Tuesday, July 5, 2016

Minute Maid Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Taijuan Walker vs. Dallas Keuchel

The Seattle Mariners visit Minute Maid Park on Tuesday to play the Houston Astros. The probable starters are Taijuan Walker for the Mariners and Dallas Keuchel for the Astros. The opening line for this matchup has Seattle at +135 and Houston at -145. The over/under was set at 8. The Mariners have a 40-37-5 over/under record and a 41-41-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Astros are 38-44-0 against the run line and have a 37-40-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 46% of the time.

The Mariners head into this matchup with a 43-39 record, including 21-19 on the road. Starting pitcher Taijuan Walker has a 4-6 record with an earned run average of 3.29 and a WHIP of 1.12. He has 75 strikeouts over his 82 innings pitched and he has given up 75 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.45. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.35 and they have given up 224 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .221 against the bullpen while being struck out 298 times and walking 98 times this season. As a team, Seattle has allowed 8.67 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.54 batters per nine. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.88. The Mariners pitchers have collectively given up 710 base hits and 318 earned runs. They have allowed 103 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Seattle as a pitching staff has walked 243 batters and struck out 699. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.29 and their FIP as a unit is 4.20.

As a team, Seattle is batting .264, good for 12th in the league while putting together a .269 average away from home. The Mariners hold a .445 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .330 which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 9th in baseball with 9.12 hits per game. Nelson Cruz comes into this game hitting .283 and his on-base percentage is at .365. He has 86 hits this season along with 50 runs scored and 56 runs batted in. He's struck out 82 times and has walked 34 times. Robinson Cano is hitting .304 and he has an on-base percentage of .360. He has totaled 102 hits so far while scoring 59 runs and he's driven in 54. He has walked 26 times and has struck out 52 times. The Mariners have 748 hits, including 128 doubles and 123 home runs. They've stolen 25 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 19 times. Seattle has walked 255 times this season and they've struck out 621 times as a unit. They've left 549 men on base and have a team OPS of .776. They score 4.96 runs per contest and have scored a total of 407 runs so far this year.

Houston comes into this matchup with a 23-17 home record and a 43-39 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.13, Dallas Keuchel has a 5-9 record and a 1.42 WHIP. He has 93 strikeouts over the 107 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 118 hits. He has allowed 9.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.14. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.17 and they have given up 239 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .230 against the Astros bullpen while being struck out 289 times and walking 59 times this season. As a team, Houston has allowed 9.05 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.2 batters per nine. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 3.91. The Astros pitchers as a team have surrendered 753 base knocks and 325 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 86 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Houston as a staff has walked 220 hitters and struck out 683. They give up a walk 2.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.30 while their FIP as a staff is 3.80.

As a team, they are batting .244, good for 23rd in the league while putting together a .236 average at home. The Astros hold a .416 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326 which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 21st in baseball with 8.34 hits per contest. Jose Altuve comes into this matchup batting .351 and he has an OBP of .424. He has 113 hits this year along with 62 runs scored and 49 RBI. He's struck out 33 times and has walked on 39 occasions. Carlos Correa is hitting .265 and he has an OBP of .362. He has collected 79 hits so far while he's scored 40 runs and drove in 51. He has earned a walk 42 times and has punched out 80 times. The Astros as a unit have 684 base hits, including 143 doubles and 104 homers. They have 63 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 24 times. Houston as a team has walked 323 times this year and they have struck out 769 times. They've had 571 men left on base and have an OPS of .742. They score 4.51 runs per game and have totaled 370 runs so far this season.

Seattle Mariners Betting Trends

The Seattle Mariners are 40-37-5 against the over/under so far this season

The Seattle Mariners are 41-41-0 against the run line so far this season

Houston Astros Betting Trends

The Houston Astros are 37-40-5 against the over/under so far this season

The Houston Astros are 38-44-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Seattle Mariners

06/30/16 P Nick Vincent Back 15-day DL (6/27)
06/30/16 C Steve Clevenger Hand 15-day DL (6/29)
06/25/16 P Adrian Sampson Elbow 15-day DL (6/24)
06/01/16 P Felix Hernandez Calf 15-day DL (5/28)
05/04/16 P Tony Zych Rotator Cuff 60-day DL (5/2)
04/04/16 P Charlie Furbush Bicep 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Evan Scribner Oblique 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 C Jesus Sucre Leg 60-day DL (3/1)
03/30/16 P Ryan Cook Shoulder 60-day DL (3/12)

Houston Astros

07/03/16 P Lance McCullers Finger probable for next scheduled start Monday vs. Seattle Mariners

Josh's Pick: Take the Mariners

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