Saturday, April 29, 2017

Miller Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jaime Garcia vs. Jimmy Nelson

The Atlanta Braves visit Miller Park on Saturday, April 29, 2017 to play the Milwaukee Brewers. The probable starters are Jaime Garcia for the Braves and Jimmy Nelson for the Brewers.

The opening line for this matchup has Atlanta at +113 and Milwaukee at -123. The Braves have a 11-9-0 over/under record and a 12-8-0 run line mark. The Brewers are 13-10-0 against the run line and have a 15-8-0 over/under record.

Valuable Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Atlanta Braves are 11-9-0 against the over/under

The Atlanta Braves are 12-8-0 against the run line

Important Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 15-8-0 against the over/under

The Milwaukee Brewers are 13-10-0 against the run line

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

04/27/17 2B Brandon Phillips Groin "?" Friday vs. Milwaukee Brewers
04/13/17 P Chaz Roe Shoulder 10-day DL (04/10)
04/03/17 P Armando Rivero Shoulder 10-day DL (03/30)
04/03/17 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 10-day DL (03/30)
04/02/17 2B Micah Johnson Wrist 10-day DL (03/30)
04/01/17 1B Sean Rodriguez Shoulder 60-day DL
03/31/17 P Mauricio Cabrera Elbow 10-day DL (03/30)

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

04/27/17 1B Eric Thames Hamstring left last game, "?" Friday vs. Atlanta Braves
04/03/17 P Junior Guerra Calf 10-day DL

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Braves have a 8-12 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jaime Garcia has a 0-1 record with an earned run average of 4.24 and a WHIP of 1.33. He has 14 strikeouts over his 23.1 innings pitched and he's given up 23 hits. He allows 8.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.03. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.91 and they have given up 59 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .259 against the bullpen and they've struck out 50 hitters and walked 22 batters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 6.8 batters per nine innings. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.13. The Braves pitchers collectively have given up 168 base hits and 81 earned runs. They have allowed 22 home runs this season, ranking them 22nd in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 68 batters and struck out 133. They have walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 6.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.34 and their FIP as a unit is 4.34.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Atlanta is hitting .249, good for 12th in the league. The Braves hold a .391 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .314, which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 10th in MLB with 8.6 hits per game. Freddie Freeman is hitting .380 with an on-base percentage of .494. He has 27 hits this season in 71 at bats with 10 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .775 and an OPS+ of 233. Brandon Phillips is hitting .352 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .387. He has totaled 25 hits and he has driven in 9 men in 71 at bats. His OPS+ is 138 while his slugging percentage is at .507. The Braves have 171 hits, including 28 doubles and 21 home runs. Atlanta has walked 58 times so far this season and they have struck out 158 times as a unit. They have left 138 men on base and have a team OPS of .705. They score 4 runs per contest and have scored a total of 80 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Milwaukee has a 12-11 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.56, Jimmy Nelson has a 1-1 record and a 1.35 WHIP. He has 21 strikeouts over the 23.2 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 23 hits. He allows 8.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.11. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.30 and they have given up 76 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .236 against the Brewers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 80 batters and walked 48 opposing hitters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8 batters per nine innings. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 3.96. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 204 base knocks and 91 earned runs this season. They have given up 24 home runs this year, which ranks 17th in Major League Baseball. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 89 hitters and struck out 183 batters. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.42 while their FIP as a staff is 4.10.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .246, good for 15th in the league. The Brewers hold a .474 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .319, which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 15th in MLB with 8.3 hits per contest. Eric Thames comes into this matchup batting .370 with an OBP of .489. He has 27 hits this year along with 19 RBI in 73 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .904 with an OPS+ of 262. Travis Shaw is hitting .274 this season and he has an OBP of .311. He has collected 23 hits in 84 at bats while driving in 18 runs. He has an OPS+ of 129 and a slugging percentage of .571. The Brewers as a unit have 191 base hits, including 45 doubles and 40 homers. Milwaukee has walked 79 times this year and they have struck out on 228 occasions. They have had 139 men left on base and have an OPS of .793. They have scored 5.22 runs per game and totaled 120 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Braves/Brewers MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Braves +113

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