Friday, July 8, 2016

Citi Field

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Stephen Strasburg vs. Noah Syndergaard

The Washington Nationals visit Citi Field on Friday to play the New York Mets. The probable starters are Stephen Strasburg for the Nationals and Noah Syndergaard for the Mets. The opening line for this matchup has Washington at -102 and New York at -108. The over/under was set at 7. The Nationals have a 43-37-6 over/under record and a 44-42-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Mets are 35-49-0 against the run line and have a 38-44-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 42% of the time.

The Nationals head into this matchup with a 51-35 record, including 24-20 on the road. Starting pitcher Stephen Strasburg has a 11-0 record with an earned run average of 2.71 and a WHIP of 1.03. He has 123 strikeouts over his 99.2 innings pitched and he has given up 75 hits so far this season. He has allowed 6.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.91. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.07 and they have given up 197 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .222 against the bullpen while being struck out 253 times and walking 75 times this season. As a team, Washington has allowed 7.68 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.44 batters per nine. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.30. The Nationals pitchers have collectively given up 664 base hits and 285 earned runs. They have allowed 80 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. Washington as a pitching staff has walked 234 batters and struck out 816. They walk 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.15 and their FIP as a unit is 3.42.

As a team, Washington is batting .253, good for 16th in the league while putting together a .252 average away from home. The Nationals hold a .429 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328 which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 17th in baseball with 8.57 hits per game. Bryce Harper comes into this game hitting .258 and his on-base percentage is at .400. He has 71 hits this season along with 48 runs scored and 51 runs batted in. He's struck out 55 times and has walked 66 times. Daniel Murphy is hitting .345 and he has an on-base percentage of .384. He has totaled 110 hits so far while scoring 49 runs and he's driven in 56. He has walked 17 times and has struck out 35 times. The Nationals have 737 hits, including 139 doubles and 117 home runs. They've stolen 50 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 24 times. Washington has walked 306 times this season and they've struck out 654 times as a unit. They've left 592 men on base and have a team OPS of .757. They score 4.69 runs per contest and have scored a total of 403 runs so far this year.

New York comes into this matchup with a 25-17 home record and a 46-38 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.41, Noah Syndergaard has a 9-3 record and a 1.06 WHIP. He has 123 strikeouts over the 101 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 92 hits. He has allowed 8.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 1.89. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.34 and they have given up 223 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .228 against the Mets bullpen while being struck out 268 times and walking 96 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.62 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.66 batters per nine. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.35. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 715 base knocks and 276 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 73 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 208 hitters and struck out 719. They give up a walk 2.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.24 while their FIP as a staff is 3.42.

As a team, they are batting .239, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .234 average at home. The Mets hold a .414 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .310 which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 30th in baseball with 7.92 hits per contest. Asdrubal Cabrera comes into this matchup batting .262 and he has an OBP of .321. He has 79 hits this year along with 34 runs scored and 27 RBI. He's struck out 63 times and has walked on 20 occasions. Yoenis Cespedes is hitting .299 and he has an OBP of .366. He has collected 85 hits so far while he's scored 46 runs and drove in 51. He has earned a walk 29 times and has punched out 76 times. The Mets as a unit have 665 base hits, including 126 doubles and 115 homers. They have 16 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 9 times. New York as a team has walked 264 times this year and they have struck out 718 times. They've had 571 men left on base and have an OPS of .724. They score 3.83 runs per game and have totaled 322 runs so far this season.

Washington Nationals Betting Trends

The Washington Nationals are 43-37-6 against the over/under so far this season

The Washington Nationals are 44-42-0 against the run line so far this season

New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 38-44-2 against the over/under so far this season

The New York Mets are 35-49-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Washington Nationals

07/03/16 P Joe Ross Shoulder 15-day DL (7/3)
03/31/16 P Aaron Barrett Elbow 60-day DL (4/1)

New York Mets

07/06/16 P Matt Harvey Shoulder 15-day DL (7/6)
07/06/16 SS Asdrubal Cabrera Personal "?" Thursday vs. Washington Nationals
06/22/16 P Jim Henderson Bicep 15-day DL (6/19)
06/03/16 3B David Wright Neck 60-day DL (5/30), out for season
05/24/16 1B Lucas Duda Back 15-day DL (5/21)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)

Josh's Pick: Take the Nationals

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