Sunday, April 30, 2017

Busch Stadium

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Bronson Arroyo vs. Mike Leake

The Cincinnati Reds visit Busch Stadium on Sunday, April 30, 2017 to play the St. Louis Cardinals. The probable starters are Bronson Arroyo for the Reds and Mike Leake for the Cardinals.

The opening line for this matchup has Cincinnati at +166 and St. Louis at -176. The Reds have a 13-9-1 over/under record and a 12-11-0 run line mark. The Cardinals are 11-12-0 against the run line and have a 12-9-2 over/under record.

Valuable Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 13-9-1 against the over/under

The Cincinnati Reds are 12-11-0 against the run line

Important St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends

The St. Louis Cardinals are 12-9-2 against the over/under

The St. Louis Cardinals are 11-12-0 against the run line

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

04/21/17 P Tony Cingrani Oblique 10-day DL (4/19)
04/16/17 P Brandon Finnegan Shoulder 10-day DL (4/16)
04/03/17 P Nefi Ogando Hand 10-day DL (3/30)
04/02/17 P Anthony DeSclafa Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
04/02/17 P Austin Brice Undisclosed 10-day DL (4/2)
04/02/17 P Nick Travieso Shoulder 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/17 P Homer Bailey Elbow 60-day DL

Key St. Louis Cardinals Injuries

04/20/17 3B Jhonny Peralta Respiratory 10-day DL (4/20)
04/18/17 P John Gant Groin 10-day DL (3/30)
04/10/17 P Alex Reyes Elbow 10-day DL (3/30)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Reds have a 10-13 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Bronson Arroyo has a 2-2 record with an earned run average of 6.86 and a WHIP of 1.24. He has 16 strikeouts over his 21 innings pitched and he's given up 21 hits. He allows 9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.91. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.33 and they have given up 72 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .201 against the bullpen and they've struck out 117 hitters and walked 40 batters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.5 batters per nine innings. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 4.65. The Reds pitchers collectively have given up 182 base hits and 106 earned runs. They have allowed 33 home runs this season, ranking them 3rd in the league. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 93 batters and struck out 217. They have walked 4.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.34 and their FIP as a unit is 4.46.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Cincinnati is hitting .247, good for 15th in the league. The Reds hold a .444 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .310, which is good for 20th in baseball. They rank 12th in MLB with 8.4 hits per game. Joey Votto is hitting .247 with an on-base percentage of .333. He has 21 hits this season in 85 at bats with 18 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .588 and an OPS+ of 139. Zack Cozart is hitting .379 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .475. He has totaled 25 hits and he has driven in 9 men in 66 at bats. His OPS+ is 197 while his slugging percentage is at .652. The Reds have 194 hits, including 44 doubles and 33 home runs. Cincinnati has walked 68 times so far this season and they have struck out 175 times as a unit. They have left 151 men on base and have a team OPS of .754. They score 4.74 runs per contest and have scored a total of 109 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

St. Louis has a 12-11 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 1.32, Mike Leake has a 3-1 record and a 0.88 WHIP. He has 20 strikeouts over the 27.1 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 20 hits. He allows 6.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 1.98. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.27 and they have given up 73 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .260 against the Cardinals bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 66 batters and walked 32 opposing hitters. As a team, St. Louis allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.04. The Cardinals pitchers as a team have surrendered 203 base knocks and 92 earned runs this season. They have given up 24 home runs this year, which ranks 21st in Major League Baseball. St. Louis as a staff has walked 73 hitters and struck out 199 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.35 while their FIP as a staff is 3.82.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .250, good for 12th in the league. The Cardinals hold a .406 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323, which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 13th in MLB with 8.4 hits per contest. Aledmys Diaz comes into this matchup batting .227 with an OBP of .236. He has 20 hits this year along with 7 RBI in 88 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .409 with an OPS+ of 69. Matt Carpenter is hitting .224 this season and he has an OBP of .357. He has collected 15 hits in 67 at bats while driving in 11 runs. He has an OPS+ of 98 and a slugging percentage of .373. The Cardinals as a unit have 193 base hits, including 41 doubles and 24 homers. St. Louis has walked 79 times this year and they have struck out on 181 occasions. They have had 167 men left on base and have an OPS of .729. They have scored 4.13 runs per game and totaled 95 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Reds/Cardinals MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Cardinals -176

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