Sunday, May 22, 2016

Great American Ball Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Wade Miley vs. Alfredo Simon

The Seattle Mariners visit Great American Ball Park on Sunday to play the Cincinnati Reds. The probable starters are Wade Miley for the Mariners and Alfredo Simon for the Reds. The opening line for this matchup has Seattle at -160 and Cincinnati at +150. The over/under was set at 9. The Mariners have a 17-20-4 over/under record and a 21-20-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Reds are 20-22-0 against the run line and have a 25-14-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 48% of the time.

The Mariners head into this matchup with a 24-17 record, including 16-7 on the road. Starting pitcher Wade Miley has a 4-2 record with an earned run average of 4.32 and a WHIP of 1.20. He has 35 strikeouts over his 50 innings pitched and he has given up 48 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.55. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 2.76 and they have given up 87 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .193 against the bullpen while being struck out 137 times and walking 44 times this season. As a team, Seattle has allowed 7.71 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.46 batters per nine. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.27. The Mariners pitchers have collectively given up 316 base hits and 134 earned runs. They have allowed 44 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Seattle as a pitching staff has walked 121 batters and struck out 347. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.18 and their FIP as a unit is 3.86.

As a team, Seattle is batting .248, good for 16th in the league while putting together a .269 average away from home. The Mariners hold a .423 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323 which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 16th in baseball with 8.41 hits per game. Nelson Cruz comes into this game hitting .279 and his on-base percentage is at .374. He has 41 hits this season along with 21 runs scored and 28 runs batted in. He's struck out 39 times and has walked 18 times. Robinson Cano is hitting .294 and he has an on-base percentage of .344. He has totaled 50 hits so far while scoring 28 runs and he's driven in 37. He has walked 10 times and has struck out 26 times. The Mariners have 345 hits, including 59 doubles and 57 home runs. They've stolen 13 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 14 times. Seattle has walked 140 times this season and they've struck out 321 times as a unit. They've left 275 men on base and have a team OPS of .746. They score 4.68 runs per contest and have scored a total of 192 runs so far this year.

Cincinnati comes into this matchup with a 12-13 home record and a 15-27 overall mark. With an earned run average of 10.34, Alfredo Simon has a 1-4 record and a 2.11 WHIP. He has 26 strikeouts over the 31.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 52 hits. He has allowed 14.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 7.08. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 6.76 and they have given up 168 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .271 against the Reds bullpen while being struck out 137 times and walking 91 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.63 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.37 batters per nine. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.64. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 396 base knocks and 232 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 73 home runs this year and they give up 1.8 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 189 hitters and struck out 303. They give up a walk 4.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.58 while their FIP as a staff is 5.74.

As a team, they are batting .235, good for 24th in the league while putting together a .233 average at home. The Reds hold a .398 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .291 which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 7.69 hits per contest. Joey Votto comes into this matchup batting .210 and he has an OBP of .351. He has 29 hits this year along with 19 runs scored and 24 RBI. He's struck out 45 times and has walked on 27 occasions. Zack Cozart is hitting .326 and he has an OBP of .336. He has collected 42 hits so far while he's scored 23 runs and drove in 16. He has earned a walk 4 times and has punched out 17 times. The Reds as a unit have 323 base hits, including 73 doubles and 45 homers. They have 25 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 15 times. Cincinnati as a team has walked 101 times this year and they have struck out 339 times. They've had 220 men left on base and have an OPS of .690. They score 4.1 runs per game and have totaled 172 runs so far this season.

Seattle Mariners Betting Trends

The Seattle Mariners are 17-20-4 against the over/under so far this season

The Seattle Mariners are 21-20-0 against the run line so far this season

Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 25-14-3 against the over/under so far this season

The Cincinnati Reds are 20-22-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Seattle Mariners

05/04/16 P Tony Zych Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (5/2)
04/04/16 P Charlie Furbush Bicep 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Evan Scribner Oblique 15-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 C Jesus Sucre Leg 60-day DL (3/1)
03/30/16 P Ryan Cook Shoulder 60-day DL (3/12)

Cincinnati Reds

05/21/16 RF Jay Bruce Knee "?" Sunday vs. Seattle Mariners
05/20/16 P Tim Adleman Oblique 15-day DL (5/20)
05/09/16 P Jon Moscot Shoulder 15-day DL (5/3)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
05/01/16 P Raisel Iglesias Shoulder 15-day DL (4/26)
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 15-day DL (3/27)
04/04/16 P Anthony DeSclafa Oblique 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Homer Bailey Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 C Kyle Skipworth Ankle 60-day DL (3/31)
03/31/16 P Michael Lorenzen Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)

Tony's Pick: Take the Reds

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