Monday, May 2, 2016

Great American Ball Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Johnny Cueto vs. Brandon Finnegan

The San Francisco Giants visit Great American Ball Park on Monday to play the Cincinnati Reds. The probable starters are Johnny Cueto for the Giants and Brandon Finnegan for the Reds. The Giants have a 15-10-0 over/under record and a 11-14-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 44% of the time. The Reds are 9-15-0 against the run line and have a 13-9-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 38% of the time.

The Giants head into this matchup with a 12-13 record, including 4-7 on the road. Starting pitcher Johnny Cueto has a 4-1 record with an earned run average of 2.65 and a WHIP of 1.05. He has 33 strikeouts over his 37.1 innings pitched and he has given up 34 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.12. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.48 and they have given up 73 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .261 against the bullpen while being struck out 61 times and walking 27 times this season. As a team, San Francisco has allowed 9.77 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.95 batters per nine. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.70. The Giants pitchers have collectively given up 241 base hits and 116 earned runs. They have allowed 23 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. San Francisco as a pitching staff has walked 68 batters and struck out 196. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.39 and their FIP as a unit is 3.66.

As a team, San Francisco is batting .267, good for 7th in the league while putting together a .243 average away from home. The Giants hold a .426 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .267 which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 9th in baseball with 9.04 hits per game. Buster Posey comes into this game hitting .273 and his on-base percentage is at .337. He has 21 hits this season along with 10 runs scored and 7 runs batted in. He's struck out 9 times and has walked 8 times. Brandon Belt is hitting .300 and he has an on-base percentage of .420. He has totaled 24 hits so far while scoring 13 runs and he's driven in 17. He has walked 18 times and has struck out 14 times. The Giants have 226 hits, including 37 doubles and 25 home runs. They've stolen 7 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 7 times. San Francisco has walked 102 times this season and they've struck out 155 times as a unit. They've left 181 men on base and have a team OPS of .771. They score 4.96 runs per contest and have scored a total of 124 runs so far this year.

Cincinnati comes into this matchup with a 8-5 home record and a 9-15 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.86, Brandon Finnegan has a 1-1 record and a 1.25 WHIP. He has 23 strikeouts over the 28 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 20 hits. He has allowed 6.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.45. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 6.21 and they have given up 85 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the Reds bullpen while being struck out 70 times and walking 50 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.09 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.34 batters per nine. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 5.42. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 208 base knocks and 124 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 43 home runs this year and they give up 1.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 110 hitters and struck out 168. They give up a walk 4.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.54 while their FIP as a staff is 5.93.

As a team, they are batting .237, good for 20th in the league while putting together a .237 average at home. The Reds hold a .375 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .237 which is good for 20th in baseball. They rank 26th in baseball with 7.58 hits per contest. Joey Votto comes into this matchup batting .229 and he has an OBP of .327. He has 19 hits this year along with 6 runs scored and 11 RBI. He's struck out 23 times and has walked on 12 occasions. Jay Bruce is hitting .253 and he has an OBP of .313. He has collected 19 hits so far while he's scored 9 runs and drove in 15. He has earned a walk 5 times and has punched out 17 times. The Reds as a unit have 182 base hits, including 43 doubles and 19 homers. They have 17 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 7 times. Cincinnati as a team has walked 56 times this year and they have struck out 183 times. They've had 130 men left on base and have an OPS of .667. They score 3.62 runs per game and have totaled 87 runs so far this season.

San Francisco Giants Betting Trends

The San Francisco Giants are 15-10-0 against the over/under so far this season

The San Francisco Giants are 11-14-0 against the run line so far this season

Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 13-9-2 against the over/under so far this season

The Cincinnati Reds are 9-15-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

San Francisco Giants

04/30/16 2B Joe Panik Groin "?" Sunday vs. New York Mets
04/22/16 SS Ehire Adrianza Foot 60-day DL (4/15)
04/19/16 P George Kontos Elbow 15-day DL (4/18)
04/15/16 P Sergio Romo Elbow 15-day DL (4/11)

Cincinnati Reds

05/01/16 P Raisel Iglesias Shoulder expected to miss Sunday vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
04/28/16 P Jon Moscot Shoulder "?" for next scheduled start
04/19/16 P Alfredo Simon Bicep "?" for next scheduled start
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 15-day DL (3/27)
04/04/16 P Anthony DeSclafa Oblique 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Homer Bailey Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 C Kyle Skipworth Ankle 15-day DL (3/31)
04/03/16 P John Lamb Back 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Michael Lorenzen Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)

Tony's Pick: Take the Reds

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Tony Sink