Monday, July 4, 2016

Fenway Park

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Probable Pitchers: Nick Martinez vs. Rick Porcello

The Texas Rangers visit Fenway Park on Monday to play the Boston Red Sox. The probable starters are Nick Martinez for the Rangers and Rick Porcello for the Red Sox. The opening line for this matchup has Texas at +167 and Boston at -177. The over/under was set at 10.5. The Rangers have a 42-36-4 over/under record and a 52-30-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 63% of the time. The Red Sox are 39-41-0 against the run line and have a 43-32-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.

The Rangers head into this matchup with a 52-30 record, including 24-18 on the road. Starting pitcher Nick Martinez has a 1-1 record with an earned run average of 5.00 and a WHIP of 1.72. He has 7 strikeouts over his 18 innings pitched and he has given up 19 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 7.22. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 5.07 and they have given up 281 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .275 against the bullpen while being struck out 204 times and walking 95 times this season. As a team, Texas has allowed 8.79 hits per nine innings while striking out 6.63 batters per nine. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.09. The Rangers pitchers have collectively given up 720 base hits and 335 earned runs. They have allowed 102 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Texas as a pitching staff has walked 268 batters and struck out 543. They walk 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 6.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.34 and their FIP as a unit is 4.70.

As a team, Texas is batting .265, good for 9th in the league while putting together a .248 average away from home. The Rangers hold a .429 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322 which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 12th in baseball with 9.04 hits per game. Ian Desmond comes into this game hitting .320 and his on-base percentage is at .372. He has 102 hits this season along with 60 runs scored and 52 runs batted in. He's struck out 82 times and has walked 25 times. Nomar Mazara is hitting .288 and he has an on-base percentage of .338. He has totaled 80 hits so far while scoring 35 runs and he's driven in 35. He has walked 21 times and has struck out 51 times. The Rangers have 741 hits, including 128 doubles and 104 home runs. They've stolen 50 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 19 times. Texas has walked 215 times this season and they've struck out 599 times as a unit. They've left 510 men on base and have a team OPS of .751. They score 4.91 runs per contest and have scored a total of 403 runs so far this year.

Boston comes into this matchup with a 24-19 home record and a 43-37 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.78, Rick Porcello has a 9-2 record and a 1.14 WHIP. He has 89 strikeouts over the 100 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 93 hits. He has allowed 8.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.97. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.87 and they have given up 219 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .232 against the Red Sox bullpen while being struck out 281 times and walking 101 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.66 batters per nine. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.49. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 690 base knocks and 356 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 98 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a staff has walked 269 hitters and struck out 688. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.34 while their FIP as a staff is 4.31.

As a team, they are batting .288, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .297 average at home. The Red Sox hold a .468 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .355 which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.22 hits per contest. Xander Bogaerts comes into this matchup batting .334 and he has an OBP of .391. He has 110 hits this year along with 59 runs scored and 51 RBI. He's struck out 54 times and has walked on 30 occasions. Mookie Betts is hitting .296 and he has an OBP of .334. He has collected 105 hits so far while he's scored 70 runs and drove in 55. He has earned a walk 21 times and has punched out 51 times. The Red Sox as a unit have 818 base hits, including 192 doubles and 94 homers. They have 52 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 9 times. Boston as a team has walked 283 times this year and they have struck out 578 times. They've had 599 men left on base and have an OPS of .823. They score 5.51 runs per game and have totaled 441 runs so far this season.

Texas Rangers Betting Trends

The Texas Rangers are 42-36-4 against the over/under so far this season

The Texas Rangers are 52-30-0 against the run line so far this season

Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 43-32-5 against the over/under so far this season

The Boston Red Sox are 39-41-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Texas Rangers

06/26/16 P Colby Lewis Back 15-day DL (6/22)
06/22/16 P Derek Holland Shoulder 15-day DL (6/21)
06/14/16 P Yu Darvish Shoulder 15-day DL (6/9)
05/28/16 P Tanner Scheppers Knee 60-day DL (3/25)
05/24/16 CF Drew Stubbs Toe 60-day DL (5/23)
04/21/16 P Keone Kela Elbow 60-day DL (4/20)
04/04/16 RF Josh Hamilton Knee 60-day DL (3/25)

Boston Red Sox

06/24/16 LF Chris Young Hamstring 15-day DL (6/23)
06/17/16 2B Josh Rutledge Knee 15-day DL (6/15)
06/07/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (5/15)
06/06/16 C Blake Swihart Ankle 15-day DL (6/5)
06/06/16 C Ryan Hanigan Neck 15-day DL (6/5)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)

Guy's Pick: Take the Rangers

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