Friday, April 21, 2017

Great American Ball Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jon Lester vs. Tim Adleman

The Chicago Cubs visit Great American Ball Park on Friday, April 21, 2017 to play the Cincinnati Reds. The probable starters are Jon Lester for the Cubs and Tim Adleman for the Reds.

The opening line for this matchup has Chicago at -190 and Cincinnati at +165. The Cubs have a 7-7-1 over/under record and a 6-9-0 run line mark. The Reds are 9-6-0 against the run line and have a 6-8-1 over/under record.

Valuable Chicago Cubs Betting Trends

The Chicago Cubs are 7-7-1 against the over/under

The Chicago Cubs are 6-9-0 against the run line

Important Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 6-8-1 against the over/under

The Cincinnati Reds are 9-6-0 against the run line

Key Chicago Cubs Injuries

04/17/17 2B Tommy La Stella Personal out indefinitely

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

04/16/17 P Brandon Finnegan Shoulder 10-day DL (4/16)
04/12/17 P Rookie Davis Forearm 10-day DL (4/12)
04/03/17 P Nefi Ogando Hand 10-day DL (3/30)
04/02/17 P Anthony DeSclafa Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
04/02/17 P Austin Brice Undisclosed 10-day DL (4/2)
04/02/17 C Devin Mesoraco Hip 10-day DL (3/30)
04/02/17 P Nick Travieso Shoulder 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/17 P Homer Bailey Elbow 60-day DL

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Cubs have a 8-7 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jon Lester has a 0-0 record with an earned run average of 1.00 and a WHIP of 1.06. He has 17 strikeouts over his 18 innings pitched and he's given up 14 hits. He allows 7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.02. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.53 and they have given up 35 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .189 against the bullpen and they've struck out 56 hitters and walked 26 batters. As a team, Chicago allows 7.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 3.57. The Cubs pitchers collectively have given up 109 base hits and 54 earned runs. They have allowed 19 home runs this season, ranking them 9th in the league. Chicago as a pitching staff has walked 54 batters and struck out 137. They have walked 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.20 and their FIP as a unit is 4.01.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Chicago is hitting .252, good for 11th in the league. The Cubs hold a .389 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .337, which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 8.7 hits per game. Kris Bryant is hitting .230 with an on-base percentage of .338. He has 14 hits this season in 61 at bats with 9 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .410 and an OPS+ of 107. Kyle Schwarber is hitting .232 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .368. He has totaled 13 hits and he has driven in 8 men in 56 at bats. His OPS+ is 125 while his slugging percentage is at .446. The Cubs have 131 hits, including 26 doubles and 13 home runs. Chicago has walked 57 times so far this season and they have struck out 137 times as a unit. They have left 120 men on base and have a team OPS of .726. They score 4.4 runs per contest and have scored a total of 66 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Cincinnati has a 9-6 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.25, Tim Adleman has a 0-0 record and a 0.50 WHIP. He has 5 strikeouts over the 4 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 2 hits. He allows 4.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.66. The bullpen has an earned run average of 2.40 and they have given up 42 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .186 against the Reds bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 80 batters and walked 24 opposing hitters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 7.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.9 batters per nine innings. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.36. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 105 base knocks and 50 earned runs this season. They have given up 17 home runs this year, which ranks 13th in Major League Baseball. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 59 hitters and struck out 148 batters. They give up a walk 4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.22 while their FIP as a staff is 3.78.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .255, good for 9th in the league. The Reds hold a .443 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .318, which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 11th in MLB with 8.5 hits per contest. Zack Cozart comes into this matchup batting .405 with an OBP of .490. He has 17 hits this year along with 8 RBI in 42 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .667 with an OPS+ of 213. Joey Votto is hitting .222 this season and he has an OBP of .328. He has collected 12 hits in 54 at bats while driving in 8 runs. He has an OPS+ of 122 and a slugging percentage of .500. The Reds as a unit have 127 base hits, including 27 doubles and 19 homers. Cincinnati has walked 42 times this year and they have struck out on 94 occasions. They have had 96 men left on base and have an OPS of .761. They have scored 4.73 runs per game and totaled 71 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Cubs/Reds MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Cubs -190

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