Saturday, May 7, 2016

Minute Maid Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Nate Karns vs. Dallas Keuchel

The Seattle Mariners visit Minute Maid Park on Saturday to play the Houston Astros. The probable starters are Nate Karns for the Mariners and Dallas Keuchel for the Astros. The opening line for this matchup has Seattle at +144 and Houston at -154. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Mariners have a 10-16-2 over/under record and a 15-13-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 54% of the time. The Astros are 10-19-0 against the run line and have a 16-10-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 35% of the time.

The Mariners head into this matchup with a 17-11 record, including 12-4 on the road. Starting pitcher Nate Karns has a 3-1 record with an earned run average of 3.81 and a WHIP of 1.34. He has 29 strikeouts over his 28.1 innings pitched and he has given up 25 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.7. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 2.33 and they have given up 50 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .174 against the bullpen while being struck out 89 times and walking 25 times this season. As a team, Seattle has allowed 7.57 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.29 batters per nine. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.04. The Mariners pitchers have collectively given up 212 base hits and 85 earned runs. They have allowed 26 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. Seattle as a pitching staff has walked 78 batters and struck out 232. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.15 and their FIP as a unit is 3.62.

As a team, Seattle is batting .246, good for 15th in the league while putting together a .277 average away from home. The Mariners hold a .412 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323 which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 13th in baseball with 8.36 hits per game. Nelson Cruz comes into this game hitting .279 and his on-base percentage is at .382. He has 29 hits this season along with 12 runs scored and 16 runs batted in. He's struck out 22 times and has walked 14 times. Robinson Cano is hitting .287 and he has an on-base percentage of .344. He has totaled 33 hits so far while scoring 17 runs and he's driven in 30. He has walked 9 times and has struck out 16 times. The Mariners have 235 hits, including 39 doubles and 38 home runs. They've stolen 10 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 8 times. Seattle has walked 96 times this season and they've struck out 219 times as a unit. They've left 191 men on base and have a team OPS of .738. They score 4.57 runs per contest and have scored a total of 128 runs so far this year.

Houston comes into this matchup with a 6-8 home record and a 10-19 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.11, Dallas Keuchel has a 2-4 record and a 1.57 WHIP. He has 30 strikeouts over the 37 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 40 hits. He has allowed 9.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.27. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.44 and they have given up 87 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .236 against the Astros bullpen while being struck out 97 times and walking 24 times this season. As a team, Houston has allowed 9.95 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.64 batters per nine. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.83. The Astros pitchers as a team have surrendered 280 base knocks and 136 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 37 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Houston as a staff has walked 80 hitters and struck out 215. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.42 while their FIP as a staff is 4.25.

As a team, they are batting .232, good for 26th in the league while putting together a .248 average at home. The Astros hold a .424 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .318 which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 27th in baseball with 7.59 hits per contest. Jose Altuve comes into this matchup batting .330 and he has an OBP of .417. He has 38 hits this year along with 27 runs scored and 19 RBI. He's struck out 16 times and has walked on 14 occasions. Carlos Correa is hitting .267 and he has an OBP of .383. He has collected 27 hits so far while he's scored 15 runs and drove in 13. He has earned a walk 18 times and has punched out 27 times. The Astros as a unit have 220 base hits, including 61 doubles and 38 homers. They have 21 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 9 times. Houston as a team has walked 113 times this year and they have struck out 279 times. They've had 186 men left on base and have an OPS of .740. They score 4.1 runs per game and have totaled 119 runs so far this season.

Seattle Mariners Betting Trends

The Seattle Mariners are 10-16-2 against the over/under so far this season

The Seattle Mariners are 15-13-0 against the run line so far this season

Houston Astros Betting Trends

The Houston Astros are 16-10-3 against the over/under so far this season

The Houston Astros are 10-19-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Seattle Mariners

05/04/16 P Tony Zych Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (5/2)
04/25/16 P Joaquin Benoit Shoulder 15-day DL (4/25)
04/04/16 P Charlie Furbush Bicep 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Evan Scribner Oblique 15-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 C Jesus Sucre Leg 60-day DL (3/1)
03/30/16 P Ryan Cook Shoulder 60-day DL (3/12)

Houston Astros

04/04/16 P Lance McCuller Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/02/16 C Max Stassi Wrist 15-day DL (3/29)

Tony's Pick: Take the Mariners

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Tony Sink