Friday, March 24, 2017

Joker Marchant Stadium

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Probable Pitchers: Julio Teheran vs. Matt Boyd

The Atlanta Braves visit Joker Marchant Stadium on Friday, March 24, 2017 to play the Detroit Tigers in a Spring Training matchup. The probable starters are Julio Teheran for the Braves and Matt Boyd for the Tigers.

The opening line for this matchup has Atlanta at +110 and Detroit at -130. The Braves had a 82-69-10 over/under record and a 85-76-0 run line mark last season, meaning they covered 53% of the time. The Tigers were 86-75-0 against the run line and had a 80-73-8 over/under record. They covered the spread 53% of the time.

Valuable Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Atlanta Braves were 82-69-10 against the over/under last season

The Atlanta Braves were 85-76-0 against the run line last season

Important Detroit Tigers Betting Trends

The Detroit Tigers were 80-73-8 against the over/under last season

The Detroit Tigers were 86-75-0 against the run line last season

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

No key injuries to report

Key Detroit Tigers Injuries

No key injuries to report

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Braves are coming off a 68-93 record in 2016, including 37-43 on the road. Starting pitcher Julio Teheran had a 7-10 record with an earned run average of 3.21 and a WHIP of 1.05. He had 167 strikeouts over his 188 innings pitched and he gave up 157 hits last season. He allowed 7.5 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 3.69. The bullpen last year had an earned run average of 3.95 and they gave up 537 base hits on the year. Teams hit .246 against the bullpen while being struck out 543 times and walking 256 times last season. As a team, Atlanta allowed 8.79 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.63 batters per nine innings. They were 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.51. The Braves pitchers collectively gave up 1,414 base hits and 725 earned runs. They allowed 177 home runs last season and they allowed 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a pitching staff walked 547 batters and struck out 1,227. They walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.6 per 9. They had a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit was 4.32.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Atlanta batted .255, good for 19th in the league while putting together a .249 average away from home. The Braves held a .384 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .321 which was good for 16th in baseball. They ranked 15th in baseball with 8.72 hits per game. Freddie Freeman is coming off a 2016 season in which he hit .302 with an on-base percentage of .400. He had 178 hits last season along with 102 runs scored and 91 runs batted in. He struck out 171 times and walked 89 times. Nick Markakis hit .269 last year and he had an on-base percentage of .346. He totaled 161 hits while scoring 67 runs and he drove in 89. He walked 71 times and struck out on 101 occasions. The Braves had 1,404 hits, including 295 doubles and 122 home runs. They stole 75 bases and were thrown out stealing 34 times. Atlanta walked 502 times last season and they struck out 1,240 times as a unit. They left 1,161 men on base and had a team OPS of .705. They scored 4.03 runs per contest and scored a total of 649 runs last year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Detroit had a 45-35 home record and a 86-75 overall mark in 2016. With an earned run average of 4.53, Matt Boyd had a 6-5 record and a 1.30 WHIP last season. He had 82 strikeouts over the 97.1 innings he pitched during which he gave up 97 hits. He allowed 9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stood at 4.75. Last season the bullpen had an earned run average of 4.22 and they gave up 503 base hits on the year. Teams hit .256 against the Tigers bullpen while being struck out 446 times and walking 181 times last season. As a team, Detroit allowed 8.93 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.76 batters per nine innings. They were 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.24. The Tigers pitchers as a team surrendered 1,417 base knocks and 672 earned runs last season. They gave up 182 home runs last year and they gave up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Detroit as a staff walked 462 hitters and struck out 1,232. They gave up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they struck out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP was 1.32 while their FIP as a staff was 4.16.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they batted .267, good for 3rd in the league while putting together a .274 average at home. The Tigers held a .438 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .331 which was good for 5th in baseball. They ranked 3rd in baseball with 9.17 hits per contest. Ian Kinsler comes into this matchup after batting .288 with an OBP of .348. He had 178 hits last year along with 117 runs scored and 83 RBI. He struck out 115 times and walked on 45 occasions. Miguel Cabrera hit .316 in 2016 and he had an OBP of .393. He collected 188 hits while scoring 92 runs and driving in 108. He earned a walk 75 times and punched out 116 times. The Tigers as a unit had 1,476 base hits, including 252 doubles and 211 homers. They had 58 stolen bases and were thrown out 29 times. Detroit as a team walked 493 times last year and they struck out 1,303 times. They had 1,105 men left on base and had an OPS of .769. They scored 4.66 runs per game and totaled 750 runs last season.

Who will win tonight's Braves/Tigers MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Braves +110

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