Thursday, April 13, 2017

Great American Ball Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jimmy Nelson vs. Bronson Arroyo

Great American Ball Park is the site of the matchup between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Cincinnati Reds on Thursday, April 13, 2017. The probable starting pitchers are Jimmy Nelson for the Brewers and Bronson Arroyo for the Reds.

Milwaukee opens at +107 while Cincinnati opens at -117. The Brewers have a 4-4-0 over/under record and a 4-4-0 run line mark. The Reds are 6-2-0 against the run line and have a 2-5-1 over/under record.

Valuable Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 4-4-0 against the over/under

The Milwaukee Brewers are 4-4-0 against the run line

Important Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 2-5-1 against the over/under

The Cincinnati Reds are 6-2-0 against the run line

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

04/03/17 P Junior Guerra Calf 10-day DL
04/01/17 C Andrew Susac Trapezius 10-day DL (3/30)
03/31/17 P Matt Garza Groin 10-day DL (3/31)

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

04/11/17 SS Zack Cozart Wrist "?" Wednesday vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
04/03/17 P Nefi Ogando Hand 10-day DL (3/30)
04/02/17 P Anthony DeSclafa Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
04/02/17 P Austin Brice Undisclosed 10-day DL (4/2)
04/02/17 C Devin Mesoraco Hip 10-day DL (3/30)
04/02/17 P Nick Travieso Shoulder 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/17 P Homer Bailey Elbow 60-day DL

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Brewers have a 3-5 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jimmy Nelson has a 0-0 record with an earned run average of 1.50 and a WHIP of 1.00. He has 8 strikeouts over his 6 innings pitched and he's given up 4 hits. He allows 6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.95. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.12 and they have given up 30 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .242 against the bullpen and they've struck out 29 hitters and walked 24 batters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8 batters per nine innings. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.14. The Brewers pitchers collectively have given up 71 base hits and 34 earned runs. They have allowed 6 home runs this season, ranking them 26th in the league. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 40 batters and struck out 66. They have walked 4.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.50 and their FIP as a unit is 3.97.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Milwaukee is hitting .225, good for 21st in the league. The Brewers hold a .431 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .294, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 20th in MLB with 7.5 hits per game. Jonathan Villar is hitting .143 with an on-base percentage of .167. He has 5 hits this season in 35 at bats with 5 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .343 and an OPS+ of 30. Travis Shaw is hitting .267 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .353. He has totaled 8 hits and he has driven in 7 men in 30 at bats. His OPS+ is 146 while his slugging percentage is at .600. The Brewers have 60 hits, including 15 doubles and 12 home runs. Milwaukee has walked 23 times so far this season and they have struck out 94 times as a unit. They have left 44 men on base and have a team OPS of .724. They score 4.12 runs per contest and have scored a total of 33 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Cincinnati has a 6-2 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 13.50, Bronson Arroyo has a 0-1 record and a 2.25 WHIP. He has 3 strikeouts over the 4 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 6 hits. He allows 13.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 10.2. The bullpen has an earned run average of 1.31 and they have given up 17 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .145 against the Reds bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 37 batters and walked 18 opposing hitters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 6.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 2.54. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 48 base knocks and 20 earned runs this season. They have given up 6 home runs this year, which ranks 25th in Major League Baseball. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 38 hitters and struck out 76 batters. They give up a walk 4.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.21 while their FIP as a staff is 3.56.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .263, good for 6th in the league. The Reds hold a .485 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .321, which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 9th in MLB with 8.8 hits per contest. Joey Votto comes into this matchup batting .161 with an OBP of .212. He has 5 hits this year along with 3 RBI in 31 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .419 with an OPS+ of 61. Zack Cozart is hitting .450 this season and he has an OBP of .478. He has collected 9 hits in 20 at bats while driving in 4 runs. He has an OPS+ of 206 and a slugging percentage of .700. The Reds as a unit have 70 base hits, including 14 doubles and 13 homers. Cincinnati has walked 20 times this year and they have struck out on 51 occasions. They have had 48 men left on base and have an OPS of .806. They have scored 4.88 runs per game and totaled 39 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Brewers/Reds MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Reds -117

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