Saturday, June 4, 2016

Globe Life Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Nate Karns vs. Martin Perez

The Seattle Mariners visit Globe Life Park on Saturday to play the Texas Rangers. The probable starters are Nate Karns for the Mariners and Martin Perez for the Rangers. The opening line for this matchup has Seattle at -116 and Texas at +106. The over/under was set at 9. The Mariners have a 26-23-4 over/under record and a 26-27-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 49% of the time. The Rangers are 30-23-0 against the run line and have a 28-24-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 57% of the time.

The Mariners head into this matchup with a 31-22 record, including 19-8 on the road. Starting pitcher Nate Karns has a 5-1 record with an earned run average of 3.43 and a WHIP of 1.30. He has 57 strikeouts over his 57.2 innings pitched and he has given up 54 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.6. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 2.87 and they have given up 124 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .206 against the bullpen while being struck out 184 times and walking 52 times this season. As a team, Seattle has allowed 8.26 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.57 batters per nine. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.65. The Mariners pitchers have collectively given up 437 base hits and 193 earned runs. They have allowed 63 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Seattle as a pitching staff has walked 147 batters and struck out 453. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.23 and their FIP as a unit is 3.99.

As a team, Seattle is batting .263, good for 8th in the league while putting together a .277 average away from home. The Mariners hold a .445 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .335 which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 8th in baseball with 9.06 hits per game. Nelson Cruz comes into this game hitting .298 and his on-base percentage is at .394. He has 57 hits this season along with 30 runs scored and 36 runs batted in. He's struck out 50 times and has walked 26 times. Robinson Cano is hitting .293 and he has an on-base percentage of .354. He has totaled 63 hits so far while scoring 40 runs and he's driven in 48. He has walked 17 times and has struck out 30 times. The Mariners have 480 hits, including 75 doubles and 80 home runs. They've stolen 17 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 15 times. Seattle has walked 178 times this season and they've struck out 397 times as a unit. They've left 351 men on base and have a team OPS of .780. They score 5.25 runs per contest and have scored a total of 278 runs so far this year.

Texas comes into this matchup with a 18-9 home record and a 31-22 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.12, Martin Perez has a 3-4 record and a 1.33 WHIP. He has 40 strikeouts over the 66.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 57 hits. He has allowed 7.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.4. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 5.21 and they have given up 185 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .284 against the Rangers bullpen while being struck out 133 times and walking 62 times this season. As a team, Texas has allowed 8.91 hits per nine innings while striking out 6.92 batters per nine. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 3.98. The Rangers pitchers as a team have surrendered 472 base knocks and 211 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 69 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Texas as a staff has walked 170 hitters and struck out 367. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 6.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.35 while their FIP as a staff is 4.66.

As a team, they are batting .260, good for 10th in the league while putting together a .275 average at home. The Rangers hold a .413 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .316 which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 12th in baseball with 8.83 hits per contest. Adrian Beltre comes into this matchup batting .279 and he has an OBP of .330. He has 56 hits this year along with 27 runs scored and 35 RBI. He's struck out 20 times and has walked on 15 occasions. Elvis Andrus is hitting .295 and he has an OBP of .340. He has collected 51 hits so far while he's scored 21 runs and drove in 18. He has earned a walk 12 times and has punched out 23 times. The Rangers as a unit have 468 base hits, including 91 doubles and 56 homers. They have 34 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 9 times. Texas as a team has walked 134 times this year and they have struck out 375 times. They've had 321 men left on base and have an OPS of .729. They score 4.72 runs per game and have totaled 250 runs so far this season.

Seattle Mariners Betting Trends

The Seattle Mariners are 26-23-4 against the over/under so far this season

The Seattle Mariners are 26-27-0 against the run line so far this season

Texas Rangers Betting Trends

The Texas Rangers are 28-24-1 against the over/under so far this season

The Texas Rangers are 30-23-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Seattle Mariners

06/01/16 P Felix Hernandez Calf 15-day DL (5/28)
05/28/16 CF Leonys Martin Hamstring 15-day DL (5/26)
05/23/16 SS Ketel Marte Thumb 15-day DL (5/22)
05/04/16 P Tony Zych Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (5/2)
04/04/16 P Charlie Furbush Bicep 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Evan Scribner Oblique 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 C Jesus Sucre Leg 60-day DL (3/1)
03/30/16 P Ryan Cook Shoulder 60-day DL (3/12)

Texas Rangers

06/02/16 P Shawn Tolleson Personal is upgraded to probable Friday vs. Seattle Mariners
05/28/16 P Tanner Scheppers Knee 60-day DL (3/25)
05/27/16 2B Rougned Odor Suspension 7-game suspension, eligible to return Saturday vs. Seattle Mariners
05/24/16 CF Drew Stubbs Toe 15-day DL (5/23)
05/24/16 RF Shin-Soo Choo Hamstring 15-day DL (5/21)
05/08/16 P AJ Griffin Shoulder 15-day DL (5/8)
04/21/16 P Keone Kela Elbow 60-day DL (4/20)
04/11/16 C Robinson Chirinos Forearm 60-day DL (4/9)
04/04/16 RF Josh Hamilton Knee 60-day DL (3/25)

Tony's Pick: Take the Mariners

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