Saturday, May 21, 2016

Great American Ball Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Felix Hernandez vs. John Lamb

The Seattle Mariners visit Great American Ball Park on Saturday to play the Cincinnati Reds. The probable starters are Felix Hernandez for the Mariners and John Lamb for the Reds. The opening line for this matchup has Seattle at -153 and Cincinnati at +143. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Mariners have a 16-20-4 over/under record and a 20-20-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Reds are 20-21-0 against the run line and have a 24-14-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.

The Mariners head into this matchup with a 23-17 record, including 15-7 on the road. Starting pitcher Felix Hernandez has a 3-3 record with an earned run average of 2.47 and a WHIP of 1.20. He has 42 strikeouts over his 51 innings pitched and he has given up 39 hits so far this season. He has allowed 6.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.2. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 2.83 and they have given up 85 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .193 against the bullpen while being struck out 134 times and walking 44 times this season. As a team, Seattle has allowed 7.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.45 batters per nine. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.27. The Mariners pitchers have collectively given up 308 base hits and 131 earned runs. They have allowed 43 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Seattle as a pitching staff has walked 118 batters and struck out 338. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.18 and their FIP as a unit is 3.87.

As a team, Seattle is batting .246, good for 17th in the league while putting together a .268 average away from home. The Mariners hold a .420 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .320 which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 17th in baseball with 8.38 hits per game. Nelson Cruz comes into this game hitting .282 and his on-base percentage is at .379. He has 40 hits this season along with 20 runs scored and 27 runs batted in. He's struck out 36 times and has walked 18 times. Robinson Cano is hitting .299 and he has an on-base percentage of .343. He has totaled 50 hits so far while scoring 27 runs and he's driven in 36. He has walked 10 times and has struck out 26 times. The Mariners have 335 hits, including 57 doubles and 55 home runs. They've stolen 13 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 13 times. Seattle has walked 134 times this season and they've struck out 313 times as a unit. They've left 267 men on base and have a team OPS of .740. They score 4.6 runs per contest and have scored a total of 184 runs so far this year.

Cincinnati comes into this matchup with a 12-12 home record and a 15-26 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.79, John Lamb has a 0-1 record and a 1.71 WHIP. He has 8 strikeouts over the 14 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 18 hits. He has allowed 11.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.17. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 6.48 and they have given up 162 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .267 against the Reds bullpen while being struck out 134 times and walking 88 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.62 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.35 batters per nine. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.58. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 386 base knocks and 224 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 71 home runs this year and they give up 1.8 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 183 hitters and struck out 295. They give up a walk 4.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.58 while their FIP as a staff is 5.72.

As a team, they are batting .235, good for 22nd in the league while putting together a .232 average at home. The Reds hold a .399 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .291 which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 7.68 hits per contest. Joey Votto comes into this matchup batting .215 and he has an OBP of .353. He has 29 hits this year along with 18 runs scored and 24 RBI. He's struck out 45 times and has walked on 26 occasions. Zack Cozart is hitting .328 and he has an OBP of .333. He has collected 41 hits so far while he's scored 22 runs and drove in 15. He has earned a walk 3 times and has punched out 17 times. The Reds as a unit have 315 base hits, including 72 doubles and 44 homers. They have 25 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 15 times. Cincinnati as a team has walked 98 times this year and they have struck out 330 times. They've had 213 men left on base and have an OPS of .690. They score 4.12 runs per game and have totaled 169 runs so far this season.

Seattle Mariners Betting Trends

The Seattle Mariners are 16-20-4 against the over/under so far this season

The Seattle Mariners are 20-20-0 against the run line so far this season

Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 24-14-3 against the over/under so far this season

The Cincinnati Reds are 20-21-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Seattle Mariners

05/04/16 P Tony Zych Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (5/2)
04/04/16 P Charlie Furbush Bicep 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Evan Scribner Oblique 15-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 C Jesus Sucre Leg 60-day DL (3/1)
03/30/16 P Ryan Cook Shoulder 60-day DL (3/12)

Cincinnati Reds

05/20/16 P Tim Adleman Oblique doubtful for next scheduled start Tuesday vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
05/09/16 P Jon Moscot Shoulder 15-day DL (5/3)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
05/01/16 P Raisel Iglesias Shoulder 15-day DL (4/26)
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 15-day DL (3/27)
04/04/16 P Anthony DeSclafa Oblique 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Homer Bailey Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 C Kyle Skipworth Ankle 60-day DL (3/31)
03/31/16 P Michael Lorenzen Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)

Josh's Pick: Take the Mariners

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