Thursday, June 9, 2016

Great American Ball Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Adam Wainwright vs. Brandon Finnegan

The St. Louis Cardinals head to Great American Ball Park on Thursday to take on the Cincinnati Reds. The probable pitchers are Adam Wainwright for the Cardinals and Brandon Finnegan for the Reds. The opening line for this game has St. Louis at +105 and Cincinnati at -115. The over/under is 9. The Cardinals have a 36-20-2 over/under mark and a 31-27-0 run line record, meaning they cover 53% of the time. The Reds are 31-27-0 against the run line and have a 34-19-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 53% of the time.

The Cardinals head into this game with a 30-28 record, and they are 15-12 on the road. Starting pitcher Adam Wainwright has a 5-4 record with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.41. He has 46 strikeouts during his 71.2 innings pitched and he has given up 83 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 10.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.17. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.85 and they have allowed 143 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .223 against the pen while they've been struck out 180 times and walked 64 times this year. As a unit, St. Louis has given up 8.48 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.83 hitters per nine. They are 19th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.23. The Cardinals pitchers have collectively given up 483 base hits and 241 earned runs. They have allowed 58 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. St. Louis as a pitching staff has walked 168 batters and struck out 446. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.27 and their FIP as a unit is 3.95.

As a team, St. Louis is hitting .267, good for 5th in the league while putting together a .272 average on the road. The Cardinals have a .455 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .336 which is good for 4th in the league. They rank 5th in baseball with 9.21 hits per contest. Matt Carpenter comes into this game hitting .279 and his on-base percentage is at .384. He has 57 hits this season along with 40 runs scored and 38 runs batted in. He's struck out 46 times and has walked 33 times. Yadier Molina is hitting .256 and he has an on-base percentage of .335. He has totaled 51 hits so far while scoring 19 runs and he's driven in 21. He has walked 22 times and has struck out 24 times. The Cardinals have 534 hits, including 114 doubles and 76 home runs. They've stolen 15 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 10 times. St. Louis has walked 194 times this season and they've struck out 447 times as a unit. They've left 407 men on base and have a team OPS of .792. They score 5.4 runs per contest and have scored a total of 313 runs so far this year.

Cincinnati comes into this game with a 15-16 home mark and a 22-36 overall record. With an ERA of 3.89, Brandon Finnegan has a 2-4 record and a 1.37 WHIP. He has 46 strikeouts over the 69.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 61 hits. He has allowed 7.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.23. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 6.59 and they have given up 221 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .274 against the Reds bullpen while being struck out 179 times and walking 119 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.53 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.09 batters per nine. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.58. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 538 base knocks and 315 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 97 home runs this year and they give up 1.7 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 253 hitters and struck out 400. They give up a walk 4.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.56 while their FIP as a staff is 5.69.

As a team, they are batting .242, good for 20th in the league while putting together a .242 average at home. The Reds hold a .422 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .298 which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 24th in baseball with 7.97 hits per contest. Zack Cozart comes into this matchup batting .301 and he has an OBP of .330. He has 55 hits this year along with 31 runs scored and 23 RBI. He's struck out 25 times and has walked on 8 occasions. Jay Bruce is hitting .279 and he has an OBP of .330. He has collected 55 hits so far while he's scored 35 runs and drove in 40. He has earned a walk 14 times and has punched out 45 times. The Reds as a unit have 462 base hits, including 102 doubles and 73 homers. They have 37 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 20 times. Cincinnati as a team has walked 137 times this year and they have struck out 482 times. They've had 298 men left on base and have an OPS of .720. They score 4.43 runs per game and have totaled 257 runs so far this season.

St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends

The St. Louis Cardinals are 36-20-2 against the over/under so far this season

The St. Louis Cardinals are 31-27-0 against the run line so far this season

Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 34-19-5 against the over/under so far this season

The Cincinnati Reds are 31-27-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

St. Louis Cardinals

05/26/16 P Mitch Harris Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
05/15/16 P Seth Maness Elbow 15-day DL (5/13)
04/04/16 C Brayan Pena Knee 15-day DL (4/1)
04/04/16 P Jordan Walden Abdominal 15-day DL (3/31)
04/04/16 P Lance Lynn Elbow 60-day DL; out for season
04/04/16 CF Thomas Pham Oblique 15-day DL (4/4)

Cincinnati Reds

06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/20/16 P Tim Adleman Oblique 15-day DL (5/20)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
05/01/16 P Raisel Iglesias Shoulder 15-day DL (4/26)
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)
04/04/16 P Anthony DeSclafa Oblique 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Homer Bailey Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 C Kyle Skipworth Ankle 60-day DL (3/31)
03/31/16 P Michael Lorenzen Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)

Josh's Pick: Take the Reds

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