Thursday, May 4, 2017

Great American Ball Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Ivan Nova vs. Tim Adleman

The Pittsburgh Pirates visit Great American Ball Park on Thursday, May 4, 2017 to play the Cincinnati Reds. The probable starters are Ivan Nova for the Pirates and Tim Adleman for the Reds.

The opening line for this matchup has Pittsburgh at -118 and Cincinnati at +108. The Pirates have a 12-14-0 over/under record and a 14-12-0 run line mark. The Reds are 14-12-0 against the run line and have a 15-10-1 over/under record.

Valuable Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 12-14-0 against the over/under

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 14-12-0 against the run line

Important Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 15-10-1 against the over/under

The Cincinnati Reds are 14-12-0 against the run line

Key Pittsburgh Pirates Injuries

05/02/17 C Francisco Cervelli Foot "?" Wednesday vs. Cincinnati Reds
04/30/17 P Chad Kuhl Knee left last game, "?" for next scheduled start
04/29/17 3B David Freese Hamstring 10-day DL (04/26)
04/26/17 P Antonio Bastardo Quad 10-day DL (4/25)
04/25/17 LF Adam Frazier Hamstring 10-day DL (4/23)
04/18/17 CF Starling Marte Suspension 80-game suspension

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

04/21/17 P Tony Cingrani Oblique 10-day DL (4/19)
04/16/17 P Brandon Finnegan Shoulder 10-day DL (4/16)
04/03/17 P Nefi Ogando Hand 10-day DL (3/30)
04/02/17 P Anthony DeSclafa Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
04/02/17 P Austin Brice Undisclosed 10-day DL (4/2)
04/02/17 P Nick Travieso Shoulder 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/17 P Homer Bailey Elbow 60-day DL

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Pirates have a 12-14 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Ivan Nova has a 3-2 record with an earned run average of 1.50 and a WHIP of 0.75. He has 22 strikeouts over his 36 innings pitched and he's given up 26 hits. He allows 6.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.67. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.29 and they have given up 91 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .264 against the bullpen and they've struck out 67 hitters and walked 33 batters. As a team, Pittsburgh allows 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.3 batters per nine innings. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.87. The Pirates pitchers collectively have given up 227 base hits and 96 earned runs. They have allowed 22 home runs this season, ranking them 28th in the league. Pittsburgh as a pitching staff has walked 77 batters and struck out 180. They have walked 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit is 3.86.

For expert handicapping advice on this matchup and other MLB games check out our handicapping tips.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Pittsburgh is hitting .237, good for 22nd in the league. The Pirates hold a .380 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .320, which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 23rd in MLB with 7.9 hits per game. Andrew McCutchen is hitting .247 with an on-base percentage of .333. He has 22 hits this season in 89 at bats with 13 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .438 and an OPS+ of 102. Josh Harrison is hitting .313 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .383. He has totaled 26 hits and he has driven in 8 men in 83 at bats. His OPS+ is 133 while his slugging percentage is at .506. The Pirates have 197 hits, including 32 doubles and 23 home runs. Pittsburgh has walked 90 times so far this season and they have struck out 172 times as a unit. They have left 179 men on base and have a team OPS of .700. They score 3.72 runs per contest and have scored a total of 93 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Cincinnati has a 12-14 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.70, Tim Adleman has a 0-1 record and a 1.11 WHIP. He has 15 strikeouts over the 15.1 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 14 hits. He allows 8.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 6.06. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.34 and they have given up 80 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .199 against the Reds bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 131 batters and walked 47 opposing hitters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 7.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.54. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 193 base knocks and 113 earned runs this season. They have given up 36 home runs this year, which ranks 4th in Major League Baseball. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 101 hitters and struck out 232 batters. They give up a walk 4.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.31 while their FIP as a staff is 4.50.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .251, good for 13th in the league. The Reds hold a .442 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .313, which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 10th in MLB with 8.6 hits per contest. Joey Votto comes into this matchup batting .247 with an OBP of .333. He has 23 hits this year along with 19 RBI in 93 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .559 with an OPS+ of 131. Zack Cozart is hitting .333 this season and he has an OBP of .427. He has collected 25 hits in 75 at bats while driving in 9 runs. He has an OPS+ of 163 and a slugging percentage of .573. The Reds as a unit have 216 base hits, including 51 doubles and 34 homers. Cincinnati has walked 74 times this year and they have struck out on 194 occasions. They have had 168 men left on base and have an OPS of .755. They have scored 4.72 runs per game and totaled 118 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Pirates/Reds MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Pirates -118

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