Sunday, October 2, 2016

PNC Park

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Probable Pitchers: Adam Wainwright vs. Ryan Vogelsong

The St. Louis Cardinals visit PNC Park on Sunday to play the Pittsburgh Pirates. The probable starters are Adam Wainwright for the Cardinals and Ryan Vogelsong for the Pirates. The Cardinals have a 82-72-6 over/under record and a 74-86-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 46% of the time. The Pirates are 73-87-0 against the run line and have a 88-68-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 46% of the time.

The Cardinals head into this matchup with a 84-76 record, including 48-33 on the road. Starting pitcher Adam Wainwright has a 13-9 record with an earned run average of 4.67 and a WHIP of 1.40. He has 153 strikeouts over his 192.2 innings pitched and he has given up 214 hits so far this season. He has allowed 10 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.99. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.67 and they have given up 435 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .228 against the bullpen while being struck out 491 times and walking 188 times this season. As a team, St. Louis has allowed 8.91 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.97 batters per nine. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.08. The Cardinals pitchers have collectively given up 1,416 base hits and 649 earned runs. They have allowed 157 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. St. Louis as a pitching staff has walked 469 batters and struck out 1,266. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 3.89.

As a team, St. Louis is batting .254, good for 19th in the league while putting together a .257 average away from home. The Cardinals hold a .441 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324 which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 18th in baseball with 8.69 hits per game. Aledmys Diaz comes into this game hitting .301 and his on-base percentage is at .370. He has 119 hits this season along with 70 runs scored and 65 runs batted in. He's struck out 59 times and has walked 40 times. Stephen Piscotty is hitting .274 and he has an on-base percentage of .345. He has totaled 157 hits so far while scoring 85 runs and he's driven in 84. He has walked 51 times and has struck out 131 times. The Cardinals have 1,392 hits, including 295 doubles and 223 home runs. They've stolen 35 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 26 times. St. Louis has walked 520 times this season and they've struck out 1,306 times as a unit. They've left 1,098 men on base and have a team OPS of .766. They score 4.78 runs per contest and have scored a total of 765 runs so far this year.

Pittsburgh comes into this matchup with a 38-42 home record and a 78-81 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.00, Ryan Vogelsong has a 3-7 record and a 1.46 WHIP. He has 60 strikeouts over the 77.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 76 hits. He has allowed 8.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.03. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.47 and they have given up 547 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .246 against the Pirates bullpen while being struck out 530 times and walking 230 times this season. As a team, Pittsburgh has allowed 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.65 batters per nine. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.18. The Pirates pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,467 base knocks and 667 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 178 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Pittsburgh as a staff has walked 527 hitters and struck out 1,220. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.39 while their FIP as a staff is 4.30.

As a team, they are batting .258, good for 12th in the league while putting together a .270 average at home. The Pirates hold a .403 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .333 which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 12th in baseball with 8.81 hits per contest. Andrew McCutchen comes into this matchup batting .255 and he has an OBP of .336. He has 151 hits this year along with 81 runs scored and 77 RBI. He's struck out 142 times and has walked on 69 occasions. Starling Marte is hitting .311 and he has an OBP of .362. He has collected 152 hits so far while he's scored 71 runs and drove in 46. He has earned a walk 23 times and has punched out 104 times. The Pirates as a unit have 1,410 base hits, including 277 doubles and 151 homers. They have 109 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 44 times. Pittsburgh as a team has walked 555 times this year and they have struck out 1,310 times. They've had 1,159 men left on base and have an OPS of .736. They score 4.51 runs per game and have totaled 722 runs so far this season.

St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends

The St. Louis Cardinals are 82-72-6 against the over/under so far this season

The St. Louis Cardinals are 74-86-0 against the run line so far this season

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 88-68-4 against the over/under so far this season

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 73-87-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

St. Louis Cardinals

09/30/16 2B Kolten Wong Shoulder "?" Saturday vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
09/05/16 P Seth Maness Elbow 60-day DL (8/14)
08/03/16 P Tyler Lyons Knee 60-day DL (7/31), out for season
05/26/16 P Mitch Harris Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jordan Walden Abdominal 60-day DL (3/31)
04/04/16 P Lance Lynn Elbow 60-day DL (3/25); out for season

Pittsburgh Pirates

09/30/16 C Francisco Cervelli Hand "?" Saturday vs. St. Louis Cardinals
09/29/16 P Neftali Feliz Arm out for season
09/28/16 LF Starling Marte Back out for season
09/25/16 P AJ Schugel Shoulder 60-day DL (9/23)
09/14/16 C Chris Stewart Knee 60-day DL (9/13)
09/14/16 C Elias Diaz Knee 60-day DL (9/13), out for season
09/14/16 P Gerrit Cole Elbow 60-day DL (9/13), out for season
09/12/16 2B Josh Harrison Groin 60-day DL (9/10), out for season

Guy's Pick: Take the Cardinals

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