Wednesday, June 1, 2016

Citizens Bank Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Max Scherzer vs. Adam Morgan

The Washington Nationals visit Citizens Bank Park on Wednesday to play the Philadelphia Phillies. The probable starters are Max Scherzer for the Nationals and Adam Morgan for the Phillies. The opening line for this matchup has Washington at -199 and Philadelphia at +188. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Nationals have a 23-24-5 over/under record and a 26-26-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Phillies are 26-25-0 against the run line and have a 20-29-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 51% of the time.

The Nationals head into this matchup with a 31-21 record, including 16-10 on the road. Starting pitcher Max Scherzer has a 5-4 record with an earned run average of 4.05 and a WHIP of 1.09. He has 90 strikeouts over his 73.1 innings pitched and he has given up 58 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.3. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 2.69 and they have given up 110 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .211 against the bullpen while being struck out 148 times and walking 43 times this season. As a team, Washington has allowed 7.43 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.22 batters per nine. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 2.99. The Nationals pitchers have collectively given up 390 base hits and 157 earned runs. They have allowed 48 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. Washington as a pitching staff has walked 144 batters and struck out 484. They walk 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.13 and their FIP as a unit is 3.40.

As a team, Washington is batting .243, good for 19th in the league while putting together a .243 average away from home. The Nationals hold a .407 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .320 which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 19th in baseball with 8.13 hits per game. Bryce Harper comes into this game hitting .242 and his on-base percentage is at .415. He has 38 hits this season along with 32 runs scored and 34 runs batted in. He's struck out 39 times and has walked 48 times. Daniel Murphy is hitting .395 and he has an on-base percentage of .426. He has totaled 75 hits so far while scoring 28 runs and he's driven in 33. He has walked 10 times and has struck out 22 times. The Nationals have 423 hits, including 76 doubles and 65 home runs. They've stolen 27 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 12 times. Washington has walked 188 times this season and they've struck out 404 times as a unit. They've left 359 men on base and have a team OPS of .727. They score 4.25 runs per contest and have scored a total of 221 runs so far this year.

Philadelphia comes into this matchup with a 13-10 home record and a 26-25 overall mark. With an earned run average of 6.67, Adam Morgan has a 1-3 record and a 1.52 WHIP. He has 18 strikeouts over the 29.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 35 hits. He has allowed 10.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.2. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.71 and they have given up 136 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .229 against the Phillies bullpen while being struck out 158 times and walking 70 times this season. As a team, Philadelphia has allowed 8.12 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.92 batters per nine. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 3.83. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 407 base knocks and 192 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 60 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 145 hitters and struck out 447. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.22 while their FIP as a staff is 3.88.

As a team, they are batting .234, good for 24th in the league while putting together a .227 average at home. The Phillies hold a .362 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .290 which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 7.63 hits per contest. Odubel Herrera comes into this matchup batting .319 and he has an OBP of .424. He has 58 hits this year along with 28 runs scored and 17 RBI. He's struck out 40 times and has walked on 33 occasions. Maikel Franco is hitting .253 and he has an OBP of .299. He has collected 47 hits so far while he's scored 14 runs and drove in 28. He has earned a walk 13 times and has punched out 34 times. The Phillies as a unit have 389 base hits, including 70 doubles and 39 homers. They have 21 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 17 times. Philadelphia as a team has walked 124 times this year and they have struck out 404 times. They've had 307 men left on base and have an OPS of .652. They score 3.2 runs per game and have totaled 163 runs so far this season.

Washington Nationals Betting Trends

The Washington Nationals are 23-24-5 against the over/under so far this season

The Washington Nationals are 26-26-0 against the run line so far this season

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies are 20-29-2 against the over/under so far this season

The Philadelphia Phillies are 26-25-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Washington Nationals

05/30/16 RF Bryce Harper Knee left last game, "?" Tuesday vs. Philadelphia Phillies
04/28/16 P Matt Belisle Calf 15-day DL (4/27)
03/31/16 P Aaron Barrett Elbow 60-day DL (4/1)

Philadelphia Phillies

05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 15-day DL (4/24); out for season
04/14/16 P Daniel Stumpf Suspension 80-game suspension
04/03/16 P Mario Hollands Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 LF Aaron Altherr Wrist 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 LF Cody Asche Ribs 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)

Guy's Pick: Take the Nationals

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Guy Bruhn