Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees 10/3/2017 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Tuesday, October 3, 2017

Yankee Stadium

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Ervin Santana vs. Luis Severino

The Minnesota Twins visit Yankee Stadium on Tuesday, October 3, 2017 to play the New York Yankees in the AL Wild Card game. The probable starters are Ervin Santana for the Twins and Luis Severino for the Yankees.

The opening line for this matchup has Minnesota at +197 and New York at -213. The Twins have a 73-79-10 over/under record and a 87-75-0 run line mark. The Yankees are 88-74-0 against the run line and have a 83-76-3 over/under record.

Valuable Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Minnesota Twins are 73-79-10 against the over/under

The Minnesota Twins are 87-75-0 against the run line

Important New York Yankees Betting Trends

The New York Yankees are 83-76-3 against the over/under

The New York Yankees are 88-74-0 against the run line

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

10/01/17 P J.T. Chargois Elbow 60-day DL (09/05)
07/19/17 P Phil Hughes Ribs 60-day DL (07/18)
07/06/17 P Hector Santiago Back 60-day DL (07/03)
05/28/17 P Ryan O'Rourke Forearm 60-day DL (03/30)
03/11/17 P Trevor May Elbow 60-day DL (03/22)

Key New York Yankees Injuries

09/17/17 P Caleb Smith Virus 10-day DL (09/14)
08/15/17 P Luis Cessa Ribs 60-day DL (08/15)
07/16/17 P Michael Pineda Elbow 60-day DL (07/11)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Twins have a 85-77 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Ervin Santana has a 16-8 record with an earned run average of 3.28 and a WHIP of 1.13. He has 167 strikeouts over his 211.1 innings pitched and he's given up 177 hits. He allows 7.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.46. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.40 and they have given up 569 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .257 against the bullpen and they've struck out 482 hitters and walked 187 batters. As a team, Minnesota allows 9.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.3 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.59. The Twins pitchers collectively have given up 1,487 base hits and 732 earned runs. They have allowed 224 home runs this season, ranking them 6th in the league. Minnesota as a pitching staff has walked 483 batters and struck out 1,166. They have walked 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.37 and their FIP as a unit is 4.72.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Minnesota is hitting .260, good for 9th in the league. The Twins hold a .434 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .334, which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 10th in MLB with 8.9 hits per game. Brian Dozier is hitting .269 with an on-base percentage of .357. He has 166 hits this season in 617 at bats with 93 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .496 and an OPS+ of 126. Eddie Rosario is hitting .290 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .328. He has totaled 157 hits and he has driven in 78 men in 542 at bats. His OPS+ is 120 while his slugging percentage is at .507. The Twins have 1,443 hits, including 286 doubles and 206 home runs. Minnesota has walked 593 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,342 times as a unit. They have left 1,147 men on base and have a team OPS of .767. They score 5.03 runs per contest and have scored a total of 815 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 91-71 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.98, Luis Severino has a 14-6 record and a 1.04 WHIP. He has 230 strikeouts over the 193.1 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 150 hits. He allows 7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.08. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.34 and they have given up 402 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .201 against the Yankees bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 653 batters and walked 225 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 7.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.7 batters per nine innings. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.72. The Yankees pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,248 base knocks and 599 earned runs this season. They have given up 192 home runs this year, which ranks 19th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 504 hitters and struck out 1,560 batters. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.21 while their FIP as a staff is 3.88.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .262, good for 7th in the league. The Yankees hold a .447 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .339, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 9.0 hits per contest. Brett Gardner comes into this matchup batting .264 with an OBP of .350. He has 157 hits this year along with 63 RBI in 594 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .428 with an OPS+ of 104. Aaron Judge is hitting .284 this season and he has an OBP of .422. He has collected 154 hits in 542 at bats while driving in 114 runs. He has an OPS+ of 171 and a slugging percentage of .627. The Yankees as a unit have 1,463 base hits, including 266 doubles and 241 homers. New York has walked 616 times this year and they have struck out on 1,386 occasions. They have had 1,184 men left on base and have an OPS of .785. They have scored 5.3 runs per game and totaled 858 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Twins/Yankees MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Twins +197

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