Saturday, April 1, 2017

Max Bishop Stadium

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Eduardo Rodriguez vs. Joe Ross

The Boston Red Sox head Max Bishop Stadium on Saturday, April 1, 2017 to take on the Washington Nationals in a Spring Training game. The starters are Eduardo Rodriguez for the Red Sox and Joe Ross for the Nationals.

The opening line for this game has Boston at +100 and Washington at -120. The Red Sox had a 77-78-7 over/under record and a 83-79-0 run line mark last season, meaning they covered 51% of the time. The Nationals were 83-79-0 against the run line and had a 76-78-8 over/under record. They covered the spread 51% of the time.

Valuable Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox were 77-78-7 against the over/under last season

The Boston Red Sox were 83-79-0 against the run line last season

Important Washington Nationals Betting Trends

The Washington Nationals were 76-78-8 against the over/under last season

The Washington Nationals were 83-79-0 against the run line last season

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

3/30/2017 Mookie Betts RF Triceps Questionable for start of season
3/30/2017 Drew Pomeranz SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Apr 9
3/29/2017 Mitch Moreland 1B Illness Questionable for start of season
3/29/2017 Josh Rutledge 2B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Apr 15
3/29/2017 Carson Smith RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 10
3/29/2017 Tyler Thornburg SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least May 1
3/23/2017 Josh Pennington SP Elbow Questionable for start of season
3/21/2017 David Price SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least May 1
3/11/2017 Roenis Elias RP Ribs Questionable for start of season

Key Washington Nationals Injuries

3/30/2017 Anthony Rendon 3B Calf Questionable for start of season
3/30/2017 Jayson Werth LF Toe Questionable for start of season
3/23/2017 Jose Marmolejos 1B Forearm Expected to be out until at least Apr 24
3/7/2017 Nick Lee RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Apr 15
2/27/2017 A.J. Cole SP Suspension Questionable for start of season
11/18/2016 Bryan Harper RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Red Sox are coming off a 93-69 record in 2016, including 46-35 on the road. Starting pitcher Eduardo Rodriguez had a 3-7 record with an earned run average of 4.71 and a WHIP of 1.30. He had 100 strikeouts over his 107 innings pitched and he gave up 99 hits last season. He allowed 8.3 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 4.43. The bullpen last year had an earned run average of 3.56 and they gave up 411 base hits on the year. Teams hit .231 against the bullpen while being struck out 507 times and walking 193 times last season. As a team, Boston allowed 8.38 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.51 batters per nine innings. They were 9th in the league in team earned run average at 4.00. The Red Sox pitchers collectively gave up 1,341 base hits and 640 earned runs. They allowed 176 home runs last season and they allowed 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a pitching staff walked 490 batters and struck out 1,362. They walked 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.5 per 9. They had a team WHIP of 1.27 and their FIP as a unit was 4.00.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Boston batted .282, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .264 average away from home. The Red Sox held a .461 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .348 which was good for 1st in baseball. They ranked 1st in baseball with 9.86 hits per game. Xander Bogaerts is coming off a 2016 season in which he hit .294 with an on-base percentage of .356. He had 192 hits last season along with 115 runs scored and 89 runs batted in. He struck out 123 times and walked 58 times. Mookie Betts hit .318 last year and he had an on-base percentage of .363. He totaled 214 hits while scoring 122 runs and he drove in 113. He walked 49 times and struck out on 80 occasions. The Red Sox had 1,598 hits, including 343 doubles and 208 home runs. They stole 83 bases and were thrown out stealing 24 times. Boston walked 558 times last season and they struck out 1,160 times as a unit. They left 1,162 men on base and had a team OPS of .810. They scored 5.42 runs per contest and scored a total of 878 runs last year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Washington had a 50-31 home record and a 95-67 overall mark in 2016. With an earned run average of 3.43, Joe Ross had a 7-5 record and a 1.31 WHIP last season. He had 93 strikeouts over the 105 innings he pitched during which he gave up 108 hits. He allowed 9.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stood at 3.49. Last season the bullpen had an earned run average of 3.37 and they gave up 429 base hits on the year. Teams hit .230 against the Nationals bullpen while being struck out 489 times and walking 164 times last season. As a team, Washington allowed 7.84 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They were 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.51. The Nationals pitchers as a team surrendered 1,272 base knocks and 570 earned runs last season. They gave up 155 home runs last year and they gave up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Washington as a staff walked 468 hitters and struck out 1,476. They gave up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they struck out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP was 1.19 while their FIP as a staff was 3.58.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they batted .256, good for 17th in the league while putting together a .252 average at home. The Nationals held a .426 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326 which was good for 10th in baseball. They ranked 20th in baseball with 8.66 hits per contest. Daniel Murphy comes into this matchup after batting .347 with an OBP of .390. He had 184 hits last year along with 88 runs scored and 104 RBI. He struck out 57 times and walked on 35 occasions. Bryce Harper hit .243 in 2016 and he had an OBP of .373. He collected 123 hits while scoring 84 runs and driving in 86. He earned a walk 108 times and punched out 117 times. The Nationals as a unit had 1,403 base hits, including 268 doubles and 203 homers. They had 121 stolen bases and were thrown out 39 times. Washington as a team walked 536 times last year and they struck out 1,252 times. They had 1,105 men left on base and had an OPS of .751. They scored 4.71 runs per game and totaled 763 runs last season.

Who will win tonight's Red Sox/Nationals MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Nationals -120

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