Saturday, April 16, 2016

Fenway Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Marco Estrada vs. David Price

The Toronto Blue Jays visit Fenway Park on Saturday to play the Boston Red Sox. The probable starters are Marco Estrada for the Blue Jays and David Price for the Red Sox. The opening line for this matchup has Toronto at +135 and Boston at -145. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Blue Jays have a 4-5-1 over/under record and a 6-4-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 60% of the time. The Red Sox are 5-3-0 against the run line and have a 6-2-0 over/under record. They cover the spread 63% of the time.

The Blue Jays head into this matchup with a 4-5 record, including 2-2 on the road. Starting pitcher Marco Estrada has a 1-0 record with an earned run average of 0.00 and a WHIP of 1.00. He has 8 strikeouts over his 7 innings pitched and he has given up 5 hits so far this season. He has allowed 6.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 1.79. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.01 and they have given up 23 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .237 against the bullpen while being struck out 29 times and walking 5 times this season. As a team, Toronto has allowed 8.08 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.39 batters per nine. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 3.58. The Blue Jays pitchers have collectively given up 79 base hits and 35 earned runs. They have allowed 9 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. Toronto as a pitching staff has walked 24 batters and struck out 82. They walk 2.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.17 and their FIP as a unit is 3.60.

As a team, Toronto is batting .224, good for 21st in the league while putting together a .213 average away from home. The Blue Jays hold a .383 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .301 which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 23rd in baseball with 7.3 hits per game. Josh Donaldson comes into this game hitting .325 and his on-base percentage is at .372. He has 13 hits this season along with 11 runs scored and 12 runs batted in. He's struck out 14 times and has walked 3 times. Jose Bautista is hitting .300 and he has an on-base percentage of .500. He has totaled 9 hits so far while scoring 6 runs and he's driven in 7. He has walked 12 times and has struck out 9 times. The Blue Jays have 73 hits, including 15 doubles and 11 home runs. They've stolen 5 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 1 times. Toronto has walked 33 times this season and they've struck out 100 times as a unit. They've left 64 men on base and have a team OPS of .684. They score 4.2 runs per contest and have scored a total of 42 runs so far this year.

Boston comes into this matchup with a 1-2 home record and a 4-4 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.73, David Price has a 1-0 record and a 1.27 WHIP. He has 18 strikeouts over the 11 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 10 hits. He has allowed 8.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.49. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.38 and they have given up 18 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .178 against the Red Sox bullpen while being struck out 31 times and walking 11 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.49 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.29 batters per nine. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 5.40. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 66 base knocks and 42 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 12 home runs this year and they give up 1.5 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a staff has walked 33 hitters and struck out 80. They give up a walk 4.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.41 while their FIP as a staff is 4.70.

As a team, they are batting .280, good for 6th in the league while putting together a .287 average at home. The Red Sox hold a .454 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .344 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 5th in baseball with 9.88 hits per contest. David Ortiz comes into this matchup batting .321 and he has an OBP of .406. He has 9 hits this year along with 4 runs scored and 9 RBI. He's struck out 4 times and has walked on 4 occasions. Xander Bogaerts is hitting .265 and he has an OBP of .324. He has collected 9 hits so far while he's scored 7 runs and drove in 4. He has earned a walk 3 times and has punched out 8 times. The Red Sox as a unit have 79 base hits, including 21 doubles and 8 homers. They have 7 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 1 time. Boston as a team has walked 27 times this year and they have struck out 66 times. They've had 57 men left on base and have an OPS of .798. They score 5.5 runs per game and have totaled 44 runs so far this season.

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends

The Toronto Blue Jays are 4-5-1 against the over/under so far this season

The Toronto Blue Jays are 6-4-0 against the run line so far this season

Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 6-2-0 against the over/under so far this season

The Boston Red Sox are 5-3-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Toronto Blue Jays

04/10/16 P Franklin Morales Arm 15-day DL (4/7)
04/04/16 P Aaron Loup Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 2B Devon Travis Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Bo Schultz Hip 15-day DL (3/25)

Boston Red Sox

04/13/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 15-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Eduardo Rodrigue Knee 15-day DL (4/2)
04/03/16 C Christian Vazquez Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)

Guy's Pick: Take the Red Sox

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Guy Bruhn