Monday, May 30, 2016

Miller Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Carlos Martinez vs. Junior Guerra

The St. Louis Cardinals visit Miller Park on Monday to play the Milwaukee Brewers. The probable starters are Carlos Martinez for the Cardinals and Junior Guerra for the Brewers. The opening line for this matchup has St. Louis at -128 and Milwaukee at +118. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Cardinals have a 31-17-2 over/under record and a 27-23-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 54% of the time. The Brewers are 24-25-0 against the run line and have a 26-20-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.

The Cardinals head into this matchup with a 26-24 record, including 13-9 on the road. Starting pitcher Carlos Martinez has a 4-5 record with an earned run average of 4.25 and a WHIP of 1.21. He has 42 strikeouts over his 53 innings pitched and he has given up 44 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.11. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.58 and they have given up 125 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .222 against the bullpen while being struck out 161 times and walking 54 times this season. As a team, St. Louis has allowed 8.55 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.18. The Cardinals pitchers have collectively given up 421 base hits and 206 earned runs. They have allowed 49 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. St. Louis as a pitching staff has walked 147 batters and struck out 384. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.28 and their FIP as a unit is 3.93.

As a team, St. Louis is batting .265, good for 8th in the league while putting together a .270 average away from home. The Cardinals hold a .459 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338 which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 7th in baseball with 9.16 hits per game. Matt Carpenter comes into this game hitting .249 and his on-base percentage is at .374. He has 42 hits this season along with 29 runs scored and 33 runs batted in. He's struck out 42 times and has walked 32 times. Yadier Molina is hitting .283 and he has an on-base percentage of .362. He has totaled 49 hits so far while scoring 18 runs and he's driven in 19. He has walked 20 times and has struck out 21 times. The Cardinals have 458 hits, including 102 doubles and 68 home runs. They've stolen 15 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 7 times. St. Louis has walked 176 times this season and they've struck out 393 times as a unit. They've left 360 men on base and have a team OPS of .797. They score 5.48 runs per contest and have scored a total of 274 runs so far this year.

Milwaukee comes into this matchup with a 13-13 home record and a 22-27 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.30, Junior Guerra has a 3-0 record and a 1.13 WHIP. He has 30 strikeouts over the 30 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 22 hits. He has allowed 6.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.18. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.80 and they have given up 165 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the Brewers bullpen while being struck out 154 times and walking 79 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9.26 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.43 batters per nine. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.57. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 450 base knocks and 222 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 68 home runs this year and they give up 1.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 185 hitters and struck out 361. They give up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.45 while their FIP as a staff is 4.90.

As a team, they are batting .244, good for 18th in the league while putting together a .262 average at home. The Brewers hold a .398 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 22nd in baseball with 8.04 hits per contest. Ryan Braun comes into this matchup batting .351 and he has an OBP of .424. He has 53 hits this year along with 23 runs scored and 30 RBI. He's struck out 24 times and has walked on 19 occasions. Jonathan Lucroy is hitting .284 and he has an OBP of .344. He has collected 48 hits so far while he's scored 27 runs and drove in 23. He has earned a walk 15 times and has punched out 37 times. The Brewers as a unit have 394 base hits, including 82 doubles and 54 homers. They have 40 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 17 times. Milwaukee as a team has walked 204 times this year and they have struck out 484 times. They've had 344 men left on base and have an OPS of .726. They score 4.29 runs per game and have totaled 210 runs so far this season.

St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends

The St. Louis Cardinals are 31-17-2 against the over/under so far this season

The St. Louis Cardinals are 27-23-0 against the run line so far this season

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 26-20-3 against the over/under so far this season

The Milwaukee Brewers are 24-25-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

St. Louis Cardinals

05/29/16 SS Aledmys Diaz Rest is not expected to be in the starting lineup Sunday vs. Washington Nationals
05/29/16 RF Stephen Piscotty Rest is not expected to be in the starting lineup Sunday vs. Washington Nationals
05/29/16 C Yadier Molina Rest is not expected to be in the starting lineup Sunday vs. Washington Nationals
05/26/16 P Mitch Harris Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
05/15/16 P Seth Maness Elbow 15-day DL (5/13)
04/04/16 C Brayan Pena Knee 15-day DL (4/1)
04/04/16 SS Jhonny Peralta Thumb 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jordan Walden Abdominal 15-day DL (3/31)
04/04/16 P Lance Lynn Elbow 60-day DL; out for season
04/04/16 CF Thomas Pham Oblique 15-day DL (4/4)

Milwaukee Brewers

05/29/16 LF Ryan Braun Neck is not expected to be in the starting lineup Sunday vs. Cincinnati Reds
05/29/16 2B Scooter Gennett Rest is not expected to be in the starting lineup Sunday vs. Cincinnati Reds
05/27/16 P Chris Capuano Elbow 15-day DL (4/2)
05/20/16 RF Domingo Santana Shoulder 15-day DL (5/19)
04/28/16 P Matt Garza Shoulder 60-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 P Corey Knebel Oblique 15-day DL (4/1)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 P Will Smith Knee 15-day DL (3/25)

Guy's Pick: Take the Brewers

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