, Miami allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.3 batters per nine innings. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 3.76. The Marlins pitchers collectively have given up 62 base hits and 28 earned runs. They have allowed 7 home runs this season, ranking them 10th in the league. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 24 batters and struck out 62. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.28 and their FIP as a unit is 3.80.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Miami is hitting .236, good for 16th in the league. The Marlins hold a .306 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .330, which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 6th in MLB with 9.5 hits per game. Starlin Castro is hitting .321 with an on-base percentage of .424. He has 9 hits this season in 28 at bats with 4 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .357 and an OPS+ of 117. Brian Anderson is hitting .320 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .469. He has totaled 8 hits and he has driven in 6 men in 25 at bats. His OPS+ is 161 while his slugging percentage is at .480. The Marlins have 57 hits, including 9 doubles and 2 home runs. Miami has walked 29 times so far this season and they have struck out 56 times as a unit. They have left 57 men on base and have a team OPS of .635. They score 3.83 runs per contest and have scored a total of 23 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Philadelphia has a 1-3 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 6.75, Nick Pivetta has a 0-0 record and a 1.75 WHIP this season. He has 3 strikeouts over the 4 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 5 hits. He allows 11.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.75. The bullpen has an earned run average of 7.00 and they have given up 21 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .276 against the Phillies bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 13 batters and walked 9 opposing hitters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 11.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.1 batters per nine innings. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 5.8. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 44 base knocks and 23 earned runs this season. They have given up 4 home runs this year, which ranks 24th in Major League Baseball. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 15 hitters and struck out 28 batters. They give up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.65 while their FIP as a staff is 4.57.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .188, good for 28th in the league. The Phillies hold a .308 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .286, which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 27th in MLB with 6.3 hits per contest. Rhys Hoskins comes into this matchup batting .429 with an OBP of .500. He has 6 hits this year along with 3 RBI in 14 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .786 with an OPS+ of 237. Carlos Santana is hitting .143 this season and he has an OBP of .263. He has collected 2 hits in 14 at bats while driving in 3 runs. He has an OPS+ of 81 and a slugging percentage of .429. The Phillies as a unit have 25 base hits, including 7 doubles and 3 homers. Philadelphia has walked 18 times this year and they have struck out on 41 occasions. They have had 30 men left on base and have an OPS of .594. They have scored 3 runs per game and totaled 12 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Marlins/Phillies MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Phillies -166

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