Tuesday, August 30, 2016
Globe Life Park
For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here
Probable Pitchers: James Paxton vs. Cole Hamels
The Seattle Mariners visit Globe Life Park on Tuesday to play the Texas Rangers. The probable starters are James Paxton for the Mariners and Cole Hamels for the Rangers. The opening line for this matchup has Seattle at +132 and Texas at -142. The over/under was set at 9. The Mariners have a 64-61-5 over/under record and a 65-65-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Rangers are 70-61-0 against the run line and have a 62-61-8 over/under record. They cover the spread 53% of the time.
The Mariners head into this matchup with a 68-62 record, including 32-34 on the road. Starting pitcher James Paxton has a 4-5 record with an earned run average of 3.63 and a WHIP of 1.34. He has 78 strikeouts over his 86.2 innings pitched and he has given up 97 hits so far this season. He has allowed 10.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.94. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.77 and they have given up 366 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .233 against the bullpen while being struck out 450 times and walking 144 times this season. As a team, Seattle has allowed 8.75 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.24 batters per nine. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.01. The Mariners pitchers have collectively given up 1,135 base hits and 521 earned runs. They have allowed 170 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Seattle as a pitching staff has walked 368 batters and struck out 1,070. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.29 and their FIP as a unit is 4.27.
As a team, Seattle is batting .257, good for 14th in the league while putting together a .259 average away from home. The Mariners hold a .429 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324 which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 14th in baseball with 8.8 hits per game. Kyle Seager comes into this game hitting .290 and his on-base percentage is at .366. He has 138 hits this season along with 72 runs scored and 83 runs batted in. He's struck out 81 times and has walked 52 times. Robinson Cano is hitting .298 and he has an on-base percentage of .350. He has totaled 157 hits so far while scoring 85 runs and he's driven in 82. He has walked 36 times and has struck out 81 times. The Mariners have 1,144 hits, including 198 doubles and 178 home runs. They've stolen 39 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 27 times. Seattle has walked 396 times this season and they've struck out 1,014 times as a unit. They've left 861 men on base and have a team OPS of .753. They score 4.62 runs per contest and have scored a total of 600 runs so far this year.
Texas comes into this matchup with a 42-21 home record and a 77-54 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.67, Cole Hamels has a 14-4 record and a 1.23 WHIP. He has 167 strikeouts over the 168.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 146 hits. He has allowed 7.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.86. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.78 and they have given up 428 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .268 against the Rangers bullpen while being struck out 329 times and walking 148 times this season. As a team, Texas has allowed 9.02 hits per nine innings while striking out 6.98 batters per nine. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.30. The Rangers pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,169 base knocks and 557 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 161 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Texas as a staff has walked 421 hitters and struck out 904. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.36 while their FIP as a staff is 4.60.
As a team, they are batting .261, good for 11th in the league while putting together a .275 average at home. The Rangers hold a .427 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .319 which is good for 20th in baseball. They rank 12th in baseball with 8.86 hits per contest. Ian Desmond comes into this matchup batting .292 and he has an OBP of .338. He has 151 hits this year along with 89 runs scored and 77 RBI. He's struck out 137 times and has walked on 34 occasions. Adrian Beltre is hitting .287 and he has an OBP of .344. He has collected 136 hits so far while he's scored 66 runs and drove in 84. He has earned a walk 38 times and has punched out 57 times. The Rangers as a unit have 1,161 base hits, including 198 doubles and 169 homers. They have 75 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 28 times. Texas as a team has walked 344 times this year and they have struck out 985 times. They've had 827 men left on base and have an OPS of .746. They score 4.63 runs per game and have totaled 607 runs so far this season.
Seattle Mariners Betting Trends
The Seattle Mariners are 64-61-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Seattle Mariners are 65-65-0 against the run line so far this season
Texas Rangers Betting Trends
The Texas Rangers are 62-61-8 against the over/under so far this season
The Texas Rangers are 70-61-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Seattle Mariners
08/23/16 P Drew Storen Shoulder 15-day DL (8/20)
07/30/16 P Nathan Karns Back 15-day DL (7/30)
06/30/16 C Steve Clevenger Hand 60-day DL (6/29)
06/25/16 P Adrian Sampson Elbow 60-day DL (6/24)
04/04/16 P Charlie Furbush Bicep 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Evan Scribner Oblique 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 P Ryan Cook Shoulder 60-day DL (3/12)
Texas Rangers
08/27/16 P Jeremy Jeffress Suspension out indefinitely
08/24/16 P Shawn Tolleson Back 60-day DL (8/23)
08/18/16 P Lucas Harrell Groin 15-day DL (8/17)
08/15/16 RF Shin-Soo Choo Forearm 15-day DL (8/15)
07/20/16 DH Prince Fielder Neck 15-day DL (7/19), out for season
06/26/16 P Colby Lewis Back 60-day DL (6/22)
05/28/16 P Tanner Scheppers Knee 60-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Mariners
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Guy Bruhn
Get all of Today's Free MLB Picks
Get all of Today's Expert MLB Picks