Miami Marlins at Cincinnati Reds 5/6/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Sunday, May 6, 2018

Great American Ball Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Dan Straily vs. Brandon Finnegan

The Miami Marlins head to Great American Ball Park on Sunday, May 6, 2018 to take on the Cincinnati Reds. The expected starting pitchers are Dan Straily for the Marlins and Brandon Finnegan for the Reds.

The odds for this matchup have Miami at +103 and Cincinnati at -113. The Marlins have a 14-17-0 over/under mark and a 14-17-0 run line record. The Reds are 16-16-0 against the run line and have a 15-17-0 over/under record.

Valuable Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 14-17-0 against the over/under

The Miami Marlins are 14-17-0 against the run line

Important Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 15-17-0 against the over/under

The Cincinnati Reds are 16-16-0 against the run line

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

04/30/18 P Tyler Cloyd Paternity List is out indefinitely (04/30)
04/22/18 P Odrisamer Despaigne Forearm 10-day DL (04/20)
04/21/18 2B Mason Davis Forearm 7-day DL (04/21)
04/20/18 P Chris O'Grady Shoulder 10-day DL (04/17)
04/14/18 1B Garrett Cooper Wrist 60-day DL (04/02)
03/30/18 P Brett Graves Oblique 60-day DL (03/29)
03/26/18 P Elieser Hernandez Dental 10-day DL (03/26)

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

05/04/18 2B Scooter Gennett Shoulder is "?" Saturday vs Miami Marlins
05/03/18 P Amir Garrett Personal is out indefinitely
03/30/18 P Michael Lorenzen Shoulder 10-day DL (03/29)
03/26/18 P Rookie Davis Hip 60-day DL (03/02)
03/26/18 P Anthony DeSclafani Oblique 60-day DL (03/29)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Marlins have a 11-20 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Dan Straily has a 0-0 record with an earned run average of 9.00 and a WHIP of 2.50 this year. He has 2 strikeouts over his 4 innings pitched and he's given up 6 hits. He allows 13.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 12.17. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.94 and they have given up 122 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the bullpen and they've struck out 142 hitters and walked 61 batters. As a team, Miami allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.63. The Marlins pitchers collectively have given up 261 base hits and 146 earned runs. They have allowed 38 home runs this season, ranking them 12th in the league. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 136 batters and struck out 282. They have walked 4.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.40 and their FIP as a unit is 4.54.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Miami is hitting .224, good for 29th in the league. The Marlins hold a .325 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .295, which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 27th in MLB with 7.6 hits per game. Derek Dietrich is hitting .234 with an on-base percentage of .280. He has 29 hits this season in 124 at bats with 9 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .347 and an OPS+ of 79. Starlin Castro is hitting .302 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .359. He has totaled 35 hits and he has driven in 10 men in 116 at bats. His OPS+ is 106 while his slugging percentage is at .353. The Marlins have 237 hits, including 35 doubles and 22 home runs. Miami has walked 94 times so far this season and they have struck out 278 times as a unit. They have left 217 men on base and have a team OPS of .621. They score 3.19 runs per contest and have scored a total of 99 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Cincinnati has a 8-24 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 7.27, Brandon Finnegan has a 0-2 record and a 2.02 WHIP this season. He has 12 strikeouts over the 17.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 23 hits. He allows 11.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 7.61. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.85 and they have given up 115 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the Reds bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 111 batters and walked 57 opposing hitters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.5 batters per nine innings. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 5.16. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 290 base knocks and 162 earned runs this season. They have given up 50 home runs this year, which ranks 2nd in Major League Baseball. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 123 hitters and struck out 237 batters. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.46 while their FIP as a staff is 5.09.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .241, good for 19th in the league. The Reds hold a .363 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326, which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 19th in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. Jose Peraza comes into this matchup batting .298 with an OBP of .321. He has 37 hits this year along with 10 RBI in 124 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .403 with an OPS+ of 98. Joey Votto is hitting .259 this season and he has an OBP of .391. He has collected 29 hits in 112 at bats while driving in 15 runs. He has an OPS+ of 117 and a slugging percentage of .393. The Reds as a unit have 262 base hits, including 50 doubles and 26 homers. Cincinnati has walked 127 times this year and they have struck out on 263 occasions. They have had 247 men left on base and have an OPS of .689. They have scored 4 runs per game and totaled 128 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Marlins/Reds MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Reds -113

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