Sunday, April 17, 2016

Fenway Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Aaron Sanchez vs. Steven Wright

The Toronto Blue Jays visit Fenway Park on Sunday to play the Boston Red Sox. The probable starters are Aaron Sanchez for the Blue Jays and Steven Wright for the Red Sox. The opening line for this matchup has Toronto at -102 and Boston at -108. The over/under was set at 9. The Blue Jays have a 4-6-1 over/under record and a 6-5-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 55% of the time. The Red Sox are 6-3-0 against the run line and have a 6-3-0 over/under record. They cover the spread 67% of the time.

The Blue Jays head into this matchup with a 5-6 record, including 2-3 on the road. Starting pitcher Aaron Sanchez has a 0-0 record with an earned run average of 1.38 and a WHIP of 0.85. He has 13 strikeouts over his 13 innings pitched and he has given up 8 hits so far this season. He has allowed 5.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.85. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.86 and they have given up 26 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .239 against the bullpen while being struck out 33 times and walking 7 times this season. As a team, Toronto has allowed 8.25 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.34 batters per nine. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 3.56. The Blue Jays pitchers have collectively given up 88 base hits and 38 earned runs. They have allowed 9 home runs this season and they allow 0.8 homers per nine innings as a staff. Toronto as a pitching staff has walked 30 batters and struck out 89. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.23 and their FIP as a unit is 3.55.

As a team, Toronto is batting .214, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .194 average away from home. The Blue Jays hold a .377 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .293 which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 26th in baseball with 6.91 hits per game. Josh Donaldson comes into this game hitting .295 and his on-base percentage is at .340. He has 13 hits this season along with 11 runs scored and 12 runs batted in. He's struck out 15 times and has walked 3 times. Jose Bautista is hitting .273 and he has an on-base percentage of .478. He has totaled 9 hits so far while scoring 7 runs and he's driven in 7. He has walked 13 times and has struck out 10 times. The Blue Jays have 76 hits, including 15 doubles and 13 home runs. They've stolen 5 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 1 times. Toronto has walked 35 times this season and they've struck out 112 times as a unit. They've left 67 men on base and have a team OPS of .671. They score 4.09 runs per contest and have scored a total of 45 runs so far this year.

Boston comes into this matchup with a 2-2 home record and a 5-4 overall mark. With an earned run average of 1.35, Steven Wright has a 0-1 record and a 1.35 WHIP. He has 5 strikeouts over the 6.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 6 hits. He has allowed 8.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.01. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.09 and they have given up 19 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .173 against the Red Sox bullpen while being struck out 35 times and walking 12 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 7.86 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.48 batters per nine. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 5.13. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 69 base knocks and 45 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 14 home runs this year and they give up 1.6 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a staff has walked 35 hitters and struck out 92. They give up a walk 4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 4.65.

As a team, they are batting .280, good for 7th in the league while putting together a .286 average at home. The Red Sox hold a .446 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .349 which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 7th in baseball with 9.78 hits per contest. David Ortiz comes into this matchup batting .333 and he has an OBP of .444. He has 10 hits this year along with 5 runs scored and 10 RBI. He's struck out 4 times and has walked on 6 occasions. Xander Bogaerts is hitting .263 and he has an OBP of .317. He has collected 10 hits so far while he's scored 8 runs and drove in 4. He has earned a walk 3 times and has punched out 9 times. The Red Sox as a unit have 88 base hits, including 24 doubles and 8 homers. They have 8 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 1 time. Boston as a team has walked 33 times this year and they have struck out 73 times. They've had 66 men left on base and have an OPS of .795. They score 5.44 runs per game and have totaled 49 runs so far this season.

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends

The Toronto Blue Jays are 4-6-1 against the over/under so far this season

The Toronto Blue Jays are 6-5-0 against the run line so far this season

Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 6-3-0 against the over/under so far this season

The Boston Red Sox are 6-3-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Toronto Blue Jays

04/10/16 P Franklin Morales Arm 15-day DL (4/7)
04/04/16 P Aaron Loup Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 2B Devon Travis Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Bo Schultz Hip 15-day DL (3/25)

Boston Red Sox

04/13/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 15-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Eduardo Rodrigue Knee 15-day DL (4/2)

Guy's Pick: Take the Red Sox

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Guy Bruhn