Monday, April 3, 2017

Oriole Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Marco Estrada vs. Kevin Gausman

The Toronto Blue Jays travel to Oriole Park on Monday, April 3, 2017 to matchup against the Baltimore Orioles. The probable pitchers are Marco Estrada for the Blue Jays and Kevin Gausman for the Orioles.

The opening line for this matchup has Toronto at -110 and Baltimore at +100. The Blue Jays had a 63-93-6 over/under record and a 79-83-0 run line mark last season, meaning they covered 49% of the time. The Orioles were 82-80-0 against the run line and had a 67-91-4 over/under record. They covered the spread 51% of the time.

Valuable Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends

The Toronto Blue Jays were 63-93-6 against the over/under last season

The Toronto Blue Jays were 79-83-0 against the run line last season

Important Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

The Baltimore Orioles were 67-91-4 against the over/under last season

The Baltimore Orioles were 82-80-0 against the run line last season

Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries

No key injuries to report

Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries

04/01/17 P Wade Miley Illness 10-day DL
03/31/17 P Chris Tillman Shoulder 10-day DL

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Blue Jays are coming off a 89-73 record in 2016, including 43-38 on the road. Starting pitcher Marco Estrada had a 9-9 record with an earned run average of 3.48 and a WHIP of 1.12. He had 165 strikeouts over his 176 innings pitched and he gave up 132 hits last season. He allowed 6.8 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 4.15. The bullpen last year had an earned run average of 4.11 and they gave up 452 base hits on the year. Teams hit .249 against the bullpen while being struck out 472 times and walking 136 times last season. As a team, Toronto allowed 8.26 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.1 batters per nine innings. They were 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.78. The Blue Jays pitchers collectively gave up 1,340 base hits and 613 earned runs. They allowed 183 home runs last season and they allowed 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Toronto as a pitching staff walked 461 batters and struck out 1,314. They walked 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.1 per 9. They had a team WHIP of 1.23 and their FIP as a unit was 4.05.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Toronto batted .248, good for 23rd in the league while putting together a .236 average away from home. The Blue Jays held a .426 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .330 which was good for 6th in baseball. They ranked 24th in baseball with 8.38 hits per game. Justin Smoak is coming off a 2016 season in which he hit .217 with an on-base percentage of .314. He had 65 hits last season along with 33 runs scored and 34 runs batted in. He struck out 112 times and walked 40 times. Josh Donaldson hit .284 last year and he had an on-base percentage of .404. He totaled 164 hits while scoring 122 runs and he drove in 99. He walked 109 times and struck out on 119 occasions. The Blue Jays had 1,358 hits, including 276 doubles and 221 home runs. They stole 54 bases and were thrown out stealing 24 times. Toronto walked 632 times last season and they struck out 1,362 times as a unit. They left 1,120 men on base and had a team OPS of .755. They scored 4.69 runs per contest and scored a total of 759 runs last year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Baltimore had a 50-31 home record and a 89-73 overall mark in 2016. With an earned run average of 3.61, Kevin Gausman had a 9-12 record and a 1.28 WHIP last season. He had 174 strikeouts over the 179.2 innings he pitched during which he gave up 183 hits. He allowed 9.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stood at 4.1. Last season the bullpen had an earned run average of 3.40 and they gave up 495 base hits on the year. Teams hit .241 against the Orioles bullpen while being struck out 506 times and walking 209 times last season. As a team, Baltimore allowed 8.85 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.84 batters per nine innings. They were 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.22. The Orioles pitchers as a team surrendered 1,408 base knocks and 671 earned runs last season. They gave up 183 home runs last year and they gave up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a staff walked 545 hitters and struck out 1,248. They gave up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they struck out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP was 1.36 while their FIP as a staff was 4.31.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they batted .256, good for 15th in the league while putting together a .259 average at home. The Orioles held a .444 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .317 which was good for 21st in baseball. They ranked 14th in baseball with 8.73 hits per contest. Manny Machado comes into this matchup after batting .294 with an OBP of .343. He had 188 hits last year along with 105 runs scored and 96 RBI. He struck out 120 times and walked on 48 occasions. Adam Jones hit .265 in 2016 and he had an OBP of .310. He collected 164 hits while scoring 86 runs and driving in 83. He earned a walk 39 times and punched out 115 times. The Orioles as a unit had 1,413 base hits, including 265 doubles and 253 homers. They had 19 stolen bases and were thrown out 13 times. Baltimore as a team walked 468 times last year and they struck out 1,324 times. They had 1,065 men left on base and had an OPS of .760. They scored 4.59 runs per game and totaled 744 runs last season.

Who will win tonight's Blue Jays/Orioles MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Orioles +100

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