Wednesday, August 24, 2016

Great American Ball Park

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Probable Pitchers: Yu Darvish vs. Tim Adleman

The Texas Rangers head to Great American Ball Park on Wednesday to take on the Cincinnati Reds. The probable pitchers are Yu Darvish for the Rangers and Tim Adleman for the Reds. The opening line for this game has Texas at -170 and Cincinnati at +160. The over/under is 8.5. The Rangers have a 60-58-7 over/under mark and a 67-58-0 run line record, meaning they cover 54% of the time. The Reds are 66-58-0 against the run line and have a 68-46-10 over/under record. They cover the spread 53% of the time.

The Rangers head into this game with a 73-52 record, and they are 34-32 on the road. Starting pitcher Yu Darvish has a 4-3 record with an ERA of 2.75 and a WHIP of 1.07. He has 76 strikeouts during his 59 innings pitched and he has given up 49 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 7.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.32. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.78 and they have allowed 415 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .269 against the pen while they've been struck out 317 times and walked 140 times this year. As a unit, Texas has given up 9.11 base hits per nine innings while striking out 6.96 hitters per nine. They are 19th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.35. The Rangers pitchers have collectively given up 1,127 base hits and 538 earned runs. They have allowed 161 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Texas as a pitching staff has walked 406 batters and struck out 861. They walk 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.38 and their FIP as a unit is 4.69.

As a team, Texas is hitting .263, good for 8th in the league while putting together a .250 average on the road. The Rangers have a .431 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .321 which is good for 18th in the league. They rank 9th in baseball with 8.96 hits per contest. Ian Desmond comes into this game hitting .292 and his on-base percentage is at .340. He has 145 hits this season along with 85 runs scored and 74 runs batted in. He's struck out 132 times and has walked 34 times. Adrian Beltre is hitting .290 and he has an on-base percentage of .344. He has totaled 132 hits so far while scoring 62 runs and he's driven in 79. He has walked 34 times and has struck out 53 times. The Rangers have 1,120 hits, including 195 doubles and 161 home runs. They've stolen 72 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 28 times. Texas has walked 329 times this season and they've struck out 932 times as a unit. They've left 794 men on base and have a team OPS of .752. They score 4.66 runs per contest and have scored a total of 582 runs so far this year.

Cincinnati comes into this game with a 31-32 home mark and a 53-71 overall record. With an ERA of 2.96, Tim Adleman has a 2-1 record and a 1.40 WHIP. He has 19 strikeouts over the 24.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 23 hits. He has allowed 8.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.91. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 5.09 and they have given up 433 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .249 against the Reds bullpen while being struck out 413 times and walking 233 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.16 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.69 batters per nine. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.01. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,127 base knocks and 617 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 202 home runs this year and they give up 1.6 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 496 hitters and struck out 947. They give up a walk 4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.47 while their FIP as a staff is 5.31.

As a team, they are batting .250, good for 21st in the league while putting together a .256 average at home. The Reds hold a .407 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .312 which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 23rd in baseball with 8.44 hits per contest. Zack Cozart comes into this matchup batting .263 and he has an OBP of .313. He has 109 hits this year along with 61 runs scored and 46 RBI. He's struck out 71 times and has walked on 30 occasions. Joey Votto is hitting .309 and he has an OBP of .433. He has collected 128 hits so far while he's scored 80 runs and drove in 72. He has earned a walk 90 times and has punched out 107 times. The Reds as a unit have 1,046 base hits, including 211 doubles and 134 homers. They have 110 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 37 times. Cincinnati as a team has walked 353 times this year and they have struck out 1,011 times. They've had 746 men left on base and have an OPS of .719. They score 4.49 runs per game and have totaled 557 runs so far this season.

Texas Rangers Betting Trends

The Texas Rangers are 60-58-7 against the over/under so far this season

The Texas Rangers are 67-58-0 against the run line so far this season

Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 68-46-10 against the over/under so far this season

The Cincinnati Reds are 66-58-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Texas Rangers

08/22/16 P Derek Holland Shoulder 60-day DL (6/21); expected to be activated Tuesday vs. Cincinnati Reds
08/18/16 P Lucas Harrell Groin 15-day DL (8/17)
08/15/16 RF Shin-Soo Choo Forearm 15-day DL (8/15)
07/20/16 DH Prince Fielder Neck 15-day DL (7/19), out for season
06/26/16 P Colby Lewis Back 60-day DL (6/22)
05/28/16 P Tanner Scheppers Knee 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 RF Josh Hamilton Knee 60-day DL (3/25)

Cincinnati Reds

08/22/16 SS Zack Cozart Knee "?" Tuesday vs. Texas Rangers
08/04/16 P A.J. Morris Shoulder 15-day DL (6/16)
06/23/16 P Alfredo Simon Trapezius 15-day DL (6/22)
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)

Tony's Pick: Take the Reds

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