Tuesday, July 5, 2016

Fenway Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: A.J. Griffin vs. David Price

The Texas Rangers head to Fenway Park on Tuesday to take on the Boston Red Sox. The probable pitchers are A.J. Griffin for the Rangers and David Price for the Red Sox. The opening line for this game has Texas at +185 and Boston at -200. The over/under is 9.5. The Rangers have a 43-36-4 over/under mark and a 52-31-0 run line record, meaning they cover 63% of the time. The Red Sox are 40-41-0 against the run line and have a 44-32-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.

The Rangers head into this game with a 52-31 record, and they are 24-19 on the road. Starting pitcher A.J. Griffin has a 3-0 record with an ERA of 2.93 and a WHIP of 1.09. He has 42 strikeouts during his 43 innings pitched and he has given up 30 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 6.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.61. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.99 and they have allowed 282 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .272 against the pen while they've been struck out 208 times and walked 96 times this year. As a unit, Texas has given up 8.83 base hits per nine innings while striking out 6.64 hitters per nine. They are 14th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.11. The Rangers pitchers have collectively given up 731 base hits and 340 earned runs. They have allowed 102 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Texas as a pitching staff has walked 272 batters and struck out 550. They walk 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 6.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.35 and their FIP as a unit is 4.69.

As a team, Texas is hitting .265, good for 10th in the league while putting together a .248 average on the road. The Rangers have a .429 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .322 which is good for 18th in the league. They rank 12th in baseball with 9.02 hits per contest. Ian Desmond comes into this game hitting .317 and his on-base percentage is at .371. He has 102 hits this season along with 60 runs scored and 52 runs batted in. He's struck out 83 times and has walked 26 times. Nomar Mazara is hitting .287 and he has an on-base percentage of .337. He has totaled 81 hits so far while scoring 35 runs and he's driven in 35. He has walked 21 times and has struck out 52 times. The Rangers have 749 hits, including 131 doubles and 105 home runs. They've stolen 50 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 19 times. Texas has walked 218 times this season and they've struck out 606 times as a unit. They've left 516 men on base and have a team OPS of .751. They score 4.9 runs per contest and have scored a total of 407 runs so far this year.

Boston comes into this game with a 25-19 home mark and a 44-37 overall record. With an ERA of 4.74, David Price has a 8-5 record and a 1.24 WHIP. He has 120 strikeouts over the 108.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 109 hits. He has allowed 9.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.59. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.91 and they have given up 225 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .234 against the Red Sox bullpen while being struck out 281 times and walking 102 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.71 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.58 batters per nine. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.50. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 700 base knocks and 361 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 98 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a staff has walked 273 hitters and struck out 690. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.34 while their FIP as a staff is 4.32.

As a team, they are batting .289, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .300 average at home. The Red Sox hold a .469 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .357 which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.3 hits per contest. Xander Bogaerts comes into this matchup batting .333 and he has an OBP of .391. He has 111 hits this year along with 60 runs scored and 51 RBI. He's struck out 55 times and has walked on 31 occasions. Mookie Betts is hitting .294 and he has an OBP of .332. He has collected 106 hits so far while he's scored 70 runs and drove in 55. He has earned a walk 21 times and has punched out 52 times. The Red Sox as a unit have 834 base hits, including 197 doubles and 94 homers. They have 52 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 9 times. Boston as a team has walked 288 times this year and they have struck out 584 times. They've had 608 men left on base and have an OPS of .826. They score 5.57 runs per game and have totaled 451 runs so far this season.

Texas Rangers Betting Trends

The Texas Rangers are 43-36-4 against the over/under so far this season

The Texas Rangers are 52-31-0 against the run line so far this season

Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 44-32-5 against the over/under so far this season

The Boston Red Sox are 40-41-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Texas Rangers

07/04/16 1B Mitch Moreland Calf is not expected to be in the starting lineup Monday & Tuesday vs. Boston Red Sox
06/26/16 P Colby Lewis Back 60-day DL (6/22)
06/22/16 P Derek Holland Shoulder 15-day DL (6/21)
06/14/16 P Yu Darvish Shoulder 15-day DL (6/9)
05/28/16 P Tanner Scheppers Knee 60-day DL (3/25)
05/24/16 CF Drew Stubbs Toe 60-day DL (5/23)
04/21/16 P Keone Kela Elbow 60-day DL (4/20)
04/04/16 RF Josh Hamilton Knee 60-day DL (3/25)

Boston Red Sox

06/24/16 LF Chris Young Hamstring 15-day DL (6/23)
06/17/16 2B Josh Rutledge Knee 15-day DL (6/15)
06/07/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (5/15)
06/06/16 C Blake Swihart Ankle 15-day DL (6/5)
06/06/16 C Ryan Hanigan Neck 15-day DL (6/5)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)

Josh's Pick: Take the Red Sox

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