Tuesday, April 12, 2016

Citizens Bank Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Robbie Erlin vs. Charlie Morton

The San Diego Padres visit Citizens Bank Park on Tuesday to play the Philadelphia Phillies. The probable starters are Robbie Erlin for the Padres and Charlie Morton for the Phillies. The opening line for this matchup has San Diego at +110 and Philadelphia at -120. The over/under was set at 8. The Padres have a 3-2-1 over/under record and a 2-4-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 33% of the time. The Phillies are 3-3-0 against the run line and have a 4-2-0 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.

The Padres head into this matchup with a 2-4 record, including 2-1 on the road. Starting pitcher Robbie Erlin held a 1-2 record with an earned run average of 4.76 and a WHIP of 1.06 last season. He had 10 strikeouts over his 17 innings pitched and he also gave up 16 hits over that time period. He allowed 8.5 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 3.25. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 5.24 and they have given up 23 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .256 against the bullpen while being struck out 21 times and walking 9 times this season. As a team, San Diego has allowed 10.19 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.66 batters per nine. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 6.62. The Padres pitchers have collectively given up 60 base hits and 39 earned runs. They have allowed 9 home runs this season and they allow 1.5 homers per nine innings as a staff. San Diego as a pitching staff has walked 22 batters and struck out 51. They walk 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.55 and their FIP as a unit is 4.85.

As a team, San Diego is batting .263, good for 12th in the league while putting together a .372 average away from home. The Padres hold a .394 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .313 which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 10th in baseball with 9.33 hits per game. Matt Kemp comes into this game hitting .360 and his on-base percentage is at .360. He has 9 hits this season along with 4 runs scored and 10 runs batted in. He's struck out 6 times and has walked 0 times. Jon Jay is hitting .308 and he has an on-base percentage of .357. He has totaled 8 hits so far while scoring 5 runs and he's driven in 4. He has walked 2 times and has struck out 5 times. The Padres have 56 hits, including 8 doubles, 1 triple, and 6 home runs. They've stolen 4 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 2 times. San Diego has walked 14 times this season and they've struck out 50 times as a unit. They've left 36 men on base and have a team OPS of .707. They score 5.33 runs per contest and have scored a total of 32 runs so far this year.

Philadelphia comes into this matchup with a 2-4 overall mark. With an earned run average last season of 4.81, Charlie Morton had a 9-9 record and a 1.38 WHIP. He had 96 strikeouts over the 129 innings he pitched during which he gave up 137 hits. He allowed 9.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stood at 4.19. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 7.94 and they have given up 19 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .279 against the Phillies bullpen while being struck out 17 times and walking 9 times this season. As a team, Philadelphia has allowed 7.51 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.12 batters per nine. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.65. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 42 base knocks and 26 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 5 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 17 hitters and struck out 51. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.17 while their FIP as a staff is 3.61.

As a team, they are batting .230, good for 21st in the league. The Phillies hold a .383 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .275 which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 21st in baseball with 7.5 hits per contest. Ryan Howard comes into this matchup batting .235 and he has an OBP of .300. He has 4 hits this year along with 2 runs scored and 4 RBI. He's struck out 6 times and has walked on 2 occasions. Maikel Franco is hitting .333 and he has an OBP of .429. He has collected 6 hits so far while he's scored 2 runs and drove in 2. He has earned a walk 2 times and has punched out 4 times. The Phillies as a unit have 45 base hits, including 9 doubles, 0 triples, and 7 homers. They have 1 stolen base while they've been thrown out 4 times. Philadelphia as a team has walked 11 times this year and they have struck out 54 times. They've had 33 men left on base and have an OPS of .658. They score 3 runs per game and have totaled 18 runs so far this season.

San Diego Padres Betting Trends

The San Diego Padres are 3-2-1 against the over/under so far this season

The San Diego Padres are 2-4-0 against the run line so far this season

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies are 4-2-0 against the over/under so far this season

The Philadelphia Phillies are 3-3-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

San Diego Padres

04/11/16 3B Yangervis Solarte Hamstring Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/10)
04/09/16 P Tyson Ross Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/5)
04/08/16 P Matt Thornton Achilles Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/4)
04/04/16 P Buddy Baumann Back Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jonathan Edwards Hip Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (3/25)

Philadelphia Phillies

No key injuries to report

Tony's Pick: Take the Phillies

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