Sunday, June 5, 2016

Great American Ball Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Tanner Roark vs. Jon Moscot

The Washington Nationals visit Great American Ball Park on Sunday to play the Cincinnati Reds. The probable starters are Tanner Roark for the Nationals and Jon Moscot for the Reds. The opening line for this matchup has Washington at -177 and Cincinnati at +167. The over/under was set at 9. The Nationals have a 24-25-6 over/under record and a 28-27-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Reds are 28-27-0 against the run line and have a 31-19-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 51% of the time.

The Nationals head into this matchup with a 33-22 record, including 18-11 on the road. Starting pitcher Tanner Roark has a 4-4 record with an earned run average of 2.70 and a WHIP of 1.19. He has 62 strikeouts over his 70 innings pitched and he has given up 57 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.57. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 2.72 and they have given up 115 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .213 against the bullpen while being struck out 153 times and walking 44 times this season. As a team, Washington has allowed 7.44 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.26 batters per nine. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.01. The Nationals pitchers have collectively given up 412 base hits and 167 earned runs. They have allowed 52 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. Washington as a pitching staff has walked 149 batters and struck out 513. They walk 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.13 and their FIP as a unit is 3.41.

As a team, Washington is batting .244, good for 18th in the league while putting together a .245 average away from home. The Nationals hold a .415 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .319 which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 19th in baseball with 8.18 hits per game. Bryce Harper comes into this game hitting .242 and his on-base percentage is at .412. He has 39 hits this season along with 32 runs scored and 34 runs batted in. He's struck out 40 times and has walked 48 times. Daniel Murphy is hitting .386 and he has an on-base percentage of .419. He has totaled 78 hits so far while scoring 31 runs and he's driven in 34. He has walked 10 times and has struck out 24 times. The Nationals have 450 hits, including 82 doubles and 72 home runs. They've stolen 27 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 13 times. Washington has walked 194 times this season and they've struck out 431 times as a unit. They've left 375 men on base and have a team OPS of .734. They score 4.27 runs per contest and have scored a total of 235 runs so far this year.

Cincinnati comes into this matchup with a 13-15 home record and a 20-35 overall mark. With an earned run average of 7.13, Jon Moscot has a 0-3 record and a 1.70 WHIP. He has 7 strikeouts over the 17.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 21 hits. He has allowed 10.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 9.92. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 6.58 and they have given up 205 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .268 against the Reds bullpen while being struck out 175 times and walking 118 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.56 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.2 batters per nine. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.63. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 511 base knocks and 301 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 93 home runs this year and they give up 1.7 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 247 hitters and struck out 385. They give up a walk 4.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.58 while their FIP as a staff is 5.76.

As a team, they are batting .239, good for 22nd in the league while putting together a .234 average at home. The Reds hold a .414 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .294 which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 26th in baseball with 7.84 hits per contest. Zack Cozart comes into this matchup batting .310 and he has an OBP of .337. He has 54 hits this year along with 30 runs scored and 22 RBI. He's struck out 23 times and has walked on 7 occasions. Jay Bruce is hitting .269 and he has an OBP of .317. He has collected 50 hits so far while he's scored 30 runs and drove in 36. He has earned a walk 12 times and has punched out 44 times. The Reds as a unit have 431 base hits, including 96 doubles and 66 homers. They have 32 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 19 times. Cincinnati as a team has walked 127 times this year and they have struck out 446 times. They've had 282 men left on base and have an OPS of .708. They score 4.27 runs per game and have totaled 235 runs so far this season.

Washington Nationals Betting Trends

The Washington Nationals are 24-25-6 against the over/under so far this season

The Washington Nationals are 28-27-0 against the run line so far this season

Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 31-19-5 against the over/under so far this season

The Cincinnati Reds are 28-27-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Washington Nationals

06/03/16 1B Ryan Zimmerman Personal expected to go on the paternity list
04/28/16 P Matt Belisle Calf 15-day DL (4/27)
03/31/16 P Aaron Barrett Elbow 60-day DL (4/1)

Cincinnati Reds

06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/20/16 P Tim Adleman Oblique 15-day DL (5/20)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
05/01/16 P Raisel Iglesias Shoulder 15-day DL (4/26)
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)
04/04/16 P Anthony DeSclafa Oblique 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Homer Bailey Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 C Kyle Skipworth Ankle 60-day DL (3/31)
03/31/16 P Michael Lorenzen Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)

Josh's Pick: Take the Nationals

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