Tuesday, June 7, 2016

Great American Ball Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Mike Leake vs. John Lamb

The St. Louis Cardinals visit Great American Ball Park on Tuesday to play the Cincinnati Reds. The probable starters are Mike Leake for the Cardinals and John Lamb for the Reds. The opening line for this matchup has St. Louis at -168 and Cincinnati at +158. The over/under was set at 9. The Cardinals have a 35-20-2 over/under record and a 31-26-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 54% of the time. The Reds are 30-27-0 against the run line and have a 33-19-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 53% of the time.

The Cardinals head into this matchup with a 30-27 record, including 15-11 on the road. Starting pitcher Mike Leake has a 4-4 record with an earned run average of 3.82 and a WHIP of 1.14. He has 42 strikeouts over his 68.1 innings pitched and he has given up 64 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.59. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.84 and they have given up 141 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .223 against the bullpen while being struck out 177 times and walking 62 times this season. As a team, St. Louis has allowed 8.41 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.82 batters per nine. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.18. The Cardinals pitchers have collectively given up 471 base hits and 234 earned runs. They have allowed 55 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. St. Louis as a pitching staff has walked 166 batters and struck out 438. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.26 and their FIP as a unit is 3.91.

As a team, St. Louis is batting .267, good for 6th in the league while putting together a .271 average away from home. The Cardinals hold a .456 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .337 which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 5th in baseball with 9.19 hits per game. Matt Carpenter comes into this game hitting .281 and his on-base percentage is at .388. He has 56 hits this season along with 39 runs scored and 36 runs batted in. He's struck out 46 times and has walked 33 times. Yadier Molina is hitting .256 and he has an on-base percentage of .336. He has totaled 50 hits so far while scoring 19 runs and he's driven in 21. He has walked 22 times and has struck out 23 times. The Cardinals have 524 hits, including 111 doubles and 76 home runs. They've stolen 15 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 9 times. St. Louis has walked 192 times this season and they've struck out 442 times as a unit. They've left 402 men on base and have a team OPS of .793. They score 5.39 runs per contest and have scored a total of 307 runs so far this year.

Cincinnati comes into this matchup with a 14-16 home record and a 21-36 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.58, John Lamb has a 1-3 record and a 1.63 WHIP. He has 16 strikeouts over the 30.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 37 hits. He has allowed 10.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.57. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 6.51 and they have given up 215 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .269 against the Reds bullpen while being struck out 179 times and walking 119 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.52 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.12 batters per nine. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.63. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 528 base knocks and 312 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 97 home runs this year and they give up 1.7 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 251 hitters and struck out 395. They give up a walk 4.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.56 while their FIP as a staff is 5.75.

As a team, they are batting .240, good for 22nd in the league while putting together a .238 average at home. The Reds hold a .417 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .297 which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 26th in baseball with 7.89 hits per contest. Zack Cozart comes into this matchup batting .303 and he has an OBP of .333. He has 54 hits this year along with 31 runs scored and 22 RBI. He's struck out 25 times and has walked on 8 occasions. Jay Bruce is hitting .280 and he has an OBP of .332. He has collected 54 hits so far while he's scored 34 runs and drove in 40. He has earned a walk 14 times and has punched out 45 times. The Reds as a unit have 450 base hits, including 99 doubles and 70 homers. They have 33 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 20 times. Cincinnati as a team has walked 135 times this year and they have struck out 474 times. They've had 292 men left on base and have an OPS of .714. They score 4.39 runs per game and have totaled 250 runs so far this season.

St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends

The St. Louis Cardinals are 35-20-2 against the over/under so far this season

The St. Louis Cardinals are 31-26-0 against the run line so far this season

Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 33-19-5 against the over/under so far this season

The Cincinnati Reds are 30-27-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

St. Louis Cardinals

05/26/16 P Mitch Harris Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
05/15/16 P Seth Maness Elbow 15-day DL (5/13)
04/04/16 C Brayan Pena Knee 15-day DL (4/1)
04/04/16 SS Jhonny Peralta Thumb 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jordan Walden Abdominal 15-day DL (3/31)
04/04/16 P Lance Lynn Elbow 60-day DL; out for season
04/04/16 CF Thomas Pham Oblique 15-day DL (4/4)

Cincinnati Reds

06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/20/16 P Tim Adleman Oblique 15-day DL (5/20)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
05/01/16 P Raisel Iglesias Shoulder 15-day DL (4/26)
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)
04/04/16 P Anthony DeSclafa Oblique 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Homer Bailey Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 C Kyle Skipworth Ankle 60-day DL (3/31)
03/31/16 P Michael Lorenzen Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)

Guy's Pick: Take the Cardinals

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