Thursday, July 7, 2016

Kauffman Stadium

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: James Paxton vs. Danny Duffy

The Seattle Mariners head to Kauffman Stadium on Thursday to take on the Kansas City Royals. The probable pitchers are James Paxton for the Mariners and Danny Duffy for the Royals. The opening line for this game has Seattle at +122 and Kansas City at -132. The over/under is 8. The Mariners have a 40-39-5 over/under mark and a 42-42-0 run line record, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Royals are 45-38-0 against the run line and have a 37-41-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 54% of the time.

The Mariners head into this game with a 43-41 record, and they are 21-21 on the road. Starting pitcher James Paxton has a 2-3 record with an ERA of 4.24 and a WHIP of 1.71. He has 43 strikeouts during his 40.1 innings pitched and he has given up 56 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 12.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.97. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.29 and they have allowed 227 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .220 against the pen while they've been struck out 300 times and walked 101 times this year. As a unit, Seattle has given up 8.67 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.46 hitters per nine. They are 9th in the Majors in team earned run average at 3.88. The Mariners pitchers have collectively given up 725 base hits and 325 earned runs. They have allowed 107 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Seattle as a pitching staff has walked 249 batters and struck out 708. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.29 and their FIP as a unit is 4.24.

As a team, Seattle is hitting .262, good for 12th in the league while putting together a .265 average on the road. The Mariners have a .442 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .328 which is good for 11th in the league. They rank 11th in baseball with 9.05 hits per contest. Nelson Cruz comes into this game hitting .281 and his on-base percentage is at .365. He has 87 hits this season along with 51 runs scored and 57 runs batted in. He's struck out 84 times and has walked 36 times. Robinson Cano is hitting .302 and he has an on-base percentage of .357. He has totaled 104 hits so far while scoring 59 runs and he's driven in 54. He has walked 26 times and has struck out 55 times. The Mariners have 760 hits, including 130 doubles and 124 home runs. They've stolen 25 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 19 times. Seattle has walked 257 times this season and they've struck out 643 times as a unit. They've left 558 men on base and have a team OPS of .770. They score 4.88 runs per contest and have scored a total of 410 runs so far this year.

Kansas City comes into this game with a 27-11 home mark and a 43-40 overall record. With an ERA of 3.11, Danny Duffy has a 4-1 record and a 1.05 WHIP. He has 87 strikeouts over the 75.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 63 hits. He has allowed 7.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.59. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 2.82 and they have given up 247 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .230 against the Royals bullpen while being struck out 270 times and walking 95 times this season. As a team, Kansas City has allowed 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.3 batters per nine. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.19. The Royals pitchers as a team have surrendered 698 base knocks and 340 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 111 home runs this year and they give up 1.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Kansas City as a staff has walked 270 hitters and struck out 674. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.33 while their FIP as a staff is 4.54.

As a team, they are batting .273, good for 3rd in the league while putting together a .293 average at home. The Royals hold a .411 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .321 which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 3rd in baseball with 9.42 hits per contest. Eric Hosmer comes into this matchup batting .305 and he has an OBP of .363. He has 97 hits this year along with 45 runs scored and 49 RBI. He's struck out 70 times and has walked on 29 occasions. Lorenzo Cain is hitting .290 and he has an OBP of .336. He has collected 83 hits so far while he's scored 39 runs and drove in 39. He has earned a walk 19 times and has punched out 64 times. The Royals as a unit have 781 base hits, including 145 doubles and 76 homers. They have 49 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 18 times. Kansas City as a team has walked 187 times this year and they have struck out 608 times. They've had 568 men left on base and have an OPS of .731. They score 4.02 runs per game and have totaled 334 runs so far this season.

Seattle Mariners Betting Trends

The Seattle Mariners are 40-39-5 against the over/under so far this season

The Seattle Mariners are 42-42-0 against the run line so far this season

Kansas City Royals Betting Trends

The Kansas City Royals are 37-41-5 against the over/under so far this season

The Kansas City Royals are 45-38-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Seattle Mariners

07/05/16 P Taijuan Walker Foot "?" for next scheduled start
06/30/16 P Nick Vincent Back 15-day DL (6/27)
06/30/16 C Steve Clevenger Hand 15-day DL (6/29)
06/25/16 P Adrian Sampson Elbow 60-day DL (6/24)
06/01/16 P Felix Hernandez Calf 15-day DL (5/28)
05/04/16 P Tony Zych Rotator Cuff 60-day DL (5/2)
04/04/16 P Charlie Furbush Bicep 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Evan Scribner Oblique 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 C Jesus Sucre Leg 60-day DL (3/1)
03/30/16 P Ryan Cook Shoulder 60-day DL (3/12)

Kansas City Royals

07/05/16 P Wade Davis Forearm 15-day DL (7/1)
07/03/16 P Yordano Ventura Ankle left last start, "?" next start
06/29/16 CF Lorenzo Cain Hamstring 15-day DL (6/29)
05/26/16 3B Mike Moustakas Knee 60-day DL (5/23); out for season
05/12/16 P Kris Medlen Shoulder 15-day DL (5/11)
04/10/16 P Mike Minor Shoulder 60-day DL (3/15)
04/04/16 P Tim Collins Elbow 60-day DL; out for season
03/31/16 P Jason Vargas Elbow 60-day DL (3/15)

Josh's Pick: Take the Royals

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