Wednesday, April 5, 2017

Tropicana Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Michael Pineda vs. Alex Cobb

The New York Yankees travel to Tropicana Field on Wednesday, April 5, 2017 to matchup against the Tampa Bay Rays. The probable pitchers are Michael Pineda for the Yankees and Alex Cobb for the Rays.

The opening line for this matchup has New York at +102 and Tampa Bay at -112. The Yankees had a 72-80-10 over/under record and a 81-81-0 run line mark last season, meaning they covered 50% of the time. The Rays were 76-86-0 against the run line and had a 78-75-9 over/under record. They covered the spread 47% of the time.

Valuable New York Yankees Betting Trends

The New York Yankees were 72-80-10 against the over/under last season

The New York Yankees were 81-81-0 against the run line last season

Important Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends

The Tampa Bay Rays were 78-75-9 against the over/under last season

The Tampa Bay Rays were 76-86-0 against the run line last season

Key New York Yankees Injuries

04/02/17 SS Didi Gregorius Shoulder 10-day DL (03/30)
04/02/17 1B Tyler Austin Ankle 60-day DL (4/2)

Key Tampa Bay Rays Injuries

04/03/17 P Brad Boxberge Arm 10-day DL (4/1)
04/01/17 LF Colby Rasmus Hip 10-day DL (4/1)
04/01/17 3B Matt Duffy Heel 10-day DL (4/1)
04/01/17 P Nathan Eovaldi Elbow 60-day DL (3/8)
04/01/17 C Wilson Ramos Knee 60-day DL (4/1)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Yankees are coming off a 84-78 record in 2016, including 36-45 on the road. Starting pitcher Michael Pineda had a 6-12 record with an earned run average of 4.82 and a WHIP of 1.35. He had 207 strikeouts over his 175.2 innings pitched and he gave up 184 hits last season. He allowed 9.4 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 3.8. The bullpen last year had an earned run average of 3.67 and they gave up 426 base hits on the year. Teams hit .221 against the bullpen while being struck out 578 times and walking 184 times last season. As a team, New York allowed 8.56 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.78 batters per nine innings. They were 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.16. The Yankees pitchers collectively gave up 1,358 base hits and 660 earned runs. They allowed 214 home runs last season and they allowed 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff walked 444 batters and struck out 1,393. They walked 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They had a team WHIP of 1.26 and their FIP as a unit was 4.20.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team New York batted .252, good for 20th in the league while putting together a .251 average away from home. The Yankees held a .405 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .314 which was good for 25th in baseball. They ranked 21st in baseball with 8.5 hits per game. Jacoby Ellsbury is coming off a 2016 season in which he hit .263 with an on-base percentage of .330. He had 145 hits last season along with 71 runs scored and 56 runs batted in. He struck out 84 times and walked 54 times. Brett Gardner hit .261 last year and he had an on-base percentage of .351. He totaled 143 hits while scoring 80 runs and he drove in 41. He walked 70 times and struck out on 106 occasions. The Yankees had 1,377 hits, including 245 doubles and 183 home runs. They stole 72 bases and were thrown out stealing 22 times. New York walked 475 times last season and they struck out 1,188 times as a unit. They left 1,098 men on base and had a team OPS of .720. They scored 4.2 runs per contest and scored a total of 680 runs last year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Tampa Bay had a 36-45 home record and a 68-94 overall mark in 2016. With an earned run average of 8.59, Alex Cobb had a 1-2 record and a 1.77 WHIP last season. He had 16 strikeouts over the 22 innings he pitched during which he gave up 32 hits. He allowed 13.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stood at 5.6. Last season the bullpen had an earned run average of 4.09 and they gave up 491 base hits on the year. Teams hit .250 against the Rays bullpen while being struck out 470 times and walking 201 times last season. As a team, Tampa Bay allowed 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.56 batters per nine innings. They were 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.20. The Rays pitchers as a team surrendered 1,395 base knocks and 665 earned runs last season. They gave up 210 home runs last year and they gave up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Tampa Bay as a staff walked 491 hitters and struck out 1,357. They gave up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they struck out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP was 1.32 while their FIP as a staff was 4.26.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they batted .243, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .234 average at home. The Rays held a .426 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .307 which was good for 27th in baseball. They ranked 27th in baseball with 8.23 hits per contest. Logan Morrison comes into this matchup after batting .238 with an OBP of .319. He had 84 hits last year along with 45 runs scored and 43 RBI. He struck out 89 times and walked on 37 occasions. Evan Longoria hit .273 in 2016 and he had an OBP of .318. He collected 173 hits while scoring 81 runs and driving in 98. He earned a walk 42 times and punched out 144 times. The Rays as a unit had 1,333 base hits, including 288 doubles and 216 homers. They had 60 stolen bases and were thrown out 37 times. Tampa Bay as a team walked 449 times last year and they struck out 1,482 times. They had 1,060 men left on base and had an OPS of .733. They scored 4.15 runs per game and totaled 672 runs last season.

Who will win tonight's Yankees/Rays MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Yankees +102

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