Sunday, May 7, 2017

Target Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Chris Sale vs. Ervin Santana

The Boston Red Sox head to Target Field on Sunday, May 7, 2017 to take on the Minnesota Twins. The expected starting pitchers are Chris Sale for the Red Sox and Ervin Santana for the Twins.

The odds for this matchup have Boston at -200 and Minnesota at +185. The Red Sox have a 9-18-2 over/under mark and a 14-15-0 run line record. The Twins are 16-11-0 against the run line and have a 11-13-3 over/under record.

Valuable Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 9-18-2 against the over/under

The Boston Red Sox are 14-15-0 against the run line

Important Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Minnesota Twins are 11-13-3 against the over/under

The Minnesota Twins are 16-11-0 against the run line

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

05/04/17 SS Marco Hernandez Shoulder 10-day DL (5/3)
05/01/17 P Steven Wright Knee 10-day DL (4/30)
04/25/17 3B Pablo Sandoval Knee 10-day DL (4/24)
04/21/17 LF Brock Holt Vertigo 10-day DL (4/21)
04/03/17 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (4/1)
04/03/17 P Roenis Elias Oblique 10-day DL (4/1)
04/01/17 P Tyler Thornbur Undisclosed 10-day DL (4/1)
03/30/17 P David Price Elbow 10-day DL (4/1)

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

04/23/17 P Justin Haley Bicep 10-day DL (4/23)
04/03/17 P Ryan O'Rourke Elbow 60-day DL (3/30)
04/01/17 SS Ehire Adrianza Oblique 10-day DL (3/30)
03/31/17 P Glen Perkins Shoulder 60-day DL (4/2)
03/11/17 P Trevor May Arm 60-day DL

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Red Sox have a 15-14 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Chris Sale has a 2-2 record with an earned run average of 1.38 and a WHIP of 0.75. He has 63 strikeouts over his 45.2 innings pitched and he's given up 26 hits. He allows 5.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 1.44. The bullpen has an earned run average of 2.24 and they have given up 67 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .206 against the bullpen and they've struck out 87 hitters and walked 34 batters. As a team, Boston allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.7 batters per nine innings. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.51. The Red Sox pitchers collectively have given up 236 base hits and 101 earned runs. They have allowed 35 home runs this season, ranking them 12th in the league. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 85 batters and struck out 278. They have walked 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.24 and their FIP as a unit is 3.71.

For expert handicapping advice on this matchup and other MLB games check out our handicapping tips.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Boston is hitting .266, good for 4th in the league. The Red Sox hold a .379 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .331, which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 8.9 hits per game. Mookie Betts is hitting .280 with an on-base percentage of .351. He has 28 hits this season in 100 at bats with 13 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .420 and an OPS+ of 108. Mitch Moreland is hitting .267 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .358. He has totaled 28 hits and he has driven in 11 men in 105 at bats. His OPS+ is 117 while his slugging percentage is at .448. The Red Sox have 259 hits, including 46 doubles and 19 home runs. Boston has walked 88 times so far this season and they have struck out 174 times as a unit. They have left 201 men on base and have a team OPS of .709. They score 3.79 runs per contest and have scored a total of 110 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Minnesota has a 15-12 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 0.66, Ervin Santana has a 5-0 record and a 0.71 WHIP. He has 33 strikeouts over the 41 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 16 hits. He allows 3.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.01. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.29 and they have given up 85 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .235 against the Twins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 79 batters and walked 36 opposing hitters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 6.9 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 3.94. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 221 base knocks and 105 earned runs this season. They have given up 30 home runs this year, which ranks 21st in Major League Baseball. Minnesota as a staff has walked 87 hitters and struck out 184 batters. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 6.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.28 while their FIP as a staff is 4.40.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .245, good for 17th in the league. The Twins hold a .407 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .335, which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 19th in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. Jorge Polanco comes into this matchup batting .242 with an OBP of .304. He has 22 hits this year along with 12 RBI in 91 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .341 with an OPS+ of 82. Max Kepler is hitting .261 this season and he has an OBP of .359. He has collected 23 hits in 88 at bats while driving in 11 runs. He has an OPS+ of 120 and a slugging percentage of .420. The Twins as a unit have 222 base hits, including 44 doubles and 31 homers. Minnesota has walked 118 times this year and they have struck out on 214 occasions. They have had 198 men left on base and have an OPS of .742. They have scored 4.67 runs per game and totaled 126 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Red Sox/Twins MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Red Sox -200

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