Saturday, June 4, 2016

Great American Ball Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Stephen Strasburg vs. Dan Straily

The Washington Nationals visit Great American Ball Park on Saturday to play the Cincinnati Reds. The probable starters are Stephen Strasburg for the Nationals and Dan Straily for the Reds. The opening line for this matchup has Washington at -190 and Cincinnati at +180. The over/under was set at 8. The Nationals have a 24-25-5 over/under record and a 28-26-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Reds are 27-27-0 against the run line and have a 31-19-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.

The Nationals head into this matchup with a 33-21 record, including 18-10 on the road. Starting pitcher Stephen Strasburg has a 9-0 record with an earned run average of 2.69 and a WHIP of 1.09. He has 90 strikeouts over his 73.2 innings pitched and he has given up 60 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.6. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 2.63 and they have given up 112 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .210 against the bullpen while being struck out 152 times and walking 44 times this season. As a team, Washington has allowed 7.34 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.24 batters per nine. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 2.93. The Nationals pitchers have collectively given up 400 base hits and 160 earned runs. They have allowed 49 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. Washington as a pitching staff has walked 149 batters and struck out 504. They walk 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.12 and their FIP as a unit is 3.38.

As a team, Washington is batting .244, good for 18th in the league while putting together a .246 average away from home. The Nationals hold a .415 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .319 which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 19th in baseball with 8.2 hits per game. Bryce Harper comes into this game hitting .242 and his on-base percentage is at .415. He has 38 hits this season along with 32 runs scored and 34 runs batted in. He's struck out 39 times and has walked 48 times. Daniel Murphy is hitting .394 and he has an on-base percentage of .427. He has totaled 78 hits so far while scoring 31 runs and he's driven in 34. He has walked 10 times and has struck out 23 times. The Nationals have 443 hits, including 80 doubles and 71 home runs. They've stolen 27 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 12 times. Washington has walked 191 times this season and they've struck out 422 times as a unit. They've left 370 men on base and have a team OPS of .735. They score 4.31 runs per contest and have scored a total of 233 runs so far this year.

Cincinnati comes into this matchup with a 12-15 home record and a 19-35 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.43, Dan Straily has a 3-2 record and a 1.19 WHIP. He has 56 strikeouts over the 60.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 45 hits. He has allowed 6.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.37. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 6.62 and they have given up 203 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .269 against the Reds bullpen while being struck out 168 times and walking 118 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.61 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.17 batters per nine. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.70. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 504 base knocks and 299 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 92 home runs this year and they give up 1.8 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 244 hitters and struck out 376. They give up a walk 4.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.59 while their FIP as a staff is 5.80.

As a team, they are batting .237, good for 23rd in the league while putting together a .230 average at home. The Reds hold a .409 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .293 which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 26th in baseball with 7.76 hits per contest. Zack Cozart comes into this matchup batting .306 and he has an OBP of .333. He has 52 hits this year along with 29 runs scored and 20 RBI. He's struck out 22 times and has walked on 7 occasions. Jay Bruce is hitting .275 and he has an OBP of .323. He has collected 50 hits so far while he's scored 30 runs and drove in 36. He has earned a walk 12 times and has punched out 43 times. The Reds as a unit have 419 base hits, including 94 doubles and 63 homers. They have 31 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 19 times. Cincinnati as a team has walked 127 times this year and they have struck out 437 times. They've had 278 men left on base and have an OPS of .702. They score 4.22 runs per game and have totaled 228 runs so far this season.

Washington Nationals Betting Trends

The Washington Nationals are 24-25-5 against the over/under so far this season

The Washington Nationals are 28-26-0 against the run line so far this season

Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 31-19-4 against the over/under so far this season

The Cincinnati Reds are 27-27-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Washington Nationals

06/03/16 1B Ryan Zimmerman Personal expected to go on the paternity list
06/02/16 RF Bryce Harper Knee "?" Friday vs. Cincinnati Reds
04/28/16 P Matt Belisle Calf 15-day DL (4/27)
03/31/16 P Aaron Barrett Elbow 60-day DL (4/1)

Cincinnati Reds

06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/20/16 P Tim Adleman Oblique 15-day DL (5/20)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
05/01/16 P Raisel Iglesias Shoulder 15-day DL (4/26)
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)
04/04/16 P Anthony DeSclafa Oblique 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Homer Bailey Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 C Kyle Skipworth Ankle 60-day DL (3/31)
03/31/16 P Michael Lorenzen Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)

Guy's Pick: Take the Nationals

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