Wednesday, April 5, 2017

Miller Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Tyler Chatwood vs. Wily Peralta

The Colorado Rockies visit Miller Park on Wednesday, April 5, 2017 to play the Milwaukee Brewers. The probable starters are Tyler Chatwood for the Rockies and Wily Peralta for the Brewers.

The opening line for this matchup has Colorado at -109 and Milwaukee at -101. The Rockies had a 76-82-4 over/under record and a 83-79-0 run line mark last season, meaning they covered 51% of the time. The Brewers were 86-76-0 against the run line and had a 74-79-9 over/under record. They covered the spread 53% of the time.

Valuable Colorado Rockies Betting Trends

The Colorado Rockies were 76-82-4 against the over/under last season

The Colorado Rockies were 83-79-0 against the run line last season

Important Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers were 74-79-9 against the over/under last season

The Milwaukee Brewers were 86-76-0 against the run line last season

Key Colorado Rockies Injuries

04/03/17 P Chad Qualls Forearm 10-day DL (3/30)
04/03/17 P Chris Rusin Oblique 10-day DL (3/30)
04/03/17 1B Ian Desmond Hamstring 10-day DL (3/30)
04/03/17 P Jairo Diaz Arm 10-day DL (3/30)
03/16/17 P Chad Bettis Illness out indefinitely
03/16/17 LF David Dahl Ribs 10-day DL (3/30)
03/16/17 C Tom Murphy Forearm 10-day DL (3/30)

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

04/03/17 P Junior Guerra Calf 10-day DL
04/01/17 C Andrew Susac Trapezius 10-day DL (3/30)
03/31/17 P Matt Garza Groin 10-day DL (3/31)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Rockies are coming off a 75-87 record in 2016, including 33-48 on the road. Starting pitcher Tyler Chatwood had a 12-9 record with an earned run average of 3.87 and a WHIP of 1.37. He had 117 strikeouts over his 158 innings pitched and he gave up 147 hits last season. He allowed 8.4 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 4.32. The bullpen last year had an earned run average of 5.13 and they gave up 563 base hits on the year. Teams hit .269 against the bullpen while being struck out 477 times and walking 207 times last season. As a team, Colorado allowed 9.65 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.7 batters per nine innings. They were 28th in the league in team earned run average at 4.91. The Rockies pitchers collectively gave up 1,532 base hits and 779 earned runs. They allowed 181 home runs last season and they allowed 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Colorado as a pitching staff walked 547 batters and struck out 1,223. They walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.7 per 9. They had a team WHIP of 1.46 and their FIP as a unit was 4.38.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Colorado batted .275, good for 2nd in the league while putting together a .246 average away from home. The Rockies held a .457 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .336 which was good for 3rd in baseball. They ranked 2nd in baseball with 9.52 hits per game. Nolan Arenado is coming off a 2016 season in which he hit .294 with an on-base percentage of .362. He had 182 hits last season along with 116 runs scored and 133 runs batted in. He struck out 103 times and walked 68 times. Carlos Gonzalez hit .298 last year and he had an on-base percentage of .350. He totaled 174 hits while scoring 87 runs and he drove in 100. He walked 46 times and struck out on 129 occasions. The Rockies had 1,544 hits, including 318 doubles and 204 home runs. They stole 66 bases and were thrown out stealing 39 times. Colorado walked 494 times last season and they struck out 1,330 times as a unit. They left 1,089 men on base and had a team OPS of .794. They scored 5.22 runs per contest and scored a total of 845 runs last year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Milwaukee had a 41-40 home record and a 73-89 overall mark in 2016. With an earned run average of 4.86, Wily Peralta had a 7-11 record and a 1.53 WHIP last season. He had 93 strikeouts over the 127.2 innings he pitched during which he gave up 152 hits. He allowed 10.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stood at 4.71. Last season the bullpen had an earned run average of 3.61 and they gave up 528 base hits on the year. Teams hit .249 against the Brewers bullpen while being struck out 493 times and walking 210 times last season. As a team, Milwaukee allowed 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.37 batters per nine innings. They were 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.08. The Brewers pitchers as a team surrendered 1,450 base knocks and 650 earned runs last season. They gave up 178 home runs last year and they gave up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a staff walked 532 hitters and struck out 1,175. They gave up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they struck out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP was 1.38 while their FIP as a staff was 4.37.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they batted .244, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .245 average at home. The Brewers held a .407 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322 which was good for 12th in baseball. They ranked 29th in baseball with 8.02 hits per contest. Jonathan Villar comes into this matchup after batting .285 with an OBP of .369. He had 168 hits last year along with 92 runs scored and 63 RBI. He struck out 174 times and walked on 79 occasions. Ryan Braun hit .305 in 2016 and he had an OBP of .365. He collected 156 hits while scoring 80 runs and driving in 91. He earned a walk 46 times and punched out 98 times. The Brewers as a unit had 1,299 base hits, including 249 doubles and 194 homers. They had 181 stolen bases and were thrown out 56 times. Milwaukee as a team walked 599 times last year and they struck out 1,543 times. They had 1,071 men left on base and had an OPS of .729. They scored 4.14 runs per game and totaled 671 runs last season.

Who will win tonight's Rockies/Brewers MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Rockies -109

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