Marlins at Nationals 4/6/2017 Free MLB Picks & Predictions
by Guy Bruhn - 4/5/2017
Thursday, April 6, 2017
Nationals Park
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Tom Koehler vs. Gio Gonzalez
The Miami Marlins head to Nationals Park on Thursday, April 6, 2017 to take on the Washington Nationals. The starters are Tom Koehler for the Marlins and Gio Gonzalez for the Nationals.
The opening line for this game has Miami at +160 and Washington at -170. The Marlins had a 80-75-6 over/under record and a 76-85-0 run line mark last season, meaning they covered 47% of the time. The Nationals were 83-79-0 against the run line and had a 76-78-8 over/under record. They covered the spread 51% of the time.
Valuable Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins were 80-75-6 against the over/under last season
The Miami Marlins were 76-85-0 against the run line last season
Important Washington Nationals Betting Trends
The Washington Nationals were 76-78-8 against the over/under last season
The Washington Nationals were 83-79-0 against the run line last season
Key Miami Marlins Injuries
04/02/17 P Odrisamer Despaign Oblique 10-day DL (3/30)
04/01/17 P Jeff Locke Bicep 10-day DL (3/30)
03/31/17 3B Martin Prado Hamstring 10-day DL (3/30)
Key Washington Nationals Injuries
04/03/17 3B Anthony Rendon Calf "?" Wednesday vs. Miami
Useful Pitching Statistics
Starting pitcher Tom Koehler had a 9-13 record with an earned run average of 4.33 and a WHIP of 1.47. He had 147 strikeouts over his 176.2 innings pitched and he gave up 176 hits last season. He allowed 9 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 4.6. The bullpen last year had an earned run average of 3.63 and they gave up 492 base hits on the year. Teams hit .232 against the bullpen while being struck out 570 times and walking 262 times last season. As a team, Miami allowed 8.52 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.65 batters per nine innings. They were 10th in the league in team earned run average at 4.05. The Marlins pitchers collectively gave up 1,358 base hits and 646 earned runs. They allowed 152 home runs last season and they allowed 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a pitching staff walked 595 batters and struck out 1,379. They walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They had a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit was 3.97.
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Hitting Statistics
As a team Miami batted .263, good for 4th in the league while putting together a .275 average away from home. The Marlins held a .394 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322 which was good for 13th in baseball. They ranked 5th in baseball with 9.07 hits per game. Giancarlo Stanton is coming off a 2016 season in which he hit .240 with an on-base percentage of .326. He had 99 hits last season along with 56 runs scored and 74 runs batted in. He struck out 140 times and walked 50 times. Christian Yelich hit .298 last year and he had an on-base percentage of .376. He totaled 172 hits while scoring 78 runs and he drove in 98. He walked 72 times and struck out on 138 occasions. The Marlins had 1,460 hits, including 259 doubles and 128 home runs. They stole 71 bases and were thrown out stealing 28 times. Miami walked 447 times last season and they struck out 1,213 times as a unit. They left 1,171 men on base and had a team OPS of .716. They scored 4.07 runs per contest and scored a total of 655 runs last year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
With an earned run average of 4.57, Gio Gonzalez had a 11-11 record and a 1.34 WHIP last season. He had 171 strikeouts over the 177.1 innings he pitched during which he gave up 179 hits. He allowed 9.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stood at 3.76. Last season the bullpen had an earned run average of 3.37 and they gave up 429 base hits on the year. Teams hit .230 against the Nationals bullpen while being struck out 489 times and walking 164 times last season. As a team, Washington allowed 7.84 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They were 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.51. The Nationals pitchers as a team surrendered 1,272 base knocks and 570 earned runs last season. They gave up 155 home runs last year and they gave up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Washington as a staff walked 468 hitters and struck out 1,476. They gave up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they struck out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP was 1.19 while their FIP as a staff was 3.58.
Hitting Statistics
As a team, they batted .256, good for 17th in the league while putting together a .252 average at home. The Nationals held a .426 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326 which was good for 10th in baseball. They ranked 20th in baseball with 8.66 hits per contest. Bryce Harper comes into this matchup after batting .243 with an OBP of .373. He had 123 hits last year along with 84 runs scored and 86 RBI. He struck out 117 times and walked on 108 occasions. Daniel Murphy hit .347 in 2016 and he had an OBP of .390. He collected 184 hits while scoring 88 runs and driving in 104. He earned a walk 35 times and punched out 57 times. The Nationals as a unit had 1,403 base hits, including 268 doubles and 203 homers. They had 121 stolen bases and were thrown out 39 times. Washington as a team walked 536 times last year and they struck out 1,252 times. They had 1,105 men left on base and had an OPS of .751. They scored 4.71 runs per game and totaled 763 runs last season.
Who will win tonight's Marlins/Nationals MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Nationals -170
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