Tuesday, May 31, 2016

Citizens Bank Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Joe Ross vs. Aaron Nola

The Washington Nationals visit Citizens Bank Park on Tuesday to play the Philadelphia Phillies. The probable starters are Joe Ross for the Nationals and Aaron Nola for the Phillies. The opening line for this matchup has Washington at -137 and Philadelphia at +127. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Nationals have a 23-23-5 over/under record and a 26-25-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Phillies are 25-25-0 against the run line and have a 20-28-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.

The Nationals head into this matchup with a 30-21 record, including 15-10 on the road. Starting pitcher Joe Ross has a 4-4 record with an earned run average of 2.52 and a WHIP of 1.21. He has 41 strikeouts over his 53.2 innings pitched and he has given up 49 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.56. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 2.66 and they have given up 108 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .210 against the bullpen while being struck out 144 times and walking 43 times this season. As a team, Washington has allowed 7.45 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.24 batters per nine. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 2.99. The Nationals pitchers have collectively given up 384 base hits and 154 earned runs. They have allowed 47 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. Washington as a pitching staff has walked 142 batters and struck out 476. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.13 and their FIP as a unit is 3.40.

As a team, Washington is batting .244, good for 19th in the league while putting together a .246 average away from home. The Nationals hold a .408 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .321 which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 19th in baseball with 8.2 hits per game. Bryce Harper comes into this game hitting .245 and his on-base percentage is at .416. He has 38 hits this season along with 32 runs scored and 34 runs batted in. He's struck out 38 times and has walked 48 times. Daniel Murphy is hitting .387 and he has an on-base percentage of .420. He has totaled 72 hits so far while scoring 27 runs and he's driven in 30. He has walked 10 times and has struck out 22 times. The Nationals have 418 hits, including 75 doubles and 64 home runs. They've stolen 26 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 12 times. Washington has walked 185 times this season and they've struck out 395 times as a unit. They've left 355 men on base and have a team OPS of .729. They score 4.25 runs per contest and have scored a total of 217 runs so far this year.

Philadelphia comes into this matchup with a 13-9 home record and a 26-24 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.86, Aaron Nola has a 4-3 record and a 0.92 WHIP. He has 70 strikeouts over the 66 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 49 hits. He has allowed 6.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.56. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.58 and they have given up 134 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .229 against the Phillies bullpen while being struck out 157 times and walking 67 times this season. As a team, Philadelphia has allowed 8.21 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.92 batters per nine. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 3.87. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 402 base knocks and 188 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 59 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 142 hitters and struck out 438. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.23 while their FIP as a staff is 3.88.

As a team, they are batting .235, good for 24th in the league while putting together a .229 average at home. The Phillies hold a .362 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .291 which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 7.66 hits per contest. Odubel Herrera comes into this matchup batting .320 and he has an OBP of .427. He has 57 hits this year along with 28 runs scored and 17 RBI. He's struck out 39 times and has walked on 33 occasions. Maikel Franco is hitting .253 and he has an OBP of .300. He has collected 46 hits so far while he's scored 13 runs and drove in 28. He has earned a walk 13 times and has punched out 34 times. The Phillies as a unit have 383 base hits, including 68 doubles and 38 homers. They have 19 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 17 times. Philadelphia as a team has walked 122 times this year and they have struck out 396 times. They've had 303 men left on base and have an OPS of .653. They score 3.2 runs per game and have totaled 160 runs so far this season.

Washington Nationals Betting Trends

The Washington Nationals are 23-23-5 against the over/under so far this season

The Washington Nationals are 26-25-0 against the run line so far this season

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies are 20-28-2 against the over/under so far this season

The Philadelphia Phillies are 25-25-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Washington Nationals

04/28/16 P Matt Belisle Calf 15-day DL (4/27)
03/31/16 P Aaron Barrett Elbow 60-day DL (4/1)

Philadelphia Phillies

05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 15-day DL (4/24); out for season
04/14/16 P Daniel Stumpf Suspension 80-game suspension
04/03/16 P Mario Hollands Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 LF Aaron Altherr Wrist 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 LF Cody Asche Ribs 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)

Tony's Pick: Take the Nationals

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