Sunday, June 12, 2016

Safeco Field

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Probable Pitchers: Cole Hamels vs. Wade Miley

The Texas Rangers visit Safeco Field on Sunday to play the Seattle Mariners. The probable starters are Cole Hamels for the Rangers and Wade Miley for the Mariners. The opening line for this matchup has Texas at +105 and Seattle at -115. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Rangers have a 32-28-1 over/under record and a 36-25-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 59% of the time. The Mariners are 29-32-0 against the run line and have a 29-27-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 48% of the time.

The Rangers head into this matchup with a 37-24 record, including 13-14 on the road. Starting pitcher Cole Hamels has a 5-1 record with an earned run average of 3.32 and a WHIP of 1.30. He has 76 strikeouts over his 76 innings pitched and he has given up 69 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.98. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.90 and they have given up 202 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .274 against the bullpen while being struck out 158 times and walking 70 times this season. As a team, Texas has allowed 8.72 hits per nine innings while striking out 6.96 batters per nine. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 3.93. The Rangers pitchers have collectively given up 531 base hits and 239 earned runs. They have allowed 77 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Texas as a pitching staff has walked 198 batters and struck out 424. They walk 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.33 and their FIP as a unit is 4.60.

As a team, Texas is batting .266, good for 8th in the league while putting together a .247 average away from home. The Rangers hold a .426 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .320 which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 9th in baseball with 9.02 hits per game. Adrian Beltre comes into this game hitting .271 and his on-base percentage is at .324. He has 61 hits this season along with 30 runs scored and 40 runs batted in. He's struck out 25 times and has walked 17 times. Elvis Andrus is hitting .274 and he has an on-base percentage of .324. He has totaled 55 hits so far while scoring 26 runs and he's driven in 21. He has walked 15 times and has struck out 26 times. The Rangers have 550 hits, including 106 doubles and 69 home runs. They've stolen 39 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 10 times. Texas has walked 153 times this season and they've struck out 427 times as a unit. They've left 377 men on base and have a team OPS of .746. They score 4.77 runs per contest and have scored a total of 291 runs so far this year.

Seattle comes into this matchup with a 15-16 home record and a 34-27 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.27, Wade Miley has a 6-2 record and a 1.38 WHIP. He has 52 strikeouts over the 71.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 78 hits. He has allowed 9.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.81. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.03 and they have given up 145 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .212 against the Mariners bullpen while being struck out 198 times and walking 58 times this season. As a team, Seattle has allowed 8.26 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.47 batters per nine. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.67. The Mariners pitchers as a team have surrendered 500 base knocks and 222 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 74 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Seattle as a staff has walked 172 hitters and struck out 513. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.23 while their FIP as a staff is 4.06.

As a team, they are batting .262, good for 10th in the league while putting together a .251 average at home. The Mariners hold a .444 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .331 which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 10th in baseball with 8.95 hits per contest. Nelson Cruz comes into this matchup batting .287 and he has an OBP of .375. He has 64 hits this year along with 36 runs scored and 43 RBI. He's struck out 58 times and has walked on 27 occasions. Robinson Cano is hitting .294 and he has an OBP of .351. He has collected 73 hits so far while he's scored 47 runs and drove in 50. He has earned a walk 18 times and has punched out 38 times. The Mariners as a unit have 546 base hits, including 87 doubles and 92 homers. They have 21 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 15 times. Seattle as a team has walked 195 times this year and they have struck out 456 times. They've had 398 men left on base and have an OPS of .775. They score 5.08 runs per game and have totaled 310 runs so far this season.

Texas Rangers Betting Trends

The Texas Rangers are 32-28-1 against the over/under so far this season

The Texas Rangers are 36-25-0 against the run line so far this season

Seattle Mariners Betting Trends

The Seattle Mariners are 29-27-5 against the over/under so far this season

The Seattle Mariners are 29-32-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Texas Rangers

06/11/16 3B Adrian Beltre Hamstring expected to miss Saturday & Sunday vs. Seattle Mariners
06/10/16 P Yu Darvish Shoulder expected to start Monday vs Oakland A%27s
05/28/16 P Tanner Scheppers Knee 60-day DL (3/25)
05/24/16 CF Drew Stubbs Toe 15-day DL (5/23)
05/24/16 RF Shin-Soo Choo Hamstring 15-day DL (5/21)
05/08/16 P AJ Griffin Shoulder 15-day DL (5/8)
04/21/16 P Keone Kela Elbow 60-day DL (4/20)
04/04/16 RF Josh Hamilton Knee 60-day DL (3/25)

Seattle Mariners

06/01/16 P Felix Hernandez Calf 15-day DL (5/28)
05/04/16 P Tony Zych Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (5/2)
04/04/16 P Charlie Furbush Bicep 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Evan Scribner Oblique 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 C Jesus Sucre Leg 60-day DL (3/1)
03/30/16 P Ryan Cook Shoulder 60-day DL (3/12)

Tony's Pick: Take the Rangers

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