Thursday, June 29, 2017

Great American Ball Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jimmy Nelson vs. Homer Bailey

The Milwaukee Brewers visit Great American Ball Park on Thursday, June 29, 2017 to play the Cincinnati Reds. The probable starters are Jimmy Nelson for the Brewers and Homer Bailey for the Reds.

The opening line for this matchup has Milwaukee at -105 and Cincinnati at -105. The Brewers have a 43-32-4 over/under record and a 45-34-0 run line mark. The Reds are 41-35-0 against the run line and have a 46-27-3 over/under record.

Valuable Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 43-32-4 against the over/under

The Milwaukee Brewers are 45-34-0 against the run line

Important Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 46-27-3 against the over/under

The Cincinnati Reds are 41-35-0 against the run line

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

06/21/17 P Wily Peralta Calf 10-day DL (06/21)
06/14/17 P Brandon Woodruff Hamstring 10-day DL (06/13)

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

06/28/17 P Brandon Finnegan Tricep out indefinitely
06/26/17 P Bronson Arroyo Shoulder 60-day DL (06/19)
06/19/17 SS Zack Cozart Quad 10-day DL (06/18)
06/18/17 P Anthony DeSclafani Elbow 60-day DL (04/02)
04/03/17 P Nefi Ogando Hand 60-day DL (03/30)
04/02/17 P Nick Travieso Shoulder 60-day DL (04/02)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Brewers have a 41-38 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jimmy Nelson has a 5-4 record with an earned run average of 3.50 and a WHIP of 1.30. He has 93 strikeouts over his 90 innings pitched and he's given up 93 hits. He allows 9.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.2. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.20 and they have given up 260 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .246 against the bullpen and they've struck out 273 hitters and walked 135 batters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.9 batters per nine innings. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.23. The Brewers pitchers collectively have given up 704 base hits and 335 earned runs. They have allowed 97 home runs this season, ranking them 14th in the league. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 276 batters and struck out 628. They have walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.38 and their FIP as a unit is 4.44.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Milwaukee is hitting .252, good for 19th in the league. The Brewers hold a .444 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324, which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 18th in MLB with 8.6 hits per game. Domingo Santana is hitting .272 with an on-base percentage of .364. He has 70 hits this season in 257 at bats with 40 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .463 and an OPS+ of 113. Eric Thames is hitting .245 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .373. He has totaled 61 hits and he has driven in 40 men in 249 at bats. His OPS+ is 136 while his slugging percentage is at .550. The Brewers have 680 hits, including 150 doubles and 113 home runs. Milwaukee has walked 259 times so far this season and they have struck out 754 times as a unit. They have left 522 men on base and have a team OPS of .768. They score 4.77 runs per contest and have scored a total of 377 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Cincinnati has a 32-44 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 43.20, Homer Bailey has a 0-1 record and a 5.40 WHIP. He has 2 strikeouts over the 1.2 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 6 hits. He allows 32.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 6.14. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.10 and they have given up 274 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .237 against the Reds bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 284 batters and walked 131 opposing hitters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.7 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.28. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 687 base knocks and 397 earned runs this season. They have given up 127 home runs this year, which ranks 1st in Major League Baseball. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 299 hitters and struck out 582 batters. They give up a walk 4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.46 while their FIP as a staff is 5.35.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .262, good for 10th in the league. The Reds hold a .454 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327, which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 9.1 hits per contest. Adam Duvall comes into this matchup batting .281 with an OBP of .326. He has 79 hits this year along with 52 RBI in 281 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .548 with an OPS+ of 122. Joey Votto is hitting .304 this season and he has an OBP of .414. He has collected 84 hits in 276 at bats while driving in 55 runs. He has an OPS+ of 159 and a slugging percentage of .594. The Reds as a unit have 693 base hits, including 136 doubles and 109 homers. Cincinnati has walked 233 times this year and they have struck out on 614 occasions. They have had 536 men left on base and have an OPS of .782. They have scored 4.91 runs per game and totaled 373 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Brewers/Reds MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Brewers -105

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