Wednesday, April 20, 2016

Marlins Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Joe Ross vs. Wei-Yin Chen

The Washington Nationals visit Marlins Park on Wednesday to play the Miami Marlins. The probable starters are Joe Ross for the Nationals and Wei-Yin Chen for the Marlins. The opening line for this matchup has Washington at -119 and Miami at +110. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Nationals have a 5-6-1 over/under record and a 7-5-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 58% of the time. The Marlins are 6-5-0 against the run line and have a 7-4-0 over/under record. They cover the spread 55% of the time.

The Nationals head into this matchup with a 9-3 record, including 4-2 on the road. Starting pitcher Joe Ross has a 2-0 record with an earned run average of 0.61 and a WHIP of 0.82. He has 10 strikeouts over his 14.2 innings pitched and he has given up 8 hits so far this season. He has allowed 4.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.58. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 2.67 and they have given up 25 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .223 against the bullpen while being struck out 30 times and walking 9 times this season. As a team, Washington has allowed 6.96 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.62 batters per nine. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 2.32. The Nationals pitchers have collectively given up 84 base hits and 28 earned runs. They have allowed 7 home runs this season and they allow 0.6 homers per nine innings as a staff. Washington as a pitching staff has walked 35 batters and struck out 92. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.10 and their FIP as a unit is 3.29.

As a team, Washington is batting .251, good for 12th in the league while putting together a .254 average away from home. The Nationals hold a .415 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327 which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 13th in baseball with 8.33 hits per game. Bryce Harper comes into this game hitting .341 and his on-base percentage is at .442. He has 14 hits this season along with 10 runs scored and 16 runs batted in. He's struck out 4 times and has walked 9 times. Yunel Escobar is hitting .315 and he has an on-base percentage of .393. He has totaled 17 hits so far while scoring 7 runs and he's driven in 5. He has walked 7 times and has struck out 3 times. The Nationals have 100 hits, including 22 doubles and 13 home runs. They've stolen 6 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 3 times. Washington has walked 46 times this season and they've struck out 103 times as a unit. They've left 85 men on base and have a team OPS of .741. They score 4.33 runs per contest and have scored a total of 52 runs so far this year.

Miami comes into this matchup with a 1-5 home record and a 4-7 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.56, Wei-Yin Chen has a 0-0 record and a 1.24 WHIP. He has 9 strikeouts over the 11.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 13 hits. He has allowed 10.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.95. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.02 and they have given up 38 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .232 against the Marlins bullpen while being struck out 39 times and walking 20 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.37 hits per nine innings while striking out 9 batters per nine. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.14. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 93 base knocks and 46 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 6 home runs this year and they give up 0.5 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a staff has walked 47 hitters and struck out 100. They give up a walk 4.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.40 while their FIP as a staff is 3.43.

As a team, they are batting .276, good for 5th in the league while putting together a .264 average at home. The Marlins hold a .401 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .342 which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 4th in baseball with 9.82 hits per contest. Dee Gordon comes into this matchup batting .291 and he has an OBP of .304. He has 16 hits this year along with 8 runs scored and 4 RBI. He's struck out 8 times and has walked on 1 occasions. Giancarlo Stanton is hitting .238 and he has an OBP of .353. He has collected 10 hits so far while he's scored 7 runs and drove in 10. He has earned a walk 7 times and has punched out 15 times. The Marlins as a unit have 108 base hits, including 22 doubles and 7 homers. They have 7 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 3 times. Miami as a team has walked 41 times this year and they have struck out 91 times. They've had 92 men left on base and have an OPS of .743. They score 4.45 runs per game and have totaled 49 runs so far this season.

Washington Nationals Betting Trends

The Washington Nationals are 5-6-1 against the over/under so far this season

The Washington Nationals are 7-5-0 against the run line so far this season

Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 7-4-0 against the over/under so far this season

The Miami Marlins are 6-5-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Washington Nationals

04/07/16 LF Ben Revere Oblique 15-day DL (4/5)
03/31/16 P Aaron Barrett Elbow 60-day DL (4/1)

Miami Marlins

04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season
04/03/16 P Mike Dunn Forearm 15-day DL (3/25)

Guy's Pick: Take the Marlins

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Guy Bruhn