Thursday, August 25, 2016

U.S. Cellular Field

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: James Paxton vs. Chris Sale

The Seattle Mariners visit U.S. Cellular Field on Thursday to play the Chicago White Sox. The probable starters are James Paxton for the Mariners and Chris Sale for the White Sox. The opening line for this matchup has Seattle at -151 and Chicago at +141. The over/under was set at 9.5. The Mariners have a 62-58-5 over/under record and a 64-61-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The White Sox are 60-64-0 against the run line and have a 55-62-7 over/under record. They cover the spread 48% of the time.

The Mariners head into this matchup with a 67-58 record, including 31-31 on the road. Starting pitcher James Paxton has a 4-5 record with an earned run average of 3.53 and a WHIP of 1.32. He has 73 strikeouts over his 81.2 innings pitched and he has given up 90 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.01. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.68 and they have given up 348 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .229 against the bullpen while being struck out 435 times and walking 138 times this season. As a team, Seattle has allowed 8.69 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.3 batters per nine. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 3.98. The Mariners pitchers have collectively given up 1,087 base hits and 498 earned runs. They have allowed 164 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Seattle as a pitching staff has walked 353 batters and struck out 1,038. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.28 and their FIP as a unit is 4.25.

As a team, Seattle is batting .259, good for 12th in the league while putting together a .262 average away from home. The Mariners hold a .433 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327 which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 11th in baseball with 8.88 hits per game. Kyle Seager comes into this game hitting .286 and his on-base percentage is at .364. He has 134 hits this season along with 72 runs scored and 83 runs batted in. He's struck out 79 times and has walked 52 times. Robinson Cano is hitting .295 and he has an on-base percentage of .349. He has totaled 150 hits so far while scoring 82 runs and he's driven in 79. He has walked 36 times and has struck out 78 times. The Mariners have 1,110 hits, including 193 doubles and 175 home runs. They've stolen 37 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 27 times. Seattle has walked 387 times this season and they've struck out 969 times as a unit. They've left 835 men on base and have a team OPS of .760. They score 4.7 runs per contest and have scored a total of 587 runs so far this year.

Chicago comes into this matchup with a 32-27 home record and a 60-64 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.15, Chris Sale has a 15-6 record and a 1.03 WHIP. He has 165 strikeouts over the 168.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 135 hits. He has allowed 7.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.43. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.76 and they have given up 355 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .250 against the White Sox bullpen while being struck out 341 times and walking 180 times this season. As a team, Chicago has allowed 8.89 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.7 batters per nine. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.05. The White Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,096 base knocks and 500 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 140 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Chicago as a staff has walked 416 hitters and struck out 950. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.36 while their FIP as a staff is 4.32.

As a team, they are batting .252, good for 19th in the league while putting together a .255 average at home. The White Sox hold a .401 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .314 which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 19th in baseball with 8.6 hits per contest. Melky Cabrera comes into this matchup batting .296 and he has an OBP of .346. He has 133 hits this year along with 51 runs scored and 57 RBI. He's struck out 55 times and has walked on 36 occasions. Jose Abreu is hitting .285 and he has an OBP of .341. He has collected 136 hits so far while he's scored 48 runs and drove in 70. He has earned a walk 33 times and has punched out 98 times. The White Sox as a unit have 1,065 base hits, including 210 doubles and 124 homers. They have 60 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 28 times. Chicago as a team has walked 351 times this year and they have struck out 987 times. They've had 843 men left on base and have an OPS of .714. They score 4.05 runs per game and have totaled 502 runs so far this season.

Seattle Mariners Betting Trends

The Seattle Mariners are 62-58-5 against the over/under so far this season

The Seattle Mariners are 64-61-0 against the run line so far this season

Chicago White Sox Betting Trends

The Chicago White Sox are 55-62-7 against the over/under so far this season

The Chicago White Sox are 60-64-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Seattle Mariners

08/23/16 P James Paxton Elbow 15-day DL (8/8); expected to be activated and start Thursday vs Chicago White Sox
08/23/16 P Drew Storen Shoulder 15-day DL (8/20)
07/30/16 P Nathan Karns Back 15-day DL (7/30)
06/30/16 C Steve Clevenger Hand 60-day DL (6/29)
06/25/16 P Adrian Sampson Elbow 60-day DL (6/24)
04/04/16 P Charlie Furbush Bicep 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Evan Scribner Oblique 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 P Ryan Cook Shoulder 60-day DL (3/12)

Chicago White Sox

08/13/16 P Miguel Gonzalez Groin 15-day DL (8/12)
08/03/16 CF Charlie Tilson Hamstring 15-day DL (8/3)
07/27/16 2B Brett Lawrie Hamstring 15-day DL (7/22)
07/05/16 C Alex Avila Hamstring 15-day DL (7/6)
07/01/16 3B Matt Davidson Foot 60-day DL (6/30)
06/21/16 P Zach Putnam Elbow 15-day DL (6/21)
06/10/16 CF Austin Jackson Knee 15-day DL (6/10)
05/06/16 P Jacob Petricka Hip 60-day DL (5/2)
04/27/16 C Kevan Smith Pelvis 15-day DL (4/24)

Guy's Pick: Take the Mariners

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