Friday, August 19, 2016

Progressive Field

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Probable Pitchers: Francisco Liriano vs. Trevor Bauer

The Toronto Blue Jays visit Progressive Field on Friday to play the Cleveland Indians. The probable starters are Francisco Liriano for the Blue Jays and Trevor Bauer for the Indians. The opening line for this matchup has Toronto at +120 and Cleveland at -130. The over/under was set at 9. The Blue Jays have a 48-68-5 over/under record and a 63-58-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Indians are 62-56-0 against the run line and have a 59-50-9 over/under record. They cover the spread 53% of the time.

The Blue Jays head into this matchup with a 69-52 record, including 33-26 on the road. Starting pitcher Francisco Liriano has a 6-12 record with an earned run average of 5.46 and a WHIP of 1.62. He has 125 strikeouts over his 125.1 innings pitched and he has given up 130 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.27. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.85 and they have given up 326 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .246 against the bullpen while being struck out 340 times and walking 95 times this season. As a team, Toronto has allowed 8.22 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.02 batters per nine. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.74. The Blue Jays pitchers have collectively given up 1,004 base hits and 456 earned runs. They have allowed 138 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Toronto as a pitching staff has walked 332 batters and struck out 979. They walk 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.22 and their FIP as a unit is 4.03.

As a team, Toronto is batting .248, good for 22nd in the league while putting together a .234 average away from home. The Blue Jays hold a .433 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327 which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 21st in baseball with 8.45 hits per game. Edwin Encarnacion comes into this game hitting .269 and his on-base percentage is at .356. He has 121 hits this season along with 76 runs scored and 100 runs batted in. He's struck out 108 times and has walked 59 times. Josh Donaldson is hitting .289 and he has an on-base percentage of .399. He has totaled 130 hits so far while scoring 96 runs and he's driven in 80. He has walked 77 times and has struck out 92 times. The Blue Jays have 1,023 hits, including 209 doubles and 174 home runs. They've stolen 38 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 17 times. Toronto has walked 451 times this season and they've struck out 1,036 times as a unit. They've left 819 men on base and have a team OPS of .760. They score 4.84 runs per contest and have scored a total of 586 runs so far this year.

Cleveland comes into this matchup with a 36-22 home record and a 68-50 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.97, Trevor Bauer has a 9-5 record and a 1.32 WHIP. He has 115 strikeouts over the 131.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 120 hits. He has allowed 8.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.1. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.68 and they have given up 317 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .237 against the Indians bullpen while being struck out 337 times and walking 139 times this season. As a team, Cleveland has allowed 8.23 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.84. The Indians pitchers as a team have surrendered 975 base knocks and 455 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 141 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cleveland as a staff has walked 345 hitters and struck out 995. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.24 while their FIP as a staff is 4.03.

As a team, they are batting .266, good for 4th in the league while putting together a .296 average at home. The Indians hold a .444 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329 which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 4th in baseball with 9.22 hits per contest. Francisco Lindor comes into this matchup batting .312 and he has an OBP of .360. He has 143 hits this year along with 81 runs scored and 62 RBI. He's struck out 67 times and has walked on 38 occasions. Jason Kipnis is hitting .291 and he has an OBP of .351. He has collected 132 hits so far while he's scored 72 runs and drove in 67. He has earned a walk 42 times and has punched out 103 times. The Indians as a unit have 1,088 base hits, including 222 doubles and 154 homers. They have 102 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 23 times. Cleveland as a team has walked 374 times this year and they have struck out 931 times. They've had 773 men left on base and have an OPS of .772. They score 5.08 runs per game and have totaled 600 runs so far this season.

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends

The Toronto Blue Jays are 48-68-5 against the over/under so far this season

The Toronto Blue Jays are 63-58-0 against the run line so far this season

Cleveland Indians Betting Trends

The Cleveland Indians are 59-50-9 against the over/under so far this season

The Cleveland Indians are 62-56-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Toronto Blue Jays

08/18/16 3B Josh Donaldson Thumb injured last game, "?" Friday vs. Cleveland Indians
08/11/16 RF Jose Bautista Knee 15-day DL (8/10)
08/09/16 CF Kevin Pillar Thumb 15-day DL (8/7)
06/27/16 P Gavin Floyd Shoulder 60-day DL (6/26)

Cleveland Indians

08/17/16 P Josh Tomlin Personal expected to miss 3-5 days
08/15/16 P Danny Salazar Elbow 15-day DL (8/2); expected to be activated and start Thursday vs Chicago White Sox
07/19/16 C Yan Gomes Shoulder 15-day DL (7/18)
07/18/16 P Tommy Hunter Back 15-day DL (7/10)
07/07/16 P Zach McAllister Hip 15-day DL (7/6)
06/01/16 LF Marlon Byrd Suspension out for season
05/14/16 LF Michael Brantley Shoulder 60-day DL (5/10); out for season

Tony's Pick: Take the Blue Jays

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